BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
BTCUSD DAILY CHART

Bitcoin trades sideways near $70K as macro pressure caps upside
The total crypto market cap saw a modest recovery and briefly moved above the $2.5 trillion mark before facing resistance and stabilising around $2.49 trillion.
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index saw no change over the past 24 hours, remaining stuck within “Fear” levels at 31.
Bitcoin got rejected today at SMA 7 that serves as a resistance now.
65 K is in crosshair
64.500 is a last line od defense, which if broken open a way for test of 60 K

European session wrap: Markets stay on edge as Middle East conflict drags on
Brent crude oil up 0.5% to $108.17, WTI crude oil up 0.3% to $94.93
CAD leads, JPY lags on the day
European indices set to end the week lower, S&P 500 futures down 0.3%
Gold up 0.3% to $4,662, Silver down 1% to $72.20
US 10-year yields up 1.7 bps to 4.30%
Bitcoin up 0.3% to $70,701

On March 17, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission jointly finalised a rule classifying 16 crypto assets as digital commodities. This includes: XRP, Ethereum, Solana, Cardano, Chainlink, Avalanche, Polkadot, Stellar, Hedera, Litecoin, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Tezos, Bitcoin Cash, Aptos, and Algorand.
What this move can mean… For institutions, a clearer framework for engaging with crypto, reducing uncertainty and encouraging participation. It supports new products, custody services, and increased investment, while expanding interest beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum to other recognized tokens.
CFTC Joins SEC to Clarify the Application of Federal Securities Laws to Crypto Assets
BTCUSD – Weekly Chart
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve held the policy rates, while the US wholesale inflation surged.
After reachning above the important level of 74.430 Bitcoin lost its mojo and dived below 72 K
Now it is not all lost – yet, but we’ll have to see if Support at 69.135 can holds…
If not 60 K will be a magnet, with 50 K starting to be resonable…
Now it is too early to call it , as todays move is clearly a reaction to FOMC….
Bitcoin needs to take over that 74.430 and stay above it, to be able to charge towards 80 K first and 90K being a target of such a move.

Bitcoin tops $74.5K but are pro traders turning bullish again?
Bitcoin derivatives remain bearish as traders hedge against a price drop despite BTC reclaiming the $74,000 level.
Fears of a global energy shortage mount as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, forcing investors into safe-haven Treasury assets.
Bitcoin (BTC) climbed above $74,000 on Monday, following gains on the Nasdaq Index
Despite this bullish background, Bitcoin derivatives suggest professional traders were unfazed by the rally that pushed prices to a 40-day high.

European markets wrap: Oil off early highs, risk mood picks up for now
WTI crude oil down 1.5% to $97.30, Brent crude oil down 0.2% to $103.20
US dollar lower across the board as risk sentiment improves
European indices slightly higher, S&P 500 futures up 0.7% on the day
US 10-year yields down 3 bps to 4.25%
Gold down 0.1% to $5,017, Silver down 1.5% to $79.31
Bitcoin up 2.5% to $73,630

XAUUSD (GOLD) UPDATE
XAUUSD DAILY CHART

Bitcoin Slides 2% as Oil Surges 10.5% After Tanker Attacks
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) traded lower Thursday as a sudden spike in oil prices rattled risk sentiment across global markets, underscoring how geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are continuing to shape investor positioning. The largest cryptocurrency slipped as much as 2% and hovered near $70,000 early in New York after attacks on two oil tankers in Iraqi waters pushed energy markets sharply higher. Brent crude surged as much as 10.5%, briefly lifting oil back above $100 a barrel and prompting a broad risk-off move that extended into equities and digital assets.

Bitcoin to $78K? Pro traders price in less than 17% odds of a breakout
Professional traders remain cautious, pricing low odds for a Bitcoin breakout to $78,000 despite recent ETF inflows.
US and Israel-Iran war and soft US labor data offset momentum in Bitcoin ETFs.
Bitcoin options: 17% chance of breaking $78,000
Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $70,000 mark again on Wednesday. However, repeated failed attempts to break above $74,000 over the last five weeks have fueled skepticism.

Bitcoin Hits Range Highs: Rejection Could Send Price Toward $62,800
Bitcoin has climbed back to the top of its current trading range, placing the market at a critical decision point. While a breakout could open the door to further upside, failure to push higher may trigger a sharp rejection. If selling pressure emerges at these highs, Bitcoin could rotate back toward the key support level around $62,800.
Instead of chasing the upward momentum, the current technical setup suggests that a shorting scenario is much more compelling.
If Bitcoin begins to drop from its current position and loses the critical market structure level at $69,383, it would signal a shift in momentum.
In this case, BTC would be targeting “weak lows” situated around $65,280.

BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
BTCUSD 4 HOUR CHART

Bitcoin rebound appears a ‘relief rally,’ not the start of a new bullish cycle
Bitcoin’s rebound above $73,000 earlier Thursday may appear encouraging, but onchain data suggests it is more likely a short-term “relief rally” rather than the start of a new bullish cycle
Bitcoin is still inside a bear market, despite the recent price rally
Selling pressure from traders and long-term holders has also declined, helping support the recent rebound.

BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
BTCUSD 4 HOUR CHART

Bitcoin’s bullish momentum accelerates but topping $78K remains a challenge
Derivatives and onchain data show a lack of bullish conviction, as 43% of Bitcoin holders remain at a loss despite recent price gains.
Surging AI energy demand is squeezing miner profits to record lows, forcing major listed firms to offload BTC and pivot to computing.
Traders face a psychological hurdle at $76,000, the average cost basis for major corporate holders like Strategy.
Bitcoin (BTC) surged to a four-week high on Wednesday, potentially clearing a path for a recovery toward the $78,700 monthly close recorded in January. Despite a 22% rally from the $60,000 local bottom on Feb. 6, several onchain and derivatives metrics suggest bears remain comfortable.


BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
BTCUSD 4 HOUR CHART

Is BITCOIN attracting safe haven flows? Answier: Jury is out.
BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE

BTCUSD 4 HOUR CHART
BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
BTCUSD DAILY CHART

BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
BTCUSD 4 HOUR CHART



Newsquawk Market Wrap 3
Meanwhile, on trade, Trump lifted his Section 122 tariffs to 15% from 10% over the weekend. Nations like Mexico announced they will now be paying less tariffs on non-USMCA-compliant goods, while the EU has frozen trade talks with the US and is not seeking to alter the pre-existing deal at this stage. Trump has warned that those who decide to play games will be met with a higher tariff than what they recently agreed to. ‘
The risk-off sentiment around AI disruption and also the lifting of tariffs saw T-notes catch a bid throughout the US session to settle around peaks, with eyes turning to supply in a data-light week. However, several central bank speakers are on the docket for Tuesday. Waller spoke today, noting it is almost a coin toss for a cut or a hold in March.
In FX, the Dollar was mixed vs peers while activity currencies lagged in the risk-off trade. Crude prices ultimately settled slightly lower while eyes turn to the US/Iran talks on Thursday. On this, reports suggest the Pentagon has been pushing Trump to go for a diplomatic resolution, warning about the risks of striking Iran. Trump has apparently been leaning towards strikes, but has agreed to give Witkoff and Kushner more time to negotiate for diplomacy. Gold and Silver rallied on the risk conditions, while Bitcoin slumped.s.
BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
BTCUSD DAILY CHART

Forex Market Snapshot: Back to square one
In forex, pivotal level remain a focus
US stocks;
US5oo 6900 and NAS100 both remain pivotal
No key data due

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