Bank of Canada Governor did not provide much verbiage of weight for consideration. The tone was there is not set in stone path of policy at present, that rate cuts will be dependent on the condition of data as it transpires, and the .25 cut was to stimulate growth and is fine for now. The bottom line is their policy is stable and not on any razors edge. Futures are trending down so the proper approach is the buy side of UsdCad unless something profound develops.
That said, the current price area for futures and options are decent to test the buy (sell UsdCad in spot) side if you like rolling the dice, as you could hit a runner. Buy side of 7325 calls at the money look decent on the delta and such at the moment. So in spot that’s a sell from just above 3800.
DLRx 104.01
–
after all thas been said and done in and about markets
DLRx s stalled under its 200d ma
suggesting – or meaning – that dlr upside is limited in energy
on deck today:
wholesale inventories (now out)
S&P PMI
new house sales
bowman and logan yak
but should be wet noodle policy waste of time as the FED gang is in blackout
Here’s a catalyst for JPY buying
Exclusive: BOJ to weigh rate hike next week, detail plan to halve bond buying
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Wall St has suddenly become a tough crowd to please.
Morning Bid: High earnings bar, Harris polling bump
EURUSD Weekly
Supports : 1.08000 , 1.07850 & 1.06800
Resistances : 1.08650, 1.09150 & 1.09850
Most important Support now is 1.06800 – it separates us from 1.01000…
What I see on this chart are 5 attempts to reach the Downtrend line ( currently at 1.13650 ) and 5 times rejection on lower parallel line , and all within last 12 months.
If all goes well and EURUSD continues Down ( we have only first signs of it ), 1.01000 would be in grave danger – as it opens a road for way lower levels….like 0.75
Talking Big, as market is pretty lame when it comes to intraday moves …goes undecided , just to start a sudden move , but without any visible strength – so difficult to trade it with the confidence.

EURJPY DAILY CHART – CARRY TRADES UNWIND

JPY is not only up vs. the USD but even more so on its crosses, suggesting the carry trade unwid continues.
With that said EURJPY has tested 1 64.32 support so see if it holds as it would have implications for EURUSD as well.
Note layers of red line support from 160.20-164.00
NAS100 ONE HOUR CHART – GAP OPENING

i AM NOT SURE HOW SIGNIFICANT A GAP IS IN a CFD that does not open right at the start of a new day.
In any case, S&P has a gap lower opening as well.
See key levels (still above them) on this chart as it tries to build downward momehtum,
S&P 5500 is the obvious pivotal level.
USDJPY DAILY CHART – TARGET HIT

Having hit the 154.50 target and then some (low 154.36), this level become pivotal in dictating whether levels shown on this chart get exposed or 155 exerts a magnetic pull.
If I was in the BoJ’s shoes, I would be quietly in the market taking back some interventions and smnothing the market but I am here typing and trading, not a central banker.’
‘
Bottom line, 154.50 and 155 dictate what comes next.
© 2024 Global View
