USD500 WEEKLY CHART – 10% CORRECTION LEVEL

With NAsdaq already in correction territory (more than 10% off the record high), an equivalent level in US500 comes in at 5105.
Calling for a bottom in this type of market is like throwing a dart so watch 5200 as one of those pivotal levels as well as 5192, briefly broken so far.’
Cahrt shows 4923 as next key support, making 5000-52000 a potential area that could cause a pause.
BTC WEEKLY CHART – HE BIGGEST LOSER


BTC BRIEF BREAK BELOW 50k SETS THIS AS THE KEY LEVEL.
You can see why ON THIS CHART with a big void of key levels on the downside.
Back above 53435 would be needed to slow the threat.
Why is BTC so weak and not acting as a safe haven?
I can answer that with more questions than answers
Is it unwindibg of JPY carry trades>
Is it a need for liquidity to cover losses/margin calls in other markets?
Is it part of a deleveraging process?
Is it that cryptos are just a house of cards?
Contact me at [email protected] with your thoughts
BTC WEEKLY CHART – HE BIGGEST LOSER

BTC BRIEF BREAK BELOW 50k SETS THIS AS THE KEY LEVEL.
You can see why ON THIS CHART with a big void of key levels on the downside.
Back above 53435 would be needed to slow the threat.
Why is BTC so weak and not acting as a safe haven?
I can answer that with more questions than answers
Is it unwindibg of JPY carry trades>
Is it a need for liquidity to cover losses/margin calls in other markets?
Is it part of a deleveraging process?
Is it that cryptos are just a house of cards?
Conatc me at [email protected] with your thoughts
USDJPY WEEKLY CHART – WATCH 142

The last time USDJOY traded below 142 was 27 weeks ago enroute to 161.93 and only 5 weeks to trade back below 142.
Why am I focusing on 142?
It is one of those pivotal levels and the last line of defense before 140 comes on the radar.
Support: 141.68 (Monday low), 140.23, 140.00
141.68 showing signs of pretty good support
More important than resistance is how USDJPY trades vs. 142 as that will dictate whether 140 comes under attack.
EURUSD WEEKLY CHART – REPATRIATIONS OR RISK OFF?

When yoU see markets like this one where stocks are melting down, you often see repatriations back hOme.
So whether EURUSD is being boosted by repatriations or safe haven flows, what matters tO traders is the 1.0980-00 level, especially the upper end at 1.10
Intra-day, 1.0950 will be important in dictating whether there is a run at 1,10 but the focus is clearly on US stocks as that is leading the risk off mood.
Nikkei sinks 11%, Nasdaq futures dive 3.7%
Circuit breakers tripped by torrent of selling
Markets see 50bps Fed cut in Sept, maybe even earlier
Dollar falls 2% on safe haven yen, 1% on Swiss franc
SYDNEY, Aug 5 (Reuters) – Share markets tumbled and bonds rallied in Asia on Monday as fears the United States could be heading for recession sent investors rushing from risk assets while wagering th
Stocks trampled in stampede from risk, bonds eye rapid rate cuts
Where when have we seen this before ?
“I believe it is a certainty that if we do not change course, Iran will in the coming weeks or months possess a nuclear weapon.” – Sen. Lindsey Graham
Sen. Lindsey Graham calls on Israel to ‘destroy’ Iranian oil refineries
Brent currently zzs at around 79 bux
USDJPY DAILY CHART – WATCH 145

With the Nikkei melting down to lowest levels since January and USDJPY falling through 145, if I was the BoJ I would be in covertly.
Whatecer the case, USDJPY 145 is clearly pivotal as there is a void until near 140.
It is all about risk off led by US stocks so watch those markets as the dat winds on.
THIS WEEK’S MARKET-MOVING EVENTS (all days local)
The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hold policy steady on Tuesday for a sixth straight meeting as is the Reserve Bank of India on Thursday for a ninth straight meeting. Both banks continue to face above-target inflation.
Chinese merchandise trade estimated for release on Wednesday is expected to show a steady and prodigious surplus with a strong rise for exports.
German manufacturing orders on Tuesday and industrial production on Wednesday are both expected to rebound from prior declines. Eurozone retail sales on Tuesday are seen flat.
A moderate rebound for Canadian employment with, however, an uptick in the unemployment rate is expected for Friday.
Econoday
XAUUSD –Gold Weekly Chart
Supports : 2415.00 , 2390.00 & 2295.00
Resistances : 2485.00 , 2525.00 & 2615.00
Gold is in a Very Bullish Formation, but…. continue reading

Early sunday ahead of week trading opening
AXIOS – us news portal whose Greek name means “worthy”
Soooo …. fwiw, are U prepared to trade :
Top U.S. general in the Middle East as U.S. and Israel prepare for possible Iran attack – axios
“Three U.S. and Israeli officials said they expect Iran to attack Israel as early as Monday.”
On Saturday, President Biden was asked by reporters whether he thinks Iran will stand down.
“I hope so. I don’t know,”, he said.
sleepy joe may not know (surprise?) BUT
GOLD and / or Brent know
BTC DAILY CHART – 60K

Having failed to renew 70K BTC is challenging 60K
This is the pivotal level as it wil dictate whether the current range is 60-70K or 55-65K
In any case the price action is disqppointing to the bull side as BTC has failed to benefit as a safe haven during this period of risk off.
Daily pattern is 5 red candles in a row, see how it ends on Sunday.
Refer to this chart for key levels.
Given that the EURUSD helped lead Friday’s USD selloff, it pays to revisit this article
Why is the EURUSD Referred to as the Anti-Dollar?
Hard landing
Wikipedia
A hard landing occurs when an aircraft or spacecraft hits the ground with a greater vertical speed and force than in a normal landing.
Lousy Jobs Report Forces Fed to Reckon With Hard Landing
Policymakers have been focused squarely on inflation. Now they need to worry about the labor market, too.
By Nick Timiraos, Aug. 3, 2024 in WSJ
Now only need to define “normal landing”
– I think … it means that dishes and cups do NOT come tumbling out of the cupboards.
adding to “detailed preview”
–
Gooslbee, on Friday, p1ssed on the hair-on-fire screamers for intra-meeting 50pt cut
Aug 2 (Reuters) – Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee said on Friday the U.S. central bank should move in a “steady” way, a mild pushback against the rush of market bets that the Fed will react to a report of weak July jobs data with a bigger-than-usual half-point rate cut in September.
“We never want to overreact to any one month’s numbers,” Goolsbee said in a Bloomberg TV interview. Even so, he said, “Our absolute goal now is we want to settle at something like full employment, not blow through normal and deteriorate.” …/..
Lets see … who ll prevail and trump
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