USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART – WHERE ISW THE BOJ?

If I was the BOJ I would be concerned over the pace of the USDJPY move so don’t be surprised to see some verbal intervention.
Key levels:
155.20 key daily resistance
153.39 = 61.8% of 161.94-139.58
153.19 = Wed high
152 = pivotal bias setting level
151.40= 200 day mva
150.49 = base of last leg up
US500 4 HOUR CHART – Amazing!

Look at how the Amazing Trader 5764 support held dead on. I created this charting algo and it still amazes me how well its lines/levels work
The break of 5805 was significant, suggesting back above 5800-05 would be needed to ease the risk.
In any case, high is likely in for now. Key level is at 5672, treat any move down as a retracement unless this level is broken.
Yen option buyers started coming in around 8:30 PST / 11:30 EST. The result has not yet seen results to cause absolute conviction of Yen pairs selling off and sticking but a decent start in terms of positioning. To this point it has been a one day sell. The same timing took place for US stocks and they lifted at the same times but to this point it could just be bottom feeding or hedging or portfolio adjustments. Fairly convincing week however and today especially to consider the sell side having staying power for Yen pairs.
XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART – UP LIKE AN ECALATOR DOWN LIKE AN ELEVATOR

Close below 2719 would create an outside day key reversal but not sure how well that works with metals.
High (2758) is likely in for now at least and dependent on 2700 holding to contain the retreat.
On the downside, treat any move down as a retracement unless 2601 is taken out.
GBPUSD DAILY CHART – 1.30 breakdown

If you followed my posts about EURGBP you would have seen the driver of GBP selling.
Now, the 1.30 breakdown makes this the key level, below which downside stays exposed.
Key level is around 1.28, where the 200 day mva resideS..
Otherwise, in the absence of any obvious nearby support, use the most recent low as the first level of support.
I have very close relationships with influential people from Mexico. The good one’s not the bad one’s.
The USMCA trade agreement between the US and Mexico was fostered and completed under the Trump administration. This created, as of 2023 the US accounting for 60% of Mexico’s trade income, which is an historic high.
Funny enough, the Mexican trade minister, who is a socialist, is all over the place promoting that Harris should be elected to sustain that level. The politics of lies never stops with these people (socialists).
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
The dollar continues to ride higher on the back of an anxious pre-election climb in U.S. Treasury yields, notching its best levels in almost three months against the euro and yen on starkly contrasting economic and interest rate pictures.
With the International Monetary Fund’s annual meeting underway and G7 finance chiefs and central bankers gathering, the exceptional performance of the U.S. economy was underlined in updated IMF global forecasts on Tuesday.
Newsquawk US Open
European bourses trading negative, US futures follow suit with earnings ahead
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4 things you need to know for today’s market.
4 Things You Need to Know
European bourses are generally trading in negative territory; US futures follow suit, ahead of a busy earnings slate.
DXY continues to march higher, USD/JPY climbs back above 152 to a current 152.74 peak.
USTs are modestly lower ahead of 20yr supply; Bunds were unreactive to a well-received 10yr auction.
Crude is subdued and continues to await geopolitical updates; XAU is slightly higher whilst base metals are mostly in the red.
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USDCAD DAILY CHART – 25 or 50BPS?

Reaction to the BoC decision will dictate whether a 50bps rate cut is discounted or the trigger for a run at the major 1,3946 level…1.3850 would need to become support to put 1.3946 at risk
On the downside, back below 1.38 would be needed to cool the threat
Re the BoC, surprise would be a 25bps rate cut although I saw a Canadian bank calling for 25bps.
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