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EURUSD daily chart – major trend down but consolidating1.0805 is the key level as it appears not just on the daily but on multipole time grant charts
There is a trendline at 1.0793 but 1.0805 is the key on top.
Only a firm break and 1.08+ then being established would suggest the low (1.0696) is ion for now.
Take your pick of support within 1.07-1.98 with 1.0730 being the only one worth noting ahead of the key low.
EURUSD Week Ahead
Resistances at : 1.07900 , 1.08350 and 1.09250
Supports at : 1.07400, 1.07200 and 1.06950
Pattern wise, Resistance at 1.07900 should Hold, and Down move should continue…but is it going to happen like that this time ?? Well, this Down trend that started on 27.12.2023. doesn’t have the usual angle for it…although it is very similar , still…makes me cautious…
1.07900 is The Major point right now, as break of it would lead the pair straight to 1.09250 , even 1.09400 . Mind you, we would still be in Sell mode !
Now let’s talk about the Ideal development – Res at 1.07900 holds it’s ground – we have a sharp drop to 1.07 area and continue down , with the 1.05600 in cross hairs.
So let’s see how it develops on Monday….
EURJPY Daily Chart
Testing res at 161.86
Question is can EURJPY make a run at…
Key res 163.71 and 164.30
To do so, either USDJPY would need to move sharply higher, EURUSD would need to move sharply higher, a combination of the two or EURUSD would need to lag a sharp move up in USDJPY. It’s simple algebra.
Whatever the case, given broader USD trends, it would probably take JPY weakness for the key EURJPY resistance to come into play.
EURUSD
After reaching the new low yesterday, another sideways to Up formation is in the creation.
Immediate support is at 1.07250/300
It is trying to reach 1.07650 , and it should, prior to the next leg down.
Albeit, we can see some brief tests of 1.07000 area, but we need that Uptick to be done , for the downtrend to continue in full force.
EURUSD Analysis: Downtrend Continues, Resistance and Downside Targets
The EURUSD pair remains below a falling trend line on the 4-hour chart, indicating the continuation of the downtrend from 1.1139.
As long as the price remains below the falling trend line, it is likely that the downside move will persist. The next target area for the pair would be around 1.0670, followed by 1.0600.The initial resistance level is located at 1.0750. A breakthrough above this level would suggest a consolidation phase for the downtrend is underway. In such a scenario, the price could retest the 1.0805 resistance level. If this level is surpassed, it may trigger further upside movement towards the falling trend line.
It is important to note that only a break above the trend line resistance would indicate the completion of the downtrend.
In summary, the EURUSD pair remains in a downtrend, with the price staying below a falling trend line on the 4-hour chart. Downside targets have been identified, while resistance levels have also been highlighted for potential retracements. The completion of the downtrend would require a significant break above the trend line resistance.
EURGBP firmer => weaker GBPUSD => firmer EURUSD
The GBP’s reaction in GBP (weaker) to a miss in UK CPI underscores an ultra-sensitivity to any data that shifts expectations of rate cuts.
Look at this EURGBP chart where demand for the cross is one reason why EURUSD has taken on a bid.
EURGBO 15-minute chart’
EURGBP => weaker GBPUSD => former EURUSD
The GBP’s reaction in GBP (weaker) to a miss in UK CPI underscores an ultra-sensitivity to any data that shifts expectations of rate cuts.
Look at this EURGBP chart where demand for the cross is one reason why EURUSD has taken on a bid.
I call this “Using crosses to help trade spot fx“”
EURGBO 15-minute chart’
EURUSD
The pair behaved on the dot in last 24h.
Now what we have next…for the move to continue Down, it has to stay bellow 1.07100 !
1.07200 is of course the Major resistance , but for the slide to continue in coming hours we need that 1.07100 to hold.
As you can see from the chart, the target is in 1.05900 area – Do Not be overly greedy.
We have today some interesting data – Economic Calendar – stay away just prior to it !
Happy hunting.
EURUSD Analysis: Break Below Support and Potential Further Decline
The EURUSD pair has broken below the 1.0723 support level and extended its downward movement from 1.1139, reaching as low as 1.0700.
Based on this development, it is likely that further decline could be expected in the coming days, with the next target area around 1.0670, followed by 1.0600.
The initial resistance level is located at 1.0750. A breakthrough above this level could lead to a retest of the 1.0805 resistance level. If this resistance is surpassed, it may trigger additional upside movement towards the falling trend line on the 4-hour chart.
In summary, the EURUSD pair has broken below key support levels, indicating a potential continuation of the downward trend. The next targets for decline have been identified, while resistance levels have also been highlighted for potential retracements.
USDX (US Dollar Index
If you don’t trade it, why do traders track the USDX?
With the EURO representing 57.6% of the index, it can be used as a quasi EURUSD as the correlation between EzURUSD and USDX is very high.
USDX Daily Chart
New high for the year.
Trend = strong up (note rising red lines)
Targets at blue lines as long as the most recent ted Lind holds ax support
(contact me to learn more)
1.0694EURUSD
Resistances : 1.08050 1.08250
Supports : 1.07750 1.07200
I’ve been writing these numbers ( or very similar) almost 8 days. One can get lost in intraday swings and small moves, but when you move to a bit bigger time frame, things become clearer.
Two decades ago, I would declare fully confident that this is a Tail for Sale – but one also becomes if not smarter, but a bit wiser and way more experienced, so I am going to avoid calling big shots and stay with the reasonable.
Pattern wise, it is The Tail for Sale, so we should see a bit sharper move up, followed by even sharper decline. If happens , the main test will be the support at 1.07200…The pattern suggests that it will be broken and we’ll slide to 1.06000 area.
For a move up, serious change of the prevailing trend , we should see a sharp drop, and then we can talk about the big Bounce and change to the Up trend.
But more funny stuff have occurred on the market, and especially on this pair.
So we are going to follow it on Intraday level and when any real change happens, you’ll be the first to know.
EURUSD Day ahead
Resistances at : 1.07800, 1.08050 and 1.08300
Supports at : 1.07550, 1.07400 and 1.07200
The difference between Tuesday and today is in possibility to see overnight slide towards supports.
Yet again we can witness euro buying , but generally we should visit 1.07200 – most important line right now – if bellow opens a road for 1.06000 area.
I prefer continued selling as long as downtrend line holds it’s ground.
Re: my post from the last night :
EURUSD Day ahead
Resistances : 1.07950 and 1.08350/400
Supports   : 1.07800 , 1.07700 and 1.07200
Judging by the current pattern, we should see the attack at the supports tomorrow, but expect as always for Europe to do some buying early euro morning…if they break through 1.07950 we should see at least 1.08200 ( depending on how they spent their weekends…)
Same goes for other two postings – JPY and GBP….Bellow is a current chart for EURUSD
EURUSD Day ahead
Resistances : 1.07950 and 1.08350/400
Supports   : 1.07800 , 1.07700 and 1.07200
Judging by the current pattern, we should see the attack at the supports tomorrow, but expect as always for Europe to do some buying early euro morning…if they break through 1.07950 we should see at least 1.08200 ( depending on how they spent their weekends…)
Always check the Economic Calendar, to be sure you are not engaging when you shouldn’t.
