[GVI News]

All you need to know to explain current risk off:

10-year yield 4.66%

[Adam Global]

💷swimming 🤑in 😍profit

4455.00 🎯 is about to hit

💛 GOLD 💛 is slipping lower 📉 as oil 🛢 edging higher 📈

[Belgrade Bobby]

Market Pulse 2

The US dollar recouped yesterday’s losses as the greenback remains supported amid the US-Iran stalemate, the persistently elevated oil prices, the resilient US data and the potential for Fed rate hikes. These forces are now weighing on the markets more broadly after Treasury yields broke above March highs on Friday.

[Belgrade Bobby]

Market Pulse 1

In the American session, we get the Canadian CPI report. Headline CPI is expected to increase to 3.1% vs 2.4% prior, while the more important Trimmed-Mean CPI Y/Y is seen remaining unchanged at 2.2%.

[Belgrade Bobby]

FX option expiries for 19 May 10am New York cut

EUR/USD at the 1.1650 level. The expiries don’t tie to any technical significance but are quite chunky, so they might have some impact on price action in the session ahead.

The dollar is keeping firmer today as the risk mood is leaning back towards being more cautious. So, that remains the bigger driver of price action. But all else being equal, we could see the expiries at 1.1650 keep a lid on price movement in European trading.

[Adam Global]

ßitcoin seems to be heading to 📉 $75K

Momentum to upside 📈 doesn’t seem to last longer

[Adam Global]

GBPUSD bouncing 📈 off 1.3400 as unemployment rate & claimant count change went bad for GBP💷

[Adam Global]

With oil 🛢 edging 📈 higher

💛 GOLD 💛 is resisting 4555.00 📉 edging lower to 4455.00

If negotiations 🇺🇸🆚️🇮🇷 fail & strikes 🚀🔥 do happen 💛GOLD 💛 will be on a free fall 📉

[Adam Global]

Oil 🛢 edging 📈 higher as D.trump claims serious negotiations underway & he called 📞 off the strikes 🚀🔥 on 🇮🇷

$110/🛢 might be next if negotiations fail ❌️📛❌️

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 19th May 2026

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Adam Global]

Waiting for employment change & unemployment rate on Thursday for AusUSD 🦘

For now m aiming for 0.71000 📉

[GVI Forex 2]

Market UIpdate

Mood turning risk off but without oil acting as a driver as it con solidates.

EURUSD                               US500                              XBRUSD (CFD)

[GVI Forex 2]

US 10-year bond yield

Just an observation

While 4.50% is most important as a psychological yield levelk, 4.60% seems to be acting as a market risk on/off pivot.

[Mtl JP]

ST 7:32 / suggest reading GVI’s 8:35, could be valuable

[Mtl JP]

ST 7:32 / 2-3 days = tactical pause. no deal = strategic stalemate

both are fuel themes to degenerate trading – i.e thirst for outsized returns – using tactics of speed, hype, and social momentum leaving traditional fundamental analysis on side.

Chose your pony to trade wisely and
remember that risk management belongs to you
because in this business nobody cares if you go “poof” – no social safety net

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 1 HOUR

Downtrend consolidating within 4500-4600 with 4529 so far holding as support guarding 4480-00 below it.

Otherwise, market remains hostage to the risk on/off mood and rising bond yields, which have been an added weight on gold.

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Market Snapshot

The forex, along with other global markets, remains in a wait-and-see mode to see if the no peace, no war stalemate will be broken one way or the other.

This has seen the dollar firm with AUD and NZD umderperformance siggesting risk off but so far not confirmed by US equities. in what is setting up as another headline driven day.

[ST London]

Which headline should we believe?

Trump claims Gulf allies requested he hold Iran attack for 2-3 days because deal ‘very close’

Or

No deal, no exit: How US-Iran standoff risks fresh conflict

[Belgrade Bobby]

Apple Inc Stocks – AAPL

The AI momentum trade is back in a big way. And it looks like it’s here to stay for a while. So the logical question? How to play it, of course.

One technical analyst, Ari Wald of Oppenheimer & Co., thinks the thing to do is load up on Nvidia, Amazon, Apple, and Alphabet

[Belgrade Bobby]

Nvidia Corp Stocks – NVDA

NVIDIA Corp  NVDA is expected to show a rise in quarterly revenue when it reports results on May 20 for the period ending April 30 2026.

Expected to post earnings of $1.76 a share

The current average analyst rating on the shares is “Buy” and the breakdown of recommendations is 57 “strong buy” or “buy,” 3 “hold” and 1 “sell” or “strong sell.

[Belgrade Bobby]

BTCUSD – Bitcoin Daily

BTC was hit by 181 Mio$ in long liquidations in 24h.

Crypto wide liquidations were $ 804 Mio, with about $ 700 Mio Longs, adding downside pressure on Bitcoin.

76K is  very importnt level right now and if lost 68K will come under pressure once again.

[Belgrade Bobby]

Market Retrospective Today

 

[GVI Forex 2]

COMING UP: Data: Japanese GDP (Q1), UK Jobs Report (Mar/Apr), Average Earnings (Mar), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Canadian CPI (Apr). Events: RBA Minutes (Apr).

Speakers: RBA’s Hunter; BoE’s Breeden; ECB’s Lane; Fed’s Waller. Supply: The UK, Germany.

Earnings: Home Depot.

[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD Daily

After losing the sharper Uptrend angle, and EMA 50 at 1.16900, last resort for EUR is a support waiting at 1.15650.

Loss of would open a road for test of 1.13650 – Main barrier in front of possible drop to 1.05800

Resistances: 1.16600, 1.16800 & 1.16900

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Markets chop to geopolitics while Trump holds off on immediate Iran attack

SNAPSHOT: Equities mixed, Treasuries steepen, Crude choppy, Dollar down, Gold up

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

See full report: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 4 HOUR CHART

AI vs bonds

Score one for bonds as NAS100 turns defensive but only a break of 28661 and 28551 would open a void on the downside, which is contained while above it.

Key resistance on is at 28406.US500 (SP500) 4 HOUR

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 4 HOUR CHART

On the defensive but finding repeated support at 7355-60 and preventing 7322-45 from being exposed.

On the upside, a break above 7439-57 is what is needed to put 7500 back in play.

Otherwise, it is more of the same  game show, Do You Trust This Headline?

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD vs BTCUSD

XAUUSD: Bounce from sub-4500 gives hopes to the bull side and confirms this aS the pivotal level but only a break of 4584 and the trendline would shift the focus from it.

BTCUSD: Remains hostrage to the risk on/off mood so keep an eye on whether it continues to correlate. If the range is 76-80K, then 78 is pivotal. If range is 75-80K, 77500 is pivotal in setting its trading tone.

XAUUSD                                                       BTCUSD

[GVI Forex 2]

Just enough to cool, not reverse  risk off

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update:Oil up, watch for any ripple effects

A US official tells CNBC the Iranian state media report that the US has agreed to lift oil sanctions while talks are ongoing is false. (Newsquqawk)

EURUSD                                    US500                                      CBRUSD

[Author]

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