[Mtl JP]

WTI 102.55 in drivers seat atm

I am baised BoD oil

[Adam Global]

USDJPY is edging higher 📈 to 160.00

159.00 seems to struggling to break up 🤔

 

[Adam Global]

EURUSD still battling 1.1600 📉📈📉📈

With 💛GOLD💛 retracing back up 📈

EURUSD might hold up 📈 above 1.1600

[Adam Global]

Us100Cash is bouncing 📈 above 28500

Also waiting for Nvidia earnings release 🔥

[Adam Global]

Stock traders today are watching 👀 Nvidia earning today….more tech Stocks like Us100Cash will be effected by the news

[Adam Global]

Oil 🛢 slipping 📉 today as more Oil tanker from 🇰🇷 & 🇨🇳 pass through the straight

🇮🇷 said ships 🚢 can pass but not from hostile countries 🇺🇸🇮🇱🇪🇺

[Mtl JP]

NOW “they” tell us
Early War Goal Was to Install Hard Line Former President as Iran’s Leader NYT

but … have no fear, senate is here:
Senate Votes to Take Up Measure to Force Trump to End Iran War – NYT
With four Republican backers, Democrats won a vote to advance a resolution that would force the president to end hostilities or win authorization from Congress.

[Mtl JP]

NEW PROFIT OPPORTUNITIES
only one, maybe two weeks away
“praemonitus, praemunitus”

Europe could run out of jet fuel in 6 weeks, IEA warns
Published Thu, Apr 16 2026

The International Energy Agency warned Thursday that Europe is going to run out of jet fuel in as few as six weeks. blablabla

IF europe could replace only half of of its m/east fuel volumes, stocks would hit critical levels by june.

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 20th May 2026

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 1 HOUR

Pause above 4450 has slowed the downside but remains below 4500, which sets the bias.

To cool the risk, 4512+ would be needed.

[GVI Forex 2]

COMING UP: Data: Chinese LPR (May), German PPI (Apr), UK Inflation Report (Apr), EU Inflation Final (Apr), New Zealand Trade Balance (Apr). Events: FOMC Minutes (Apr), BoJ Bond Market Survey (May).

Speakers: US President Trump; Fed’s Paulson, Barr; BoE’s Bailey, Breeden, Dhingra, Mann. Supply: Japan, Germany

,US. Earnings: Nvidia, Target, Intuit .

(Newsquawk)

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Risk off seen as US/Iran seem no closer on a deal

SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries down, Crude down, Dollar up, Gold down.

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOUR

Bulls will not give up without a fight.

In this regard, the 2 levels the do not want to see broken are 28660 (briefly broken) and 28460 as there is a big void below it (starting with 28000).

To negate the threat, risk mood needs to shift to risk on and 29120 needs to be broken.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 4 HOUR CHART

On the defensive and remains hostage to headline news (and rising bond yields) plus the risk on/off reaction.

The level bulls do not want to see broken is 7322 as there is a big void of support below it.

To cool the risk, 7400+ is needed.

 

[Mtl JP]

a bit of history (and relative interest rate FX principle) from cnbc’s Anniek Bao

Japan, China lead foreign government retreat from U.S. Treasurys as Iran war fallout stokes currency fears
The sell-off came as the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran conflict and resulting surge in crude oil prices sent the yen and other Asian currencies tumbling.

Foreign governments cut U.S. Treasurys in March as the Middle East war forced central banks to liquidate dollar reserves, defending local currencies against an energy shock that sent exchange rates tumbling.  bla bla bla  …

[Belgrade Bobby]

Market Summary 2

[Belgrade Bobby]

Market Summary 1

Key points:
Indexes down: Dow 0.15%, S&P 500 0.19%, Nasdaq 0.30%
Stocks pare losses, chips and software reverse course

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 4 HOUR

Keep this simple:

Trend down:

Sub-4500 tested again (new low 4465) and clearly pivotal

Below it risks 4360.

Above it cools but only 4589+ would neutralize the last leg down.

In any case, remains hostage to the risk on/off mood.

[Belgrade Bobby]

US stocks rebounding. Nasdaq index bounces off a cluster of support targets

The NASDAQ index is rebounding sharply from its session lows after testing a key cluster of technical support levels. At the worst levels of the day, the index was down -389.29 points before buyers stepped in. It has since trimmed those losses significantly and is now  at 25.920

 

[Mtl JP]

GVI 7:11 – not about trust
fog of war is like gaming bluffing in poker

see below:

[Mtl JP]

EURO 1.1603 / Lod 1.1591

Lots of ccy pricing is affected by relative yields movements.
1.1580 looms both as Trgt and as S now

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update

Do you trust a headline without confirmation?

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Mtl JP]

Is bessent loosing (it) ?
“Bessent urges G7 to help U.S. attack Iran’s finances” CNBC

[Mtl JP]

Awwww ….
30-year Treasury yield tops 5.19%, highest since before the financial crisis
U.S. stocks slide under pressure from higher rates – cnbc

ooooohhhh ….

[Mtl JP]

DLRYEN 159.05 as I type
re 4:46 “intervention”
you have my permission katayama

CPI on Thursday
BoJ is on palyer radar and are gaming june for ONLY 19bps
Currently the cats are looking like tthey d like to see 160 + again

GO for it Katayama! gogogogo

[Mtl JP]

Re “All you need to know … ”

is that NY Times put out a piece on suggestion by some un-named sources that prez T paused the strikes on Iran not for negotiations as he claimed. And not uh because the Gulf allies requested it, but because Iran is becoming rapidly more effective at tracking US air operations … and that basically hegseth’s warriors are in line for good wooping … looks like just maybe bell is tolling for hegseth, keane, graham & co

price moves on oil’s bar charts suggest degenerate traders have toned down their aggressivity of buying dips and taking profits

[GV World]

The “Big Three” is coming to wall street soon.

SpaceX confidentially filed with the SEC on April 1 and is reportedly targeting a June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, with plans to raise as much as $75 billion. If completed, the offering would surpass Saudi Aramco’s 2019 IPO record of $29 billion to become the largest public offering in history.

OpenAI is reportedly aiming for a Q4 2026 IPO after its latest funding round valued the company at $852 billion. Annual revenue has climbed to roughly $25 billion, although the company is still losing an estimated $14 billion per year while projecting revenue of $175 billion by 2029.

Anthropic is targeting an October 2026 listing at a valuation of around $380 billion and is seeking to raise more than $60 billion. The company’s annualized revenue run rate recently reached $30 billion, surpassing OpenAI’s.

[GV World]

May 18 Earnings Release Stocks

(BIDU) Baidu, Inc. shares gained about 2% on Monday after the company reported first-quarter results ahead of expectations. Revenue came in at 32.08 billion yuan, topping the 31.49 billion yuan consensus estimate, while adjusted earnings reached 12.06 yuan per ADR versus forecasts of 11.84 yuan. Baidu Core’s AI-focused operations generated 13.6 billion yuan in revenue, up 49% year over year, and accounted for more than half of General Business revenue for the first time.

(AGYS) Agilysys, Inc. reported fourth-quarter revenue of $82.9 million, up 11.7% year over year, while net income reached $12.3 million and adjusted EPS came in at $0.63. The company also generated $35.4 million in free cash flow during the quarter. For FY2026, revenue totaled $319.3 million, while FY2027 guidance projects revenue of $365 million to $370 million alongside subscription revenue growth of more than 30%.

[GV World]

May 18 Earnings Release Stocks

[GVI Forex 2]

Verbal FX Intervention

Newsquawk

[Author]

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