[GVI Forex 2]

The other focus: UK politics

GBPUSD up sharply, GBP crosses up as well (note EURUSD follows with lag as EURGBP down sharply)

]

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[GVI Forex 2]

Saw some risk off but not the only focus

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[GVI Forex 2]

Risk takes a modest hit… cautious reactions until news is confirmed

 

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[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 4 HOUR CHART

Bounce from above key support needs to break 29407 to negate the downside risk and shift the focus back to the record high.

On the downside, no stops to run unless today;’;s 28856 low is taken out.

 

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 4 HOUR CHART

Getting a reprieve from geopolitical headline news but would need to break 7456 to negate the downside risk and shift the focus back to 7500+.

No stops to run on the downside unless the 7359 low is taken out.

[GVI Forex 2]

UK politics giving GBP a lift, including vs. the EUR, which has helped cause the latter to lag (EURUSD so far holding 1.1657 on top) as seen by these 1 hour charts

EUTRUSD (lagging)         EURGBP (down)               GBPUSD (up)

[GVI Forex 2]

Risk on gets another lift (oil dips)

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[GVI Forex 2]

US PRE-MARKET MOVERS: REGN, F, D, RAMP, UNH, BIO, NOW

ES -0.2% NQ -0.1% RTY -0.1%

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[GVI Forex 2]

Alert: .Giving risk on a lift

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[Adam Global]

ßitcoin 📉 backing down to $75K

Everybody’ thought ßitcoin might go 📈 back up above $100K after breaking $80K

[Adam Global]

EURUSD is retracing 📈 last week’s sell off

Now with the G7 meeting discussing 🇮🇷 & energy impact on the economy

 

[Adam Global]

💛 GOLD 💛 dropped 📉 during Asian session finding support 📈 on 4500.00

Now 4555.00 is resisting 📉

Many are selling 📉 GOLD  & aiming for 4455.00 as TP 🎯

[Adam Global]

Oil 🛢 rising 📈 yet again as 🇺🇸 says 🇮🇷 is running out of time they should make a deal ….🇮🇱 & 🇺🇸 had a phone 📲call 📞 over the weekend about 🇮🇷

Many are worried the strikes 🚀🚀🚀 will continue soon

[GVI Forex 2]

US 10 YEAR BOND YIELD

[GVI News]

Bonds spoil the AI party

A bond market crunch meets the AI boom. Aggravated by still-rising oil prices, accelerating inflation, and the threat of higher interest rates and rising government debt estimates, the bond market has been spooked again, casting a pall over AI-obsessed stock markets.

The U.S. Treasury long bond yield has hit its highest level since before the Great Financial Crisis in 2007, with 30-year yields topping 5.159%, while 10-year yields have jumped to their highest in more than a year…more on Reuters

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Updaste

Global markets correlating with risk off clooud easing but still hovering.

• EURUSD: Would need 1.1657 to cool the risk
• US500: Would need 7419+ to cool the risk
• XBRUSD: $110 likley pivotal

EURUSD                                    US500                                        XBRYSD

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 18th May 2026

[GVI Forex 2]

Early Market Update

Wait-and-see start to the week with a risk off cloud … one eye on headlines and oil (starting the week up) and the other on the bond market

EURUSD                             US500                                        XTIUSD

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily Asia-Pac Opening News – 18th May 2026

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[GVI Forex 2]

This Week’s Market-Moving Events

Global markets face another week of weak housing activity, slowing business sentiment, and stubborn inflation pressures. US housing remains constrained by affordability, while Europe and China continue showing signs of softer growth amid geopolitical uncertainty. (Econoday)

[Mtl JP]

Advantage Iran?
–
G7 finance ministers to meet amid warning of economic consequences of prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure cnbc
—
Massive explosion in Beit Shemesh area was coordinated test with defense company, officials say- Jerusalem Post, May 17 2026
Reports have circulated the theory that the explosion may have destroyed a stockpile of surface-to-air missiles belonging to Arrow-3.
—
Netanyahu is set to convene top aides and ministers Sunday evening for a security discussion in his office in Jerusalem, amid reports that the US and Israel are preparing to restart the war with Iran. T of Isr

or not …

[GVI Forex 2]

BTCUSD 4 HOUR

Support above 77500 so far checking the downside

While a firm break of 75K-80K will eventually decide whether bears or Bulls take control, 77500 will likely act as an indicator of which side is most at risk.

Continue to watch the risk on/off mood for correlations.

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Week (and Week in Review) for18th – 22nd May

Newsquawk Week in Focus 18th – 22nd May: Highlights include NVDA earnings, UK, Canadian, Japanese and NZ inflation, Australian jobs and global flash PMIs

[Mtl JP]

Jeff Cox:
Traders now see next Fed interest rate move as a hike following inflation surge

Following a week of surprisingly high inflation readings, traders in the fed funds futures market are pricing in an interest rate increase as soon as December, with a much higher certainty into the early part of 2027.

A December hike has a nearly 51% probability, while a move higher by January carries about a 60% probability with March coming in at better than 71%.

welcome kevin …

[GVI Forex 2]

IN OUR BLOG

The Future of Trading: Will AI and Algo Bots Eliminate Human Traders?

[GVI Forex 2]

BTCUSD 4 HOUR

Succumbing to the risk off Friday.

Using a round number view, failure to test 82K and hold above 80K leaves 78K as pivotal (currently just above support) and the last obstacle to exposing 75K.

Looking at this chart, 77720 needs to hold or face a void to 75260 and 74903 (major support).

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks sold in risk-off trade amid rise in global yields

SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries down, Crude up, Dollar up, Gold down..

,,, Treasuries saw pressure, as yields rose, as higher oil prices added to inflation fears in quite a quiet newsflow in the US afternoon. Into the weekend, attention still lies on any indication whether Trump is set to resume military operations against Iran this weekend.,,

,

[GVI Forex 2]

Stocks selling off into the close

All you need toi know:: US 10 year close 4.60%

US500                                                                AS100

[GVI Forex 2]

US FX WRAP: Dollar strengthens on global risk-off mood

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[GVI Forex 2]

CRUDE WRAP: WTI (M6) SETTLES USD 4.25 HIGHER AT USD 105.42/BBL; BRENT (N6) SETTLES USD 3.54 HIGHER AT USD 109.26/BBL

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