[Mtl JP]

here monkey monkey … a wrench:

WSJ – “President Trump is poised to unveil reciprocal tariffs on nations that put levies on U.S. exports
Last Updated: Feb. 13, 2025 at 7:30 AM EST

[GVI Forex 2]

More from Trump… Market dilemma, what to focus on Tariffs vs peace?

Source: Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

Headlines are starting early… Kudos to Newsquawk for reporting this ahead of newswires

Source: Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

NEWSQUAWK US OPEN

Crude subdued with continued focus on geopolitics, USD lower into PPI & Executive Orders

Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 5 things you need to know for today’s market.

5 Things You Need to Know

US President Trump did not sign reciprocal tariffs order on Wednesday after stating that he may, while the White House schedule showed President Trump is to sign executive orders on Thursday at 13:00EST/18:00GMT.

Stocks mostly firmer on constructive geopolitical updates; US futures are mixed ahead of PPI.

USD softer as markets weigh potential Ukraine peace deal and lack of reciprocal tariffs (so far).
Bonds attempt to recoup CPI-driven losses into PPI though geopols is capping.

Crude continues the Russia/Ukraine downside seen in the prior session; reports suggested

Israel/Hamas had come to an understanding, but this was subsequently denied by Israeli PM Netanyahu’s Office.

Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

Talks to end the Ukraine war have partly cut across the hot U.S. inflation report for world markets, reining in both oil prices and capping aggravated U.S. borrowing rates – while also lifting the euro and European shares.

Morning Bid: Peace and prices – inflation vies with Ukraine talks

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD 4 HOUR CHART- OBSTACLES TO 1.05

1.0442 and 1.0468 stand in the way of 1.05

Keeps a bid as long as it trades above 1.0377.

We will see if this just restores a 2-way risk or has more legs to it (e.g. above 1.95)

 

[GVI Forex 2]

US 19 year backing away from 4.65% (last 4.60%) has eased uoward peressure on UsDJPY… which needs to gold above 153.20 to contain the downside.

[GVI Forex 2]

It is rare that we like toi give ourselves credit but I poated this article nearly 3 weeks ago and it took time for the markets to catch up to my puzzle.

Is the Trump Effect Impacting the EURUSD and the DAX?

Here is a question? Why has the EURUSD recovered and DAX at record levels given the risk of Trump tariffs. prospect of lower interest rates, an underperforming German economy and political uncertainty in Germany (and France)?

[GVI Forex 2]

GER30 4 HOUR CHART – 22,000 firmly broken

Firm break of 22000 makes this the pivotal level as there is no reason yet to guess at a top…next target 23000 while 22000+ trades.

So keeps a strong bid while above 22000 with bids likely below it.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART –  Watch 2900

Failure to test 2952 (low 2963) gas contained the retracement and move back above 2909 has cooled the risk.

So choice is consolidation between 2863-2942 or a fresh run at the high.

In any case 2900 will likely be pivotal in setting the trading bias.

Intra-day, 2922 has so far capped the upside.

 

[GVI Forex 2]

Using my platform as a HEATMAP

Focus on EURUSD and hopes for an end to the Ukraine war….So, another day of headline roulette where EURUSD should find support below the market.

USDSJPY, as suggested yesterday, found 155 too tough.

Data focus on PPI after hotter CPI yesterday.

Other focus today will be on whether Trump announces details on reciprocal tariffs.

[Adam Global]

155.00000 as tp is almost hit

Trendline is still holding down jpy

Maybe corePPI will push it higher till TP hit

[Adam Global]

With bitcoin stuck inside a symmetrical triangle

More consolidation is rulled out

A break out is expected

With bitcoin dropping below 95000.00 or going above 100000.00

[Adam Global]

1.25000 tp hit

1.25 is a resistance so far

But more news are coming on 09h00 on GBP

More bullish or bearish coming

• Trade wisely

[Adam Global]

As coreCPi manupilated alot of people

Eur also retested the 23.6 fib then went to 50.0 fib

More buy expected till 1.05

[Adam Global]

Gold is back as more bullish is coming

coreCPi manipulation killed alot of account yesterday with good news for selling gold but yet rejected everything & affected all currency with that

Buy more gold n aim for 2955.00

[GVI Forex 2]

After a day of news headlines and whipsaw price action, this article is worth your attention as you get ready for another headline day.

Do you ever wonder what is behind market reactions to headline news?

 

[Belgrade Bobby]

Robinhood Markets Inc. – HOOD

Is this frenzy coming to the end?

Robinhood posts record profit as post-election trading frenzy lifts volumes

Trading platform Robinhood  HOOD reported a surge in fourth-quarter profit on Wednesday, fueled by frenetic activity in equity and crypto markets following Donald Trump’s presidential election victory.

Robinhood’s transaction-based revenue, or income generated from fees for facilitating trading in options, cryptocurrency and equities, in the quarter jumped 236% to $672 million from a year earlier.

Nearly half of those gains came from a 700% rise in revenue related to crypto trading as bitcoin continued its rapid march towards the $100,000 mark during the quarter on hopes of favorable policies under the new Trump administration.

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART – 150, nope, 155?

It was just a few days ago talk was of 150 and now it is 155.

Both sides may prove equally tough although the top end is exposed while above 153.20.

[Belgrade Bobby]

Advanced Micro Devices Inc, – AMD

Very Bearish

Resistance at 112.50 – Support at 107.85

Last defence line is at 101.05

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 4 HOUR CHART –Whipsaw Wednesday

After all the headline driven moves, us500 stayed within its 5987-6092 range.

Expect more chop if it stays within this range.

[Belgrade Bobby]

OpenDoor Technologies Inc – OPEN

Morgan Stanley Cuts Price Target on Opendoor Technologies to $2 From $3, Keeps Equalweight Rating

Opendoor Technologies  OPEN has an average rating of hold and mean price target of $1.77, according to analysts polled by FactSet

Technically OPEN might start having a chance for turnaround.

1.30 has to hold for the sunshine to come…

 

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 4 HOUR CHART –  Headline Roulette

I call a day like today Headline Roulette as your position is only as good as the next news report.

Range remains at 21295-21838… too tight to last..

 

[Belgrade Bobby]

BTCUSD – Bitcoin

Has the time come for Bitcoin to surge again?

Supports: 96.610, 95.500 & 94.000

Resistances: 97.715, 98.550 & 100.200

Even the blind chicken would see that BTC has found a support above 95.000 and now only question that remains is if/when it is going to start rallying again.

Next 48h it should happen if nothing unexpected happens ( like someone talks in his sleep, someone else wants a world peace suddenly and so on – however it is not the news, but how the market will digest it…)

 

[Belgrade Bobby]

XAUUSD – Gold

Is Gold ready for a correction?

Supports: 2885.00, 2865.00 & 2835.00

Resistances: 2910.00, 2940.00 & 2965.00

Time wise – to be able to continue reaching new highs it has to go over previous high in next 4 days.

Pattern wise – it might be ready to go into correction – depending on fundamentals/news in coming days correction can be shallow – till around 2825.00 or a deeper one all the way to 2750.00

[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD Daily

Initial short term downtrend broken.

Supports: 1.03850, 1.03650 & 1.03350

Resistances: 1.04300, 1.04500 & 1.04700

I would easily declare start of the new uptrend if EUR broke above 1.04450 – but it didn’t.

So we need a confirmation tomorrow – if it happens at all.

[Anonymous]

I swear I had no idea Modi’s visiting the USA… I’ve put myself on a self-imposed media blackout esp when it comes to Indian media… the things they publish are just too darn bizzare and outright vulgarity!! I heard today from an acquaintance that some youtuber is under the scanner for asking someone an offensive question about the privacy of parents and the whole of India is up in arms about that matter.

[Anonymous]

Modi’s visiting the USA? When did that happen??

[Anonymous]

I came across a headline yesterday in which the USA is considering a sovereign wealth fund,… well call me late… but just the other day I was considering saying they should have a sovereign wealth fund along the likes of other countries such as Norway and my dear Saudi Arabia etc… But then in order to start that fund the USA wants to offload gold which they purchased at 42 bucks each. Ditching an asset which gives capital appreciation, and superior returns above inflation which stocks have not been able to give. Gold existed ever since the beginning of time even centuries before the USA was even discovered, as a matter of fact that is why they were discovered, it was because of an explorer’s search for Gold and Spices… Trump wants to bail out tiktok and do crypto by dumping money into Moore’s law? He should be negotiating treaties to buy as much gold as can be produced in the world for the next 50 years.

If the FED invests in bond yields then that would fill the void left behind when USAID was dismantled. Bonds are indirect investments into the welfare systems of countries… They got some great non-calleable bond deals going on somewhere in the world. And last I heard on 1 year paper was 6.55%+.

Gold and Bond’s are the only 2 bets for that kind of money.,.. and no other countries know the world like the United States does. What was all that spying done for?

Stock investments are limited by the amount of capital which can be invested in companies. under performance of stocks causes capital erosion which is counter intuitive. Companies won’t last as long as Physical Gold and the countries obviously. eg. India has been around for 5000+ years and which company in the world has been doing business for even 10% of that time?. Additionally, in how many companies in the world can an investor buy 75 billion dollars worth of stock for a 5% stake and be confident that the money is safe,… only maybe 3 or 4 companies if that many.

[GVI Forex 2]

Hedline whipsaq continues… out a little while ago and will have everyone glued to the TV and headlines on Thursday.

It also cyt short the EURUSDF rally that paused just below a key AT level at 1.9432 (high 1.0430, lasr 1.0389)

Source: Newsquawk.com

[Author]

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