[GVI Forex 2]

There has been enoiugh news today to last a week. In the end, it is the reaction that counts.

This came out earlier but we need to hear it from Trump.

Source: Newsquawk.com

[Mtl JP]

end when – next week, month, sometime in 2026 ?

[Jay Ny]

Trump says he and Putin agreed to start negotiations to end Ukraine war: ‘It must end’

[Jay Ny]

Another headline… this one raised hope that a Trump-Putin call will lead to an escalation end to the Russia-Ukraine war

EURUSD pops above 1.04. stocks bounce

[Belgrade Bobby]

DAX – GER 30

This break above 22.000 and momentum to not only hold it above, but to push higher is a very good sign for DAX.

It should be able to reach somewhere between 22.500 & 22.800 , and then any correction can be controlled.

So as far as it moves from 22K – better on the long run.

[Belgrade Bobby]

GME – GameStop Corporation

Yes Jinx it I did 😀

24.60 first and then 23.50 would be technically perfect.

Overall Target should be in 18.00 area now.

[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD 4h Update

EUR bounced sharply and reached 1.03800 once again.

Now the question is how is it going to Close this bar in about hour and half.

Options:

–          Close above 1.03600 – Bullish – it would go way above 1.03800 and change the Daily direction to Up

–          Close below 1.03500 – Bearish – Another leg down testing at least 1.02900

Later tonight I’ll reassess the situation and post another update

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 30 MINUTE CHART – MIND THE GAP

Held above 5987 bottom of the range but upside is limited while below the top of the post-CPI gap.

[GVI Forex 2]

So much for that move off a nothing burger headline… 10-year still above 4.65%… EURUSD needs to hold 1.0350-54 or risk turns back to the low… USDJPY staying bid

[GVI Forex 2]

News trading algos reacting to keyword phrases and any hint of a way out of a  tariff trade war.

Source: Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

USD spikes down on these tariff related comments, suggests no definitive announcement today.

Source: Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

US 10 year at 4,651%… fx paying notice

There is a10-year bond auction today.

 

[GVI Forex 2]

2nd day of testimony by Powell coming up, this time to the House Banking Committee.

Typically it is a repeat of the prior day but this time expect questionx about today’s CPI report.

[GVI Forex 2]

Keeping an eye on bond yields as others will be doiing the same…it looks like US 10 yr 4.65% is acting as resistance… EURUSD would need to regain 1.0354 to be back in the overngiht range.

[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD 4h

EUR reached my target at 1.03800 and got rejected sharply.

For this move to continue, it has to go below 1.03100 in next 4h.

Resistances: 1.03400, 1.03600 & 1.03800

Supports: 1.03100, 1.02900 & 1.02800

[GVI Forex 2]

10 year yield spikes higher after CPI… USD up, stocks down, XAUUSD down

[GVI Forex 2]

Hotter CPI, both headline and core… details in our Economic Data Calendar

[GVI Forex 2]

No reaction to this but is setting up a potential battle with the Fed and a lame duck Powell.

Source: Newsquawk.com

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD held test of the 1.0385 level cited earlier…(where it was trading when reciprocal tariffs news hit last Friday)

Key levels are above 1.04… 1.0410 and 1.0432

Minor support 1.0364

1.0350-55 is pvotal on the downside

[GVI Forex 2]

NEWsQUAWK US OPEN

USD and USTs steady ahead of US CPI while crude slips; reports suggest optimism surrounding Middle Eastern talks

Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 5 things you need to know for today’s market.

5 Things You Need to Know

US President Trump responded “We’ll see” when asked if reciprocal tariffs are still coming on Wednesday.

European bourses hold an upward tilt pre-US CPI and with tariffs capping optimism; US futures are mixed.

USD steady ahead of CPI, JPY is on the backfoot given the yield environment.

USTs trade steady ahead of CPI, German yields continue their march higher.

Crude slips on inventories which saw a surprise build in headline crude stockpiles, reports suggest there is “some optimism about reaching a solution” on Middle Eastern talks

Try Newsquawk for 7 Days Free

[GVI Forex 2]

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

Hyperactive U.S. policy moves appear to have frozen macro markets this week, with Wednesday’s key U.S. inflation release set to hold Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell’s benign take on economy up to the light.

Powell basically told Congress on Tuesday that the economy was fine and that Fed policy was sufficiently well calibrated to deal to with uncertainties surrounding the new government plans – credit is still ‘restrictive’ while they wait and see.

Morning Bid: Calm descends as inflation, tariffs parsed

[Mtl JP]

arrgghhh ah-ahwooo

“No, I would say that, you know, overworked maybe, not overstaffed. Everybody at the Fed works really hard,” Powell, tuesday’s hearing

[GVI Forex 2]

GER30 4 HOUR CHART – 22,000

Finally cracks the 22000 barrier… now becomes the pivotal level in the absence of resistance (other than the new record high)

Keeps a bid while above 21725-21886

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART – Pause

I called the risk of a directional shift/pause/yesterday.

For today,

Upside limited while below 2909

Supports: 2881/2852/2834/2806

2852 is most significant, below it would negate the lsst leg up to 2942.

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART – Unwinding J{Y crosses lead the way

Short-term trend : Up

Longer-term trend: Retracement. 153.975 = 38.2% vs 153.88 high so far today

Keeps a bid while above 153.20

Below 152.89 puts 152,00-50 back on the table

Watch JPY crosses, US bond yields after CPI, headlines for any news on reciprocal tariffs

[GVI Forex 2]

Using my playing as a HEAztMAP

Tug-of-war

USDJPY up

JPY weaker on crosses (EURJPY leading)

USD mixed elsewhere,

EURUSD high 1.0380. vs 1.0385, where it was trading when reciprocal tariffs news hit last Friday

Next up: US CPI … see detailed preview

[Adam Global]

EUR is still battling the moving average & resisting the 38.2 fib & the trend line

Is ti buying or selling?

People are worried & scared but coreCPi will break all this confusion

[Adam Global]

GBP is expected to reach 1.25000 since the moving average is showing bullish momentum

[Adam Global]

Bitcoin failed to reach 100000.00 mark

more sellers are back

Parabolic sar & moving average are holding Bitcoin down

Support of 95000.00 is still holding

Is it time to buy or sell ??

[Adam Global]

Buyers are back in usdjpy

& the moving average is flashing bullish till 155.000

Will the trend hold or will it break??

[Author]

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