February 4 Earnings Releases
Several highly anticipated stocks reported earnings today. Among them, Qualcomm was the day’s biggest loser, while Adient emerged as the top winner.
Qualcomm reported Q1 2026 revenue of $12.25 billion, up 5% year over year and above expectations. However, its Q2 revenue guidance of $10.2 billion to $11 billion fell short of forecasts, triggering a 9% stock drop.
Adient shares jumped 13% to $23.77 after the company raised its outlook. The automotive seating maker now expects 2026 revenue of about $14.6 billion, up from a prior estimate of $14.4 billion, and lifted its adjusted EBITDA forecast to roughly $880 million from $845 million.

USDJPY 156.88 at 18.55 in NY
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Sofar looks like players are intent on juicing the Sunday election current theme of the prospect of loose(r) fiscal policy and more meddling with the BoJ from Takaichi.
Japanese media appears to be in drunk-like infatuation with her winning a strong mandate.
Takaichi’s fiscal plans scream for
a) immediate tax cuts for consumers and
b) greater cooperation with the BoJ
This is adding up for (maybe) more JGBs weakness as players demand more compensation for more inflation and more carelessness with price stability.
I am baised.
I look for the current USDJPY rally to continue.
maybe 200 more
and soooooo what is trade: buy more gold ?
Bessent Says Fed Lacks Accountability and Has Lost Public Trust (NYT and most every msm rag)
“The independence of the Fed is based on its trust of the American people,” Mr. Bessent said. “The Federal Reserve lost the trust of the American people when it allowed the greatest inflation in 49 years to ravage — ravage — the working people of this country.”
earlier this afternoon:
yaaaa … what – me worried ? No pressure. None.
Trump says ‘not much’ doubt interest rates will be lowered, in NBC interview:
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-kevin-warsh-fed-raise-interest-rates-rcna257458
Newsquawk US Market Wrap Part 2
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Newsquawk US Market Wrap Part 1
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US500 (SP500) UPDATE
Shaken but not broken.
US500 4 HOUR CHART

Stocks get a lift from US-Iran talks back on
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History, Past Performance, Hope (and fwiw)
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Coindesk
This onchain metric has identified the Bitcoin bottom every cycle
By James Van Straten | Edited by Omkar Godbole, Feb 4, 2026
Convergence between bitcoin supply in profit and supply in loss has repeatedly coincided with major market lows.
Trump applies pressure on Iran

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ETHUSD
Recent falls in cryptocurrencies have left buyers looking at the next chart support levels where they could buy them back at a cheaper level after a steep fall. Ethereum has fallen to the 2,150 level, the lowest since June 2025 . Whether buyers step in here or fail to hold this support could determine whether the move proves to be a temporary liquidity flush or the beginning of a deeper trend shift.
Ethereum’s price may continue searching for equilibrium within historically significant valuation ranges, with near-term direction hinging on whether activity stabilises or accelerates further.

XAUUSD (GOLD) UPDATE
XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART

Bessent on the USD

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Bessent on the USD

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BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
I was sent this earlier:
“Historically, there’s been a “tremendous amount” of near-religious belief in holding on to Bitcoin no matter what, Michael Novogratz, chief executive officer of Galaxy Digital LP, said on an earnings call. “And somehow that virus or that fever broke, and you started seeing some selling.”
BTCUSD 4 HOUR CHART

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