[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) UPDATE

• On the defensive while below 25000 with the break below 24640 putting 23833 on the radar with a void to around 23000 below it.
• On the upside, it would take a move back above 25000 to cool the risk.

NAS100 DAILY CHART

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 (SP500) UPDATE

• On the defensive and dependent on 6781 holding to prevent further losses where 6715 is the remaining obstacle to 6496.
• To cool the downside risk, 6800+, at a minimum, needs to be regained and become support.

US500 DAILY CHART

[GVI Forex 2]

Stocks take late hit following Amazon earnings

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[Mtl JP]

EURO 1.1780
at current range’s bottom

should puppy break down from the bottom price line looks like little S till 1.1725-ish

Qtn is …
what are the odds that usd will gain more strenght

[Mtl JP]

Market , imo, still rather blaze as not one is more than 2% off on the day
–
DJIA -1.18%

S&P 500 -1.20%

Nasdaq -1.55%

Russell 2000 -1.91%

[Mtl JP]

BTC sub 63K
alternatively one could also eyeball the “all-time high of $126,000” (accr’dg to coindesk) for 50% haircut for the next argumentating about where next

[Belgrade Bobby]

NIO Inc.

Nio has been in consolidation from early December 2025. After losing quickly over 40% of its value.

Now first sign of recovery might be this bounce from the trendline at 4.40, but before we see it above 5.00 it is all just smoke…

Resistance for tomorrow  : 4.90

Supports:  4.65 & 4.45

[Belgrade Bobby]

US Stocks Biggest Losers of The Day

[Belgrade Bobby]

US Stocks Top Gainers Today

[Belgrade Bobby]

BTCUSD Daily

Bitcoin lost 75K and now what we are looking at ( this free fall) might be just a beginning of longer wave downward.

Put aside all figures that many “experts” are auctioning on the net, and wishful thinking of those locked in the instrument.

This is pure and simple Liquidation.

First reasonable support comes around 49.500, and if BTC finds some strength prior to it, it would be fantastic…

I am just saying what I’m seeing – not cheering for either side….

 

[Belgrade Bobby]

XRPUSD Update

When I said earlier today : “Ripple is in freefall – 0.9535 most probable first target.” I didn’t mean today….but right now looks as tomorrow could be a good day for it as any…

Joke aside, Ripple took a dive around 20% today , and with a close coming fast at around these levels , situation for coming 24h is bleak.

A miracle is needed to stop this fall, and I don’t see any.

 

[Mtl JP]

USDCAD 1.3675 is essentially unchaged after
– post “https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2026/02/structural-change-canada-at-a-crossroads/”

Macklem’s economy under Liberal and ex BoE honch Carney is heading deeper into the toilet

The Qtn now is if usdcad will pop N of 1.37 OR
plumb S of 1.3650/25

[Mtl JP]

Introductory Risk Math 101
curtesy ZH
–
Post-Silvergeddon: Bagholders, Broken Vol, And Bidless
AGQ bagholders (the 2× leveraged silver ETF) now need a 3× move just to break even.

[Mtl JP]

My trust in the sanity-ability of the market is being slowly renewed when see headlines such as this one for ex.:
“Peloton shares plunge more than 20% on weak holiday quarter, sluggish demand for splashy new products” – cnbc

yeah … splash .. splish splash
or maybe slowly back to Buffet’s Core Valuation Philosophy: Focus on intrinsic value, cash flow, and margin of safety

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) UPDATE

Posted this morning and turned out to be a good guide

• • What the chart shows is that moves outside of 4800-5000 have so far not followed through.

Chart shows:
• So far. a solid support at 4787
• Resistance at 4943 blocks a return to 5000

XAUUSD  4 HOUR CHART

[Mtl JP]

BTC having plumbed sub 66 (65989 LoD sofar)
makes me think if the BTC world is also privilleged to be subject to the schedenfreudian degenerate traders’s howki-powki curiosity about the 50% haircut

[Mtl JP]

GVI 5:39 / I am wondering, given all the factoids around BTC and alleged hypothesies about costs of mining BTC, some kind of (im)balance between sellers and buyers etc, IF 50% haircut off the 1yr 124,714 high ($62,357) would not be somehow significant to the crypto world’s enthusiasts for next direction

[GVI Forex 2]

BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE

• Meltdown through 70K has seen next support at 66794 tested (low 66529), which was the target following the break of 74301.=
• So despite the volatility, it is performing technically according to my charts although it is near impossible to fine tune exact levels.
• So, support is at 66500-800, below which is a void into the 50-60K zone.
• Otherwise, 70K+ would be needed to slow a risk to this level and below.

BTCUSD WEEKLY CHART

 

[GV World]

ETHUSD

“Ethereum has set a new on-chain milestone by recording 2.88 million transactions in a single day, the highest in its history.”

Not necessarily a bull signal, in fact the opposite. Increased ETH movement often indicates that more investors are withdrawing funds from wallets, often in large transactions.. Ethereum today is down nearly 10% currently at 1,940 at the time of writing.

[GVI Forex 2]

US equity update:

Stocks getting hit after weaker JOLTS report

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Update

Focus on a weaker GBP with a tug-of-war between GBPUSD (down) and EURUSD (lagging but supported)… market has been having more trouble absorbing the GBP selling… see if weaker JOLTS report changes the dynamic

EURGBP 4 HOUR CHART

[GVI Forex 2]

Big miss in JOLTS (job openings)

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[GVI Forex 2]

US JOLTS report due at the top of the hour.

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) UPDATE

It has been one way down since 24917 on a daily chart and dependent on 25640 holding (briefly broken so far) or risk shifts to 23833

Resistance at 24880 blocks a return to safety at 25000.

NAS100 DAILY CHART

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 (SP500) UPDATE

• Momentum turning to the downside
• Firm 6839 break would expose 6780-00 with 6715 below it.
• Back above 6839 is needed to cool the risk, back above 6900 to negate.

US500 4 HOUR CHART

]

[GVI Forex 2]

LaGarde also said they don’t target exchange rates but keep an eye on it

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[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Daily Equity Opening News

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Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

US bond yields dip on risk off and US jobs reports..USDJPY dips back below 157, now focused on 156.50 to see if it can hold

 

[Belgrade Bobby]

XRPUSD Daily

Ripple is in freefall – 0.9535 most probable first target.

Resistance now at 1.5120

Last line of defense comes at 0.8500 area and separates it from falling all the way to 0.50

 

 

[Belgrade Bobby]

Euro Steadies After ECB Holds Rates

The euro traded around $1.18, recovering modest early-session losses after the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged as expected.

The ECB reiterated that inflation is expected to stabilize at its 2% target over the medium term, while noting that the euro area economy remains resilient despite an uncertain outlook driven by global trade policy risks and ongoing geopolitical tensions.

[Author]

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