US500 (SP500) UPDATE
Shaken but not broken.
US500 4 HOUR CHART

Stocks get a lift from US-Iran talks back on
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History, Past Performance, Hope (and fwiw)
–
Coindesk
This onchain metric has identified the Bitcoin bottom every cycle
By James Van Straten | Edited by Omkar Godbole, Feb 4, 2026
Convergence between bitcoin supply in profit and supply in loss has repeatedly coincided with major market lows.
Trump applies pressure on Iran

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ETHUSD
Recent falls in cryptocurrencies have left buyers looking at the next chart support levels where they could buy them back at a cheaper level after a steep fall. Ethereum has fallen to the 2,150 level, the lowest since June 2025 . Whether buyers step in here or fail to hold this support could determine whether the move proves to be a temporary liquidity flush or the beginning of a deeper trend shift.
Ethereum’s price may continue searching for equilibrium within historically significant valuation ranges, with near-term direction hinging on whether activity stabilises or accelerates further.

XAUUSD (GOLD) UPDATE
XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART

Bessent on the USD

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Bessent on the USD

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BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
I was sent this earlier:
“Historically, there’s been a “tremendous amount” of near-religious belief in holding on to Bitcoin no matter what, Michael Novogratz, chief executive officer of Galaxy Digital LP, said on an earnings call. “And somehow that virus or that fever broke, and you started seeing some selling.”
BTCUSD 4 HOUR CHART

Cryptos: Don’t ask the US for help

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US stocks got a modest lift following this TS post

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AUDUSD (1HR)
The Australian dollar strengthened further to around $0.703, extending the prior session’s hawkish-policy-driven rally. The move brings the pair back toward three-year highs, supported by market expectations of further rate hikes and upbeat services PMI data.
The price is currently holding above resistance 0.700, supported by the emergence of positive signals from relative strength indicators. Continued trading above EMA50 provides dynamic support and will reinforcing the stability and dominance of the main bullish trend on short-term basis.

ISM Services mixed: Headline beat, employment miss, prices paid inch up

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Nice trade if you used Bobby’s info
EURUSD low 1.1803 => last 1.1819 after 1.18 options defense
February 4, 2026 at 1:26 pm#36010
Belgrade Bobby
FX option expiries for 4 February 10am New York cut
Important ones for EUR/USD and currently sandwiching the current spot price, with the expiries resting at 1.1800 and 1.1850. They’re not ones that tie to any technical significance but could act as bookends for price action in terms of any extensions we see during European morning trade later.
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