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Will History Repeat and U.S. Stocks Rally After the Midterms?
History strongly favors higher stock prices. However, investors face several headwinds that could complicate the outlook, including concerns about AI valuations, elevated oil prices, developments in the Gulf and the direction of U.S. Treasury yields. While the election may remove one source of uncertainty, it will not automatically remove the economic and financial pressures affecting markets. That leaves traders with a familiar challenge: weighing an impressive historical pattern against the conditions in front of them
.Newsquawk Week Ahead In Focus 2nd-6th November 2026 Highlights include US Midterm Election, NFP, ISM PMIs, RBA, BoE and EZ CPI SEE DETAILED PREVIEWS
Can AI Trading Bots Improve Results or Make Losses Worse?
You enter a trade with a clear plan. You know why you are buying or selling, where your stop belongs and when you intend to take a profit. Then prices start flashing. The market moves against you and approaches your stop. You question your entry. Perhaps the direction was right but the timing was wrong. Price stalls, turns and returns to your entry point…. then what happens?
The One Word That Makes Markets Move: Failure
What is the one word that helps explain movements in the markets? Is it technicals? News? Momentum? Fundamentals? All of these influence prices. However, there is another way to look at market behavior that can help put the action into perspective
Market Update: Indices (Weekly CFD)
With stocks under pressure, metals and cryptos cratering, USD bouncing (EURUSD 1.1150 is again pivotal), it seems a search for liquidity or simply month end flows. Whatever the case, US500 is clinging to support above 7610 (below creates an outside week => bearish) and NAS100 trying to hold off a run at 28000. Going strictly by the weekly charts show next key levels around 7500 and 27000.
XAGUSD: Metals meltdown
XAGUSD $50 has a historic significance dating back to the 1980s and the move back to it makes it the pivotal lebvel to watch as it also stands midpoint in a potential $45-55 range. It is not clear whether the run out of riskier assets is driven by the risk off mood in stocks, month end or a need fror liquidty.
Market Update: Indices (4 hour CFDs)_
Focus on equities as risk mood turns sour has seen US500 break 7665 support but damage not fatal unless 7610 is broken.
NAS100 broke its 28820 low (and a key 28755 support below it) leaving a void on charts until 27000 although 28000 is likely most important . Low so far 28674
While month end rebalancing will be a factor today, market will likely treat any bounces as retracvements unless 7700 and/or 29K are regained.
With the non-event ECB meeting turning into an event, focus now shifts to the BoJ
BanK of Japan meeting preview
Intel Shares Slammed as Revenue Miss and Guidance Overshadow EPS Beat
Intel shares fell sharply as disappointing forward guidance and a revenue miss overshadowed stronger-than-expected adjusted earnings. Third-quarter adjusted EPS came in at $0.52 versus $0.41 expected, while revenue totaled $16.5 billion, just below the $16.6 billion forecast.
Amazon shares fell after earnings missed expectations, adding pressure to the broader market and pulling major stock indices lower.
Amazon shares dropped sharply after third-quarter earnings and sales fell short of expectations, weighing on major stock indices. Earnings came in at $1.89 per share versus $1.97 expected, while sales totaled $201.9 billion, below the $202.2 billion forecast
.Market Update: Indices
Stocks trying to contain the downside after NAS100 ran into a wall around 30K (double top) and US500 failed to reach 7800
Now dependent on NAS100 holding 29132 and/or US500 staying above 7700 (low 7692) to restore a bid and 7655 to keep the downside in check.
Next up: Focus on a slew of earnings with a key focus on Amazon.
