[Adam Global]

USDJPY rebounded off its one- month low at📈 156.07, carving out a bullish doji candle that signaled an initial corrective bounce.

[Adam Global]

NZDUSD is crashing down 📉 after the government had a clash…other wanted to hike rates but they decided to leave rates unchanged

[GVI Forex 2]

GBPUSD 4 HOUR: 1.33 pivotal

Momentum building to the downside following break of key 1.3299 support. If 1.3299 (use 133) becomes resistance, 1.3229 is next target. If not, downside cools but only back above 1.3359 would break momentum. Key event: Autumn budget today

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: Waiting for the Fed

US stocks holding a bid but NAS100 still below 30K. FOMC and earnings the key focus. EURUSD sets a double bottom at 1.1113 but for how long? So far, it has checked the downside. Crude oil remains firm and while a factor, not the key focus.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 1 HOUR:  4000-4100?

Keeping a bid while above 4000 but consolidating after a brief spike to 4070, which is now the obstacle to building momentum for a run at 4100.

Should trade stay within 4000-4100, then 4050 will set its intra-day tone.

With that said, what stands out on this chart is the double bottom at 3989, which will encourage the bulls as long as it holds.

[GVI Forex 2]

FED POLICY ANNOUNCEMENT (WED):

The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged at between 3.75-4.00%. According to a poll by Reuters, 94 of 100 economists surveyed see a hold, in line with the 10% chance of a hike the CME implies….. BUT what about a hike in December?

SEE DETAILED PREVIEW

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[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD WEEKLY (Bobby and I had the same long standing target at 1.1065, standing in the way is the 1.1113 low, which is exposed while below 1.1150

See post below…

September 30, 2026 at 4:06 pm#44166
Belgrade BobbyKeymaster EURUSD Weekly

Remember what I told you last Friday: 1.13950 – but Important part is where EURUSD will close tonight…if below it, expect continuation of the downside. So continued it did…

Resistance – 1.13950  Next target (few weeks time…) 1.10655

 

[GVI Forex 2]

Indices Market Update: Looking ahead to earnings

Focus on Alphabet and Microsoft earnings tomorrow with US500 needing to stay above 7703 and NAS100 above 29414 (breakout levels) to keep a bid, Reaction to data and how indices end the after hours session will set the tone after markets digest the FOMC decision.

[Adam Global]

AUDUSD’ is encountering repeated resistance at the 100-day SMA around 0.7035. But I’m waiting for Asian 🌏 session to see if CPI could push AusUSD higher 📈 or lower 📉

[Adam Global]

GER40 index (cash) is edging📈 higher for a second straight day, reclaiming the 20- and 100-day SMAs and approaching the 50-day SMA at 25,600

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: Risk on

Stocks extending gains, NAS100 needs to stay above 29414 and regain 30K to give serious life to the upside. USD remains bid with EURUSD trading offered while below 1.1150 but still above its intra-day 1.1135 low Crude is trading down about 1% and helping to support the risk on mood.

[GVI Forex 2]

USDCAD 4 HOUR: Retracement?

A pause above 1,3950 (61.8%) keeps a risk that the sharp drop from 1.4300 may yet turn out to be a retracement. For the bounce off 1.3968 to build momentum and shift the focus from 1.40, 1.4082 and then 1.4112 need to be taken out. Key to what comes next will be reactions to the BoC and Fed meetings on Wednesday.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 1 HOUR  Breakout?

It has been one way (up) since the 3989 double bottom that now needs the 4044 breakout level to become support to point the risk at 4100. If not, still keeps a bid as long as 4400+ trades but less so if 4440+ doesn’t hold.

[GVI Forex 2]

US Consumer Confidence Beats

October CB Consumer Confidencee rises to 91.7 vs.consensus dip to 81 and prior. 84.2 Consumers’ expectations for inflation over the next 12 months eased in October but remained elevated at 5.8% .

[GVI Forex 2]

US30 (DJIA) 4 HOUR (CFD)

Lagging other indices as it trades within a 52000-53000 range. Onus is on the bull side to break 52528 to shift the focus away from the current risk to the downside and back to the 52629 high.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 vs. NAS100 (4 hour CFD)

Both making a bid (so far not holding) to break momentum with moves above 7703 and 20414, respectively. Of the two, NAS100 is most important as it led the tech driven sell-off. To suggest more than a retracement, these levels would need to become supports. Otherwise, dependent on 7665 and/or 29135 holding to keep the current bid

 

 

 

[GVI Forex 2]

US BOND YIELDS UPDATE

Yields now ticking up (curve flattening), reversing easrlier tick down as bond market seems to be reacting to a better start to stocks, which is setting an early  risk on mood awaiting key eanings later on. Keep an eye on FX to see if there are any correlations. Otherwise, still a wait-and-see ahead of the FOMC.

[Adam Global]

US100 index (cash) is trading sideways around 29,300 today, following two 📈straight green sessions

[Adam Global]

EURJPY has been 📈consolidating📉 within a tight range of 175.90-176.40 amid a broader downtrend on the 4-hour chart.

[Adam Global]

USDJPY is jumping for a 📈second straight day, surpassing the 50-day SMA at 157.45 and testing the 20- day SMA at 157.90, ahead of Friday’s BoJ policy meeting.

[Adam Global]

Gold is trading cautiously near the psychological 4,000 mark,ahead of an expected FOMC

[GVI Forex 2]

US Bond Yields Snapshot

Yields down a touch (slight curve steepening) as markets wait to see to what extent the Fed indicates a hawkish hold (no change expected Wed, current odds favor a Dec rate hike. See if FX markets pays notice to the dip in yields.

 

[Adam Global]

As we’re all preparing for tomorrow’s earnings release + 🇺🇸federal rates, 🇳🇿 rates hike, 🇨🇦 rate hikes & 🇦🇺 CPI Volatility is gonna be on max ⚠️

[GVI Forex 2]

USDX (US DOLLAR INDEX) 4 HOUR

EUR, 57.6% of the index, leading it higher with a test above key 102.26 resistance. To make a run at the major 102.94 level or at least fill the gap, EURUSD would need to break its 1.1113 low.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR –Focus stays on 4000

Failure to test 4044 leaves 4000 as the pivotal level. Onus is on the bull side to trade above 4000 or risk stays on the downside although consolidating while above the 3975 recent low. Low so far 3989, now a double bottom.

[Belgrade Bobby]

Wall Street bounced to start Fed week. The Nasdaq rose 0.82% and the S&P 500 gained 0.70%, led by chips after Anthropic filed for an IPO. Oil came off its six-month highs, and gold held near $4,000. Next up: the Fed on Wednesday, plus Microsoft and Alphabet earnings.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 vs. NAS100: Why Our Levels Matter

Upside in both indices was capped at our key resistance levels cited earlier. US500 tested 7703, while NAS100 came within two points of 29414 before being repelled and remain the levels to watch. The bounces off the lows, meanwhile, need to break and hold above resistance to suggest downside momentum is losing its grip. Otherwise, the upside remains limited.

[GVI Forex 2]

USDX (US DOLLAR INDEX) 4 HOUR

For momentum to build off higher lows, 102.10-26 would need to be taken out. With EUR representing 57.6% of the index, it would take a weaker EURUSD to make a run at key resistance.

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD 4 HOUR: Low back on the radar?

Failure to hold 1.12+ has seen the 1.1182 bottom of the consolidation range broken. If 1.1182 becomes resistance, then the 1.1113 low comes on the radar although 1.1150 more likely will determine whether to go after the low or not. If not, above, 1.1182 would put 1.12 back in focus.

 

 

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: Yield curve flattening

A flatter yield curve means the gap between short-term and long-term bond yields is narrowing. Its significance depends on which yields are moving and why.

 

[Author]

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