Newsquawk Week Ahead Highlights in Focus 15-19th June 2026
Newsquawk Week in Focus 15-19th June 2026: Highlights include Fed, BoJ, RBA, BoE, SNB, US Retail Sales, Japan CPI, UK Inflation and UK Jobs


Pakistan’s PM Sharif says following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the peace deal between US and Islamic Republic of Iran has been reached and official signing ceremony will take place on Friday, 19th June in Switzerland
Says:
Both sides have declared immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts including in Lebanon.
With an agreement now in place, the mediators will facilitate a series of meetings this week.
Prez T: Israeli strike on Beirut shouldn’t have happened; none of Lebanon should be struck in future
—
Swiss voters reject far-right proposal to cap population at 10 million
Exit polls show clear defeat for Swiss People’s Party initiative that would have sharply curbed immigration, ended free movement with the European Union and forced Switzerland to abandon key international agreements
– Daniel Bettini, news agencies
Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Risk-on as markets await US-Iran deal signing; SpaceX rises 19% on trading debut
SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries down, Crude down, Dollar mixed, Gold down
.
Devil will be in the details. Look for both sides to claim victory.

This headline is giving risk a lift and should put a floor under it ahead of the weekend.

US500 and NAS100 DAILY
US500: While low is in for now, above 7486-7500 is nee3ded to filly negate the risk and put the record high back in play.,
NAS100: While low is in for now, above 29820-30000is needed to fully negaTE THE RISK and ut the record high back in play.
…. as llong as the MOU bpeace deal is agreed and does not fall apart
US500 NAS100

U of M Consumer Sentiment: Headline beast, inflations expectations dip

US PRE-MARKET MOVERS: SPCX, ALAB/CRWV/NBIS/RKLB/TER, ADBE, LEN, NVDA, AMD
ES +0.2% NQ flat RTY +0.2%


This is what I meant by false or misleading news
The news of the transfer of USD 3bln from the UAE to Iran is false, reports Mehr News
The news published that USD 3bln in money was transferred from the UAE to Iran by Emirates Airlines is false and no frozen Iranian financial resources have been released so far. via Mehr News

Beware: There have been a lot of false or misleading headlines on what is in the MOU
No idea if this one is accurate
The current text of the memorandum of understanding with Washington does not include the phrase “extension of the ceasefire,” but rather a complete end to the war on all fronts, reports Iranian News Agency
Thios caught my attention
From the Editor
It was a stop-and-start kind of week both on Wall Street and in the Gulf, as tech stocks wavered heading into the historic IPO from Elon Musk’s SpaceX and fresh fighting broke out in the Middle East. Could news on Thursday of a potential deal between the U.S. and Iran signal “risk on”? Maybe, unless equity indigestion sets in.
Public listings were obviously the main market story of the week, as SpaceX priced the biggest IPO in historyon Thursday, raising a record-breaking $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion valuation. This makes Musk the world’s first trillionaire. Given the abnormally large allocation to retail investors – and lousy track record for large tech IPOs in the weeks following listings – the question now is whether these small players might get burned… full story on Reuters Morning Bid

Forex Market Snapshot
The dollar is trading mixed despite hopes for a peace deal.
What caught my eye is the trio of commodity currencies (AUD, NZD, CAD) down marginally on the day despite the hope trade elsewhere.
EUR and GBP are up slightly,
USDJPY is flat after coming off its high but clinging to 160+.

Will number 38 be the one that proves true?
There isn’t an official count from the White House, but several news outlets have tracked Trump’s repeated statements that a deal with Iran was “close,” “largely negotiated,” “in the final throes,” or would be announced “shortly.”
One recent analysis counted 37 separate public predictions that an Iran deal was near.
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