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Forex Market Snapshot

USDCNH(4HR)
USDCNH remains in a mildly bearish trend, with the pair continuing to trade below the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) and the upper boundary of a descending channel. In the near term, momentum appears neutral to slightly bearish following a recent rejection in the 6.90–6.91 area.
Key support levels are seen at 6.88 and 6.845. On the upside, resistance is located at 6.89 and at 6.91

USDCNH
“Top U.S. and Chinese officials are in trade talks in Paris ahead of an expected meeting in Beijing between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.“
China’s yuan held steady against the U.S. dollar on Monday despite the escalating war involving Iran, as traders digested new economic data and kept a close watch on ongoing Sino-U.S. trade negotiations. Analysts said the yuan continues to draw support from resilient exports, exporters’ willingness to convert dollar earnings into yuan, and China’s relative buffer against energy shocks.
March 16 Post-Market Earnings Release Stocks
(SMTC) Semtech Corp rose after reporting adjusted earnings of 44 cents per share for the quarter ended Jan. 31, up from 40 cents a year earlier. The company has also posted solid long-term growth, with sales rising at a 12% compounded annual rate over the past five years, outpacing the broader semiconductor industry.
(AGRO) Adecoagro. The Profertil acquisition expanded the company’s scale, but 2025 earnings fell as lower commodity prices, mixed productivity, and higher U.S.-dollar costs weighed on results, alongside downtime at the fertilizer plant and higher leverage.
(CATX) Perspective Therapeutics, Inc. reported a wider $103.1 million net loss in 2025, driven by higher R&D spending and manufacturing expansion. The company ended the year with $144.7 million in cash and investments and raised $175 million in early 2026.

WTI 95.xx; Brent 102.8x
Gulf fears. Sunni Arab Gulf neighbours – close allies of the U.S. that host American military bases. For Gulf leaders, inaction is now the greater risk.
Gulf states press US to neutralise Iran for good as Hormuz crisis deepens By Samia Nakhoul, Reuters
If trump is screwed, how screwed are trump’s gulf buddies ?
A VERY TIMELY ARTICLE IN OUR BLOG
News Algos in Trading: Why Markets Suddenly Spike During Geopolitical Crises

Crude Oil Sinks on Signals from Strait of Hormuz
U.S. crude oil futures settle down 5.3% to $93.50 a barrel. That’s as the world is getting signals that Iran is letting some tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. “India managed to move two LNG tankers through the Strait of Hormuz which is raising the possibility that individual countries will make separate deals with Iran in coming days
Brent crude falls 2.8% to $100.21 a barrel.

Bitcoin tops $74.5K but are pro traders turning bullish again?
Bitcoin derivatives remain bearish as traders hedge against a price drop despite BTC reclaiming the $74,000 level.
Fears of a global energy shortage mount as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, forcing investors into safe-haven Treasury assets.
Bitcoin (BTC) climbed above $74,000 on Monday, following gains on the Nasdaq Index
Despite this bullish background, Bitcoin derivatives suggest professional traders were unfazed by the rally that pushed prices to a 40-day high.

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