I see Yen futures moving higher overall and we will see these levels again almost certainly, but this is a significant price area where an intermediate buy cycle for spot pairs should be expected and so the buy side of Yen pairs should look good for a period of days with just above 149 UsdJpy as a barometer.
The caveat with Euro is the meltdown of France’s political system this week and the Geo conditions. My preference in that one remains short until we see Dow 4400 or lower, which I believe is pending. Unless we get something very positive fundamentally, because for now stocks have shifted to a stock picking environment.
Larger picture I would be on the buy size of AudNzd from nearby levels for 1.1150 or better. These sells are the conclusion of an intermediate sell cycle in that pair and others, including Michael’s Euro view.
Due to the increasingly hair trigger Geo conditions I would not bet against Swiss Franc and am in the process of scaling positions in it.
Michael – regarding your post on bias shift in Euro, not today in my view but I see growing conditions for that to filter in as soon as tomorrow, I posted this yesterday …. “I see some conditions that point toward EurGbp pulling up toward 8400 in coming days”.
The cross is doing it just not the major yet.
I see a lot of volume in 149.60 area still present for UsdJpy based on futures and options contracts with 149.30 being the same but less. So the potential for a stop/order run through the latter is conceivable and .60 you may hit a sweet spot unless the market absolutely reverses in my view. A bit much to ask for today but possible.
China has banned exports of Germanium and other minerals which have great military importance for the US with Germanium important for nuclear and conventional missile production. This is a significant counter to the tariff threats raised and can be viewed as the only actual move made by either party to this point. China went right for military applications and also some key civilian mineral applications that effect communication and technology.
This coupled with the announcement of martial law by Yoon in South Korea is a clear window into growing hostility in the background with China, North Korea, South Korea, and Russia.
JOLTS due at the top of the hour,,, see our Economic Calendar
Savvy trader so far looking savvy with his timely update.
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