In sum-total, players for all kinds of reasons of their own still appear to be favoring the dollar and appear to be keeping it for now.
what is notheworthy is that some other yields are also rising – remember: relative yields are a price-moving force so imo as lomg as DLRx keeps 107.70, things dlr-positive continue for the time being
Alert: Trump Expected to Hold News Conference at Mar-a-Lago
Hold on to your seat belts (I heard 11:00 AM ESTbut no mention if tume in the article)
President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to hold his second news conference since winning the election in November on Tuesday morning at his Florida residence and club, Mar-a-Lago.
The ostensible topic is expected to relate to an economic development announcement. But Mr. Trump is likely to take questions, and if history is a guide, he will do so on a range of issues. (NYT)
Double WHAMMY Beat… USD UP, YIELDS UP, STOCKS DOWN
ISM Services beats on upside, prices paid higher as well
JOLTS also beats on upside
EURUSD 4h
Last night’s scenario that I shared with you unfolded perfectly so far.
Now what we need to see – for continuation of the downtrend – is to go through 1.03500 and 1.03300 later on.
We can see on this chart a perfect Double Top, and probability of it going down is increasing.
However, if pair succeeds in closing tonight above 1.03800 – picture changes dramatically.
So watch those two supports closely….

AT (Amazing Trader) Trade AlertS: 5 for 5 today using a 1.25:1 R/R

Join GTA (free) nd get a half price AT subscription as a member benefit.
(Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets by Amanda Cooper.
Trading action so far has been dominated by uncertainty over incoming U.S. President Donald Trump’s threatened tariffs. But the “will he, won’t he” narrative looks likely to take a backseat as a number of key metrics on the labour market start to filter through ahead of Friday’s jobs data.
Morning Bid: A JOLT of reality for markets
NEWSQUWK US OPEN
US futures gain modestly, USTs contained into data & supply
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4 things you need to know for today’s market.
4 Things You Need to Know
European bourses are mixed, US futures gain slightly.
USD remains soggy vs. peers, EUR digests CPI metrics, Antipodeans lead.
USTs are contained into data, EGBs lift slightly on HICP, Gilts lag.
A choppy start for crude while spot gold benefits from the broadly softer Dollar.
These Amazing Trader 15 mibute charts speak for themselve… both reacting to bearish patterns, and now approaching initial target supports.
EURUSD

GBPUSD

EURUSD 4 HOUR CHART – Just a bounce?

I am not sure chart points from last month are relevant although technicians will treat them as asuch.
In this regard, 1.0437 (Monday’s high) is the key 2025 level,, so far untouched. Beyond there is 1.0458.
Taking a step back, 1.04 is the pivotal bias setting level. Only above 1.05 would suggest a low is in and the rebound has more to it.
Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows

The dollar trading softer vs all but USDJPY, which Is back to unchanged after failing to hold 158+ (high 158.40).
NZD and AUD outperforming,
Price moves typical of start of New Year whipsaws and false starts as markets continue to rebuild towards full liquidity. As I have been saying, how markets end this week will be more important than how they start out,
iN OUR BLOG
As I have noted many times, when there is a key event markets tend to factor in the most extreme case and then reassess later.
Nvidia-NVDA
Nvidia going for all time high at 152.90
Nvidia Almost Became the Largest Company Again as Stock Hits New Record
The chip maker’s market value briefly surpassed Apple’s in intraday trading Monday, according to Dow Jones Market Data. At one point this afternoon, Nvidia stock was up 3.8%, putting the company’s market cap at $3.707 trillion, according to the data provider. Apple stock, meanwhile, was up 0.7%, valuing the company at $3.703 trillion.

EURUSD Daily
Just to put things into perspective – this is a nice downtrend channel
Resistances : 1.04550, 1.05150 & 1.05350
Supports : 1.03750, 1.03350 & 1.02950
Not being able to cash in on this rally – to stay above 1.04250 indicates that next move should be down. Do not get surprised,or even worse – taken into frenzy – if it tries once again to get over it.

Inflation, overbureaucratisation, migrants or decadence – why Rome fell
Source – Die Welt
In between the lines one can read of divisions of nowadays Europe that are somehow still well alive.
(the article is in German, but your browser can surely translate It enough well)
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