[Adam Global]

EURJPY picked up steam📈 towards its 200-day SMA at 183.90, suggesting the bulls📈 haven’t left the scene despite the sharp post- intervention📉 drop to an eight-month Iow of 179.35. However, buying conviction has yet to fully return

[Adam Global]

Gold 💛 found support 📈 above 4355.00 yesterday

Then I decided to buy 📈 & aim for 4440.00

But went out earlier

[Adam Global]

Oil 🛢 📉 hit some resistance below $85/🛢 as tension in the middle east seems to up & down

[GVI Forex 2]

Oil dips, yields dip, stocks blip, USD dips, GOLD blips on this headline as markets hang on to any glimmer of hope but a skeptic says seeing is believing.

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 11th August 2026

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

CME FedWatch

Odds have swing back to slightly over 50/50 (52/47) in favor of a Sept Fed rate hike.

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update (4 hour charts): Weight on markets?

See how long US stocks can hold off the weight of firmer oil/firmer US yields as markets take a cautious response so far to the combination, perhaps waiting fpr tomorrow’s US CPI report.

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Market Snapshot

The dollar is trading firmer as oil prices and bond yields both rose further overnight.

MOves, however, have been modest despite hopes for the STrait reopening fading and the fallout from the weasker NFP report dissip[ated.

EURUSD is bac trading just below the 1.1540 midpoint of its 1.1500-80 rnage, USDJPY is holding 159+ but wary of a BoJK ambush anmd GBPUSD is pivioting 1.35 afdter trying for a mini breakouit yesterday.

[Mtl JP]

heading into “iran session” (I just invented it)
–
US 10-YR 4.705% +0.007 / LAST | 7:30:08 PM EDT

[GVI Forex 2]

COMING UP: Data: Australian NAB Business Confidence (Jul), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Existing Home Sales (Jul).

Events: RBA Policy Announcement (Aug).

Speakers: RBA’s Bullock. Supply: Germany, US. Earnings: Supermicro, CoreWeave.

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Oil rallies amid ongoing geopolitical risk, seeing yields move higher

SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries down, Crude up, Dollar up, Gold up.

1. (Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Mtl JP]

bessent + takaichi + yamada + ueda = abject failures

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 (SP500) 4 HOUR:  Taking a breather or out of steam

Trend: Major Up

Momentum: Consolidating

Barring a sharp fall, the 4-hour trendline seems destined to be broken with sideways trading.

As noted, currently consolidating with a bid while above the midpoint (i.e. 7700) of a 7600-7800 range. Below 7700 would suggest a move out of steam.

 

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOIUR : 29K-30K but for how long?

Trend  Short-Term up

No change: Consolidating within a 29-30K range with a bid while the lower end holds but upside and thoughts of the record 30776 high contained unless the upper end is taken out

.

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: XAUUSD vs. BTCUSD

XAUUSD hanging in with a bid and so far disconnecting from the uptick in US yields.  Watch recent high 4372, key level 4382 as firmly above it would open a void to 4500+. Sub-4311 would cool the risk.

BTCUSD: Long down candle should shake bulls, who do not want to see 62K broken after failing to hold above 65K

[GVI Forex 2]

US yields more than retracing NFP losses as firmer oil leads the way.

USD catching a bid, USDJPY extending its high above 159.

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: OIl up, no big ripple effects

USDCAD back below 1.3950 (holding above 1.3925, next target still 1.3900) as it follows firmer crude oil. Forex trading mixed despite higher bond yields, JPY remains the underperformer, firmer GBP outperforms, EURUSD unable to shake a focus from 1.1550

US stocks on sidelines holding a bid but  consolidating.

Caught my eye: Oil in U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve falls below 300 million barrels, lowest since 1983

[Adam Global]

ßitcoin rejected 📉 $65K yet again & again & again

 

[Mtl JP]

mixed signals . really ?

U.S. oil price hits $80 as doubt grows Washington and Tehran will reach Strait of Hormuz deal
poor analysis By Spencer Kimball, Justina Lee – cnbc

nobody is negotiating anything sitting around some table and tea and biscuits

Prez T may come around to some rational (currently a very low low odds) decision when oil will prance in the 100-120-150 dlr/bbl price level

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOIUR : Consolidating in a range

Trend  Short-Term up

Consolidating within a 29-30K range with a bid while the lower end holds but upside and thoughts of the record 30776 high contained unless the upper end is taken out.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 (SP500) 4 HOUR:  Still consolidating

Trend: Major Up

Momentum: Consolidating with a bid

Consolidating in the upper half of a 7600-7800 range with a bid as long as it can stay above 7700..

[Mtl JP]

a moment 

in moment-um

[GVI Forex 2]

GBPUSD 4 HOUR: Battle for 1.35

Trend up

Momentum UP but trying for more

To make this more than a bounce within the range, 1.3509 followed by a break of 1.3550 would be needed.

Otherwise, still just a swing within a 1.3400-1.3500/10 range where 1.3434 needs to hold to keep the downside limited.

Note firmer GBP crosses (e.g. vs. JPY and EUR giving GBPUSD support)

[Mtl JP]

US 10-yr 4.676% +0.018 at 9:18 AM EDT
DLRx 99.731 +0.192 at 9:20 AM EDT : Res 100.0x

[ST London]

The Japan interest rate hike story might have had more punch if it cane out along side intervention.

Now it has bern ignored as markets tweak the boj to see where it will try another anbush attack.

Go on alert if it moves above 159.50

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY comes off its high, JPY up a touch on croses

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[Adam Global]

Gold 💛 still resisting 📉 4355.00 & buyers 📈 are waiting for that point 📍 to turn into support since NFP left them there last week’Friday

[Adam Global]

USDJPY extends its recovery📈 through 158.40, approaching the key 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest sharp📉 decline from the four-decade high near 164.00

[Adam Global]

EURUSD continues to extend its rebound from the July 28 low of 1.1350, holding above a short-term rising trendline.

[Adam Global]

US100 index (cash) has been 📈edging higher since Thursday, where it found support at 29,130

[Author]

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