World’s biggest chipmaker TSMC’s sales surge 45% amid buoyant AI demand

Even though it allowed Wall Street stocks to clock another record high on Friday, the surprise drop in July U.S. payrolls didn’t shift interest rate markets as much as the initial gasp might have suggested.
Markets are still pricing in a roughly 50-50 chance of a Federal Reserve rate rise next month, while Treasury yields ended only marginally lower on the day….full story on Reuters Morning Bid U.S.
Market Update: Oil up but so far few ripple effects
XBRUSD holding its bid after an opening gap higher but yet to see much ripple effects elsewhere
EURUSD consolidating after extending its range to 1.1500-80. 1,1550 likely pivotal in setting its tone while wihin this range.
US500 consolidating between 7700-7900

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 10th August 2026

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)
XAUUSD DAILY – Damage not yet fatal
Trend: Up but faces resistance
Momentum: UP
Keeping a bid but pause below key 4382 resistance (Friday high 4371) so far meaning damage not yet fatal.
Why? 4382 is a key level as a firm break would open the door to 4500+.
On the downside, it’s a long way to 4220 so expect downticks to be treated as retracements while above this breakout level.

USDJPY 4 HOUR: Path of least resistance
Trend: Down but losing momentum
Momentum: Retracement
Markets follow the path of least resistance and in this case, selling JPY on its crosses run less of a risk of triggering BoJ intervention.
Meanwhile, the BoJ is looking at the same levels on a chart as we are, which in this case there is no key resistance until above 160, likely the level the central bank does not see sustained trading above it.
Only levels worth noting are retracements using
FIBOS for 163.98-155.22 at: :

Forex Market Snapshot
Traders have learned not to overreact to opening week gaps in crude oil ax they have seen this movie replay too many times over the past 6 months.
THis has crude oil tradiung firm but so far with limited follow nbthrough nn its opoening week gap.
In forex, the focus is on a weaker JPY, both vs the dollar and on its major crosses witj other currencies have so far tradeing in tighter ranges vs. the dollar.
A quiet calendar today with the key economic focus looking ahead to Wednesday’s US VOI report.


THE WEEK AHEAD:
KEY ECONOMIC EVENTS & DATA TO WATCH
AUGUST 10 – AUGUST 14, 202
The coming week will put global inflation back in focus, with U.S. CPI expected to rise 3.4% from a year earlier as energy volatility and earlier cost increases continue to work through the economy. Price pressures appear especially pronounced in Japan, where producer inflation is forecast to accelerate to 7.5%, while Australia’s easing headline inflation is expected to allow the RBA to leave rates unchanged at 4.35%. Growth indicators remain more subdued, with U.S. retail sales forecast to rise only 0.1% in July and UK quarterly GDP growth expected to slow from 0.6% to 0.4%.(Econoday)

Why you should not overreact to an (expected) Iran-Oman deal that will not reopen the Strait.
(Analysis) In risky gamble, Iran bets control over Strait of Hormuz can force Trump to bend
Tehran believes US munitions shortages and voter discontent over high energy prices give it upper hand, but prolonged war and economic pain could turn its leverage into a liability
… They are betting that military pressure will ultimately force the United States to accept their control over the crucial waterway for global energy — and that time is on their side…
GVI – TofIsrael reports thusly: “Tehran’s supreme security council insists US permanently end war with Iran and all its terror proxies, withdraw military from region, lift all sanctions, release all frozen assets, pay compensation”
sounds like Iran is goading and wants an “all-in” kinetic action.
and then what ?
Newsquawk Week Ahead In Focus – 10-14th August 2026
Highlights include: US CPI, US Retail Sales, RBA, BoJ SOO, and UK GDP

Here are three key takeaways from the disappointing July jobs report
Nonfarm payrolls in the U.S. unexpectedly declined in July, but so did the unemployment rate, leaving investors with mixed signals on how to process the latest jobs report.
Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks gain as weak NFP sees traders pare Fed rate hike bets
SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries up, Crude lower, Dollar down, Gold up

Oil, bonds and the dollar swing on geopolitics and US payrolls
Mid-day U.S. Market Update
Heading into the weekend traders likely to end it on a cautious note with firmer crude oil indicating geopolitical risk vs. weaker US data, the latter not enough to see follow through on the initial dip in yields (wider yield curve)
For FX traders, 1.1550 so far keeping a bid but needing 1.1560+ to encourage higher.
As indicated earlier, stocks consolidating but maintaining a bid while above 7700 (and NAS above 29K).

Bet A) Theater Diplomacy
–
Fox: Last Update August 7, 2026, 10:30 AM EDT
Trump says he is personally involved in talks with Iran to reopen Strait of Hormuz.
Bet B) DJT going “all in”.
With everything. (including hegseth in front lead bomber screaming “forza”).
Brent 83.50-ish; WTI 78.30-ish as I type
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