XAUUSD UPDATE
XAUUSD 1 HOUR CHART

XAUUSD UPDATE
XAUUSD 1 HOUR CHART

on the other hand …
Randall Denley: Carney’s EV plan benefits Carney, not Canadian carmakers
It’s difficult to imagine a plan more untethered from the economic realities of the real-world auto industry.
why … why … why
Why Canada hopes China will boost is auto manufacturing industry
– Feb 13 2026, Robert Ferris
Not Canada: Carney
and his lackey Joly and a few others in the current gov’t
EURUSD follows Grman bond yields higher on this headline

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Market Update
Defensive trading into the long US holiday weekend

For your botter: Possible dates for the Supreme Couyrt to rule on Trum tariffs

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US500 UPDATE
US500 1 HOUR CHART

CPI headline miss but Core in line with the consensus… initial reaction is to the headline miss but Core CPI is seen as more important
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Bitcoin On-Chain Heatmap Shows All Major Metrics In The Red
The indicators in the graph are all key on-chain metrics covering different dimensions of the network. For example, the MVRV Z-Score deals with general investor profitability, while the Trader Realized Price and Trader On-chain Profit Margin specifically track the profit-loss status of the short-term holders.
All the indicators in the heatmap are currently giving a red signal, implying conditions aren’t favorable for a bull market. As long as that remains the case, it is hard to imagine BTC reaching new highs in the short term.

Newsquawk Pre-Market Movers
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FX option expiries for 13 February 10am New York cut
Large one for EUR/USD at the 1.1850 level. The expiries hold close to the 200-hour moving average of 1.1846 currently and that together, that could keep a floor on price action in the session ahead. The expiries could also act as a bit more of a magnet, with the key near-term level having been where buyers stepped in after the non-farm payrolls drop.
So, the two when put together could lock in EUR/USD price action in European trading barring any major headline surprises.

Jeff Cox on cnbc re CPI:
The January CPI inflation report is due out Friday morning. Here’s what it’s expected to show
– The consumer price index, a broad measure of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, is expected to show a 2.5% gain from a year ago.
– If that ends up being accurate, it would bring the gauge back to its May 2025 level — a month after President Donald Trump enacted his “liberation day” tariffs that many thought would send prices spiraling higher.
– A light reading for January could give Federal Reserve policymakers more confidence that they can lower their benchmark borrowing rate without risking another inflation burst.
Tactical Question:
trade player reaction ahead of the release OR
fade it after the release ?
US ups pressure on Iran

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This intro to the Reuters Morning Bid email sums it up
In this topsy turvy week, we saw a landslide election win in Japan, a creeping extension of the artificial intelligence disruption trade, a pushback on President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda and a mix of U.S. economic data that jostled rates markets. Put it all together, and it suggests that the market outlook on everything from technology to the “Takaichi trade” is clear as mud…
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