[GVI Forex 2]

The dollar is trading firmer after failing to follow through on yesterday’s weaker closes in a market where the focus is split between the US-Iran stalemate and central bank response to rising inflation.

Looking at the table, AUD is underperforming. EURUSD 1.16, USDJPY 159 and GBPUSD 1.34 remain pivota

[Adam Global]

GBPUSD still rejecting 📉 1.34500

If 🇺🇸unemployment claims is good today GBPUSD will drop below 1.3400

[Adam Global]

Went in 🤑💷 on 💛GOLD💛during Asian session with a buy 📈 Tp 4555.00

Now GOLD is retracing 📉 back to 4455.00

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 21st May 2026

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Adam Global]

With Trump easing on 🇮🇷 🆚️🇺🇸 conflicts saying the deal is close

Oil 🛢 seems to be edging 📉 lower on Trump tweets 🐦

The reality : 🇮🇷 is ready for anything

For now i want to sell 📉 oil 🛢 Tp : $100/🛢

[Mtl JP]

What is in-appropriate is that the suits think their meddling is appropriate

Reuters – BOJ policymaker calls for rate hike, warns of war-led inflation overshoot
Asia Pacificcategory · May 20, 2026 · 3 hours agoThe Bank of Japan should raise ​interest rates at an “appropriate pace” as price pressures from the Middle East war may push underlying inflation above its 2% target, ‌its board member Junko Koeda said, bolstering the case for a rate hike as soon as June.

[GVI Forex 2]

COMING UP: Data: Global S&P PMIs Flash (May), Japanese Trade Balance (Apr), Australian Employment Report (Apr), US Initial Jobless Claims (May/16), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (May). Events: Banxico Minutes (May). Speakers: BoJ’s Koeda; BoE’s Taylor, Bailey; ECB’s Elderson; Fed’s Barkin. Supply: Spain, France, the UK. Earnings: Walmart, Deere.

[Belgrade Bobby]

Nvidia Earnings Face AI Rally Test After 60% Chip Index Surge

Nvidia  NVDA is heading into a high-stakes earnings report as investors look for confirmation that the AI semiconductor rally still has room to run. The company reports after Wednesday’s market close

Nvidia shares are up 18% in 2026 and 34% from their late-March low, despite losing 6.4% over the last three sessions.

[Belgrade Bobby]

Market Summary 2

[Belgrade Bobby]

Market Summary 1

Slight recovery in equities; DAX up 0.5%, CAC 40 up 0.7% on the day
S&P 500 futures up 0.89%, Nasdaq futures up 1.38%
Light Crude Oil prices down 6.08% to $97.81
10-year Treasury yields down to 4.574%
US dollar little changed, hold more mixed on the day
Gold up 0.74% to $4,544

[Belgrade Bobby]

FOMC Minutes: Many would have preferred to remove easing bias from policy statement

FOMC meeting minutes from the April 28 – 29 Federal Reserve interest rate decision meeting

The vote at the meeting was 8-4 with 1 voting to cut rates by 25 basis points (Stephen Miran who has resigned from the fed to make room for new Fed Chair Warsh). Three voted to take out the easing bias.

Majority of participants said some policy firming would likely become appropriate if inflation were to continue above 2%.

Almost all participants supported maintaining fed funds target range at this meeting.
Several participants indicated rate cuts would be warranted later this year in a scenario in which conflict was resolved soon and inflation pressures dissipated.
Some participants were concerned about scenario in which elevated energy prices and tariffs could result in inflation pressures becoming embedded more broadly.
Fed staff economic Outlook projections was slightly stronger than for March meeting. Vote at the meeting was eight

[Mtl JP]

I dont react as fast as the dealers / bankers do to news headlines

BUT I do like to fade the reaction

usually after 3 consecutive 5min uP  ticks / in harmony with a whisker dip and rebound on 15 min bar

caveat: managing risk is one s own resonsability

[Mtl JP]

Is that so ?
“10min ago
Pres T: Netanyahu will ‘do whatever I want him to do’ on Iran, I’m in ‘no hurry’ to reach deal”
times of Is

[GVI Forex 2]

US stock market update

US500: Downside still at risk but consolidating. Only 7400+ cools the risk.

NAS100: Consolidating with chart still showing a downside risk waiting for Nvidia earnings and so far unable to distance from 29K

US500                                                                NAS100

[GVI Forex 2]

US PRE-MARKET MOVERS: Samsung Electronics/MU/SNDK, NVDA, RBLX, TOL, LOW, ADI, TJX, ETSY, CI, TGT

ES +0.4% NQ +0.8% RTY +0.7%

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Mtl JP]

R/hand chart is wti
three consecutive 5min UP bars might suggest earlier sellers are bagging profits fromn their earlir short from 102.50

reminder: risk management is your respo

[Mtl JP]

WTI 102.55 in drivers seat atm

I am baised BoD oil

[Adam Global]

USDJPY is edging higher 📈 to 160.00

159.00 seems to struggling to break up 🤔

 

[Adam Global]

EURUSD still battling 1.1600 📉📈📉📈

With 💛GOLD💛 retracing back up 📈

EURUSD might hold up 📈 above 1.1600

[Adam Global]

Us100Cash is bouncing 📈 above 28500

Also waiting for Nvidia earnings release 🔥

[Adam Global]

Stock traders today are watching 👀 Nvidia earning today….more tech Stocks like Us100Cash will be effected by the news

[Adam Global]

Oil 🛢 slipping 📉 today as more Oil tanker from 🇰🇷 & 🇨🇳 pass through the straight

🇮🇷 said ships 🚢 can pass but not from hostile countries 🇺🇸🇮🇱🇪🇺

[Mtl JP]

NOW “they” tell us
Early War Goal Was to Install Hard Line Former President as Iran’s Leader NYT

but … have no fear, senate is here:
Senate Votes to Take Up Measure to Force Trump to End Iran War – NYT
With four Republican backers, Democrats won a vote to advance a resolution that would force the president to end hostilities or win authorization from Congress.

[Mtl JP]

NEW PROFIT OPPORTUNITIES
only one, maybe two weeks away
“praemonitus, praemunitus”

Europe could run out of jet fuel in 6 weeks, IEA warns
Published Thu, Apr 16 2026

The International Energy Agency warned Thursday that Europe is going to run out of jet fuel in as few as six weeks. blablabla

IF europe could replace only half of of its m/east fuel volumes, stocks would hit critical levels by june.

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 20th May 2026

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 1 HOUR

Pause above 4450 has slowed the downside but remains below 4500, which sets the bias.

To cool the risk, 4512+ would be needed.

[GVI Forex 2]

COMING UP: Data: Chinese LPR (May), German PPI (Apr), UK Inflation Report (Apr), EU Inflation Final (Apr), New Zealand Trade Balance (Apr). Events: FOMC Minutes (Apr), BoJ Bond Market Survey (May).

Speakers: US President Trump; Fed’s Paulson, Barr; BoE’s Bailey, Breeden, Dhingra, Mann. Supply: Japan, Germany

,US. Earnings: Nvidia, Target, Intuit .

(Newsquawk)

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Risk off seen as US/Iran seem no closer on a deal

SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries down, Crude down, Dollar up, Gold down.

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOUR

Bulls will not give up without a fight.

In this regard, the 2 levels the do not want to see broken are 28660 (briefly broken) and 28460 as there is a big void below it (starting with 28000).

To negate the threat, risk mood needs to shift to risk on and 29120 needs to be broken.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 4 HOUR CHART

On the defensive and remains hostage to headline news (and rising bond yields) plus the risk on/off reaction.

The level bulls do not want to see broken is 7322 as there is a big void of support below it.

To cool the risk, 7400+ is needed.

 

[Author]

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