[GVI Forex 2]

CME FedWatch: 60/40 odds rise for a Sept Fed rate hike

Limited reaction for bonds (and USD although shift in odds should be supportive) with yields coming off the highs while curve flattens.. (Note weaker crude oil may be a factor).

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 1 HOUR: Limited fallout as well

Fallout from stronger NFP limited while it trades above 29452, helped by US bond yields backing off from spike highs.

Broader look: Limit on downside while 29KJ+ trades but upside limited while below key resistance at 29748, blocks putting 30K back on the radar.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 1 HOUR: NFP Fallout

Fallout from the NFP beat so far contained with a limit on the downside as  long as trade is above 7700. On the upside, 7758 so far a solid resistance blocking the key 7771 level Otherwise, at the mercy of a Friday pre-holiday market.

 

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 30 MINUTE

This chart says it all 156.74 – 155.36 candle after the jobs report

[GVI Forex 2]

Canada jobs miss (weaker) vs. US NFP beat a double whammy for the CAD

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[GVI Forex 2]

US NFP big beat + upward revisions

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[Adam Global]

US30 index (cash) formed a double bottom near the August floor of 52,730 before rallying 📈2.0% to a high of 53,746. That said, the short-term bias remains neutral as the 50% Fibonacci at 53,700 caps upside progress, driving mild intraday 📉selling pressure

[Adam Global]

USDJPY found some 📈buyers near the crucial 155.00 level early on Friday, a zone previously defended by FX intervention, following a sharp two-day drop from 160.00.

The focus now shifts to the US nonfarm payrolls report due at 12:30 GMT. While traders remain laser-focused on inflation after Fed Governor Waller pushed September rate-hike odds down to 50%, a solid jobs print could still prompt policymakers to hike rates

Meanwhile, Japan’s top currency diplomat, Atsushi Mimura, reiterated that Tokyo remains on high alert to intervene against excessive yen weakness

[Adam Global]

Us100Cash found support 📈 on 29500.00 but fib level 78.6 may hold it down📉 just like last week’ if not 30000.00 may be next

[Adam Global]

GBPUSD is facing some resistance 📉 below 1.35500 fib level 88.6 & moving average are acting as resistance but with NFP minutes aways GBPUSD may drop below 1.3500 or hit 1.3600

[Adam Global]

With NFP on a count down every1 is wondering 🤔 about GOLD 💛 more bullish coming📈 or more bearish 📉

[Adam Global]

USDCAD experienced two sharp daily📉 declines following a 📈pullback from both its short-term downtrend line and the 1.3940 resistance zone. This drop pushed the price below the 20- and 200- day SMAs, reinforcing a bearish outlook

[GVI Forex 2]

U.S, August Jobs Report and Non-Farm Payrolls Consensus Forecasts

[GVI Forex 2]

Are the vigilantes back?

Bond yields spiked across developed markets this week, with many hitting multi-decade highs, as rising deficits, elevated inflation and a surge of AI-driven corporate debt issuance left traders demanding higher compensation for the risk of holding longer-term government debt.

Far from a moral crusade by fixed income investors seeking to influence fiscal policy, this instead looks like a logical response to the economic facts on the ground, including the dawning reality that borrowing rates in many large markets are likely going to be higher for longer…. Reuters Weekend Bid

[GVI Forex 2]

XAGUSD (SILVER) 4 HOUR: Double top

Paused dead on at 67.45 for a double top.

Now dependent on 65.40 holding to keep momentum pointed up.

[GVI Forex 2]

Norway held approximately $203.2 billion in U.S. Treasury securities at the end of June 2026

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 4th September 2026

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[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY DAILY: 155 or bust?

Taking a breather after pause/bounce from above 155 (low 155.29) that would need to be followed by a move back above 156.50-68 to slow the risk, 158.00+ to negate it.

Otherwise, risk stays on 155, below which is a void to 1552.00-07.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 1 HOUR: Facing resistancer

Is it mission accomplished testing 4500 (high 4510) or is there more to go?

For more to go, 4500 needs to become support and and the 4 hour trendline broken.

[GVI Forex 2]

Preview: Non-Farm Payrolls

[GVI Forex 2]

 

COMING UP: Data: German Factory Orders (Jul), EZ Retail Sales (Jul), US Jobs Report (Aug), Canadian Jobs Report (Aug). Speakers: BoE Governor Bailey; ECB’s Lane. Supply: Australia.

 

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[GVI Forex 2]

US Market Wrap: Dovish Waller sends stocks and bonds higher

SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries up, Crude up, Dollar down, Gold up

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[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: Indices (4 hour)

 

US500: Bulls taking control while above 7706… trendline and 7771 are obstacles to putting 7800 back om ther radar

NAS100: Bulls need to break 29521 to take back control and target 29748, the obstacle to 30K.

 

[GVI Forex 2]

CME FedWatch: 50/50

Odds of Sept rate hike slipping back to 50/50 seeing yields slip and boosting risk (e.g. stocks up)

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR: 4500 tested

 

Extending high and while 4500 now becomes pivotal, needs to hold 4472 as support to keep a bid.

On the upside, a break of the trendline is needed next to confirm the shift in risk

 

[GVI Forex 2]

GBPUSD 1 HOUR: Spikes higher

 

Spikes higher and needs to hold 1.3500-19 now to keep its bid.

 

[GVI Forex 2]

GBPUSD spikes higher (EURGBP lower) on hawkish Pill comments

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[GVI Forex 2]

ISM Services PMI beat, prices paid up.

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[Mtl JP]

Dutch central bank moves gold bars out of New York over ‘geopolitical unrest’ – FT

DNB prefers London over the US city, pointing to better ‘tradeability’ of bullion

The Dutch central bank has shifted more than 78 tonnes of gold from New York to London in a politically sensitive move, citing “increasing geopolitical unrest”. 

The transfer follows calls from European politicians and taxpayer lobbyists to repatriate gold reserves from the US, warning that an unreliable American government under President Donald Trump may otherwise seize them amid growing transatlantic tensions. …/..

[GVI Forex 2]

ISM Services PMI Consensus Forecasts

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