[GVI Forex 2]

If this report proves to be an accurate assessment, it is hard to have confidence in peace talks making progress.

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD 4 HOUR

Weaker EURGBP currently weighing on EURUSD (while GBPUSD lags) which is dependent on 1.1379 holding or risk shifts to 1.1350-55, the last obstacle to the 1.1324 low.

Above 1.1379 keeps focus on 1.14.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 1 HOUR

Back on the defensive following a failure to reach 4100 and hold above 4000.

Now dependent on the 3942 low holding to keep the focus on 4000 or  risk a move to 3884-3900.

Keep an eye on US bond yields to see if correlation continues.(e.g. higher yields/weaker XAUUSD)

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Market Snapshot

The USD is starting 2H26 on a firmer note as higher yields give some support.

USDJPY cautiously extending its high amid more verbal intervention. GBP is down slightly but an overperformer as EURGBP tests .8600. Softer EU HICP may be weighing on the EUR.

Otherwise all eyes on geopolitics and looking ahead to tomorrow’s NFP ahead of a 3-day US holiday weekend.

[GVI Forex 2]

MARKET UPDATE

Mixed bag to start 2H26. US yields up, crude oil down, USD up, US stocks slip. All still in ranges except XBRUSD extending its fall through last week’s low as indirect Doha talks are said to be underway.

EURUSD                                US500                                       XBRUSD

[GVI Forex 2]

COMING UP: Data: Japanese Tankan Survey (Q2), Consumer Confidence (Jun), Global S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Jun), EU Inflation Prelim. (Jun), US Challenger Job Cuts (Jun), ADP Employment Change (Jun), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2).

Speakers: ECB’s Vujcic, Cipollone, Lane, Lagarde; Fed’s Warsh; BoE’s Bailey; BoC’s Macklem.

Supply: Australia, UK, Germany.(NewsquaWK)

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks bid on quarter end while bonds fall as focus shifts to data

SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries down, Crude down, Dollar flat, Gold flat.

REAR VIEW: US JOLTS top expectations; US Consumer Confidence misses; Fed’s Hammack said may need to consider hikes with inflation too high; Chinese NBS PMIs beat; Softer-than-expected French & German inflation; Trump admin reportedly plans to pay smaller meatpackers to keep slaughtering cattle; Iran’s Ghalibaf stated current meetings held by Iran are aimed at fulfilling MoU commitments.

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update : US Indices

Indices ending 1H26 on a high note and focus to start 2H26 will be:

US30: record high

NAS100 30K: sets tone

US500 7500 Sets tone

Daily Charts

US500                                 NAS100                                               US30

 

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: Month end weighed on USD (except JPY), stocks up, Gold consolidating, oil rally fizzled

With the fixing over EURUSD demand dried up after a pause below 1.1439. Limited downside though as long as it stays above 1.,14

Is the low in for XAUUSD? A move above 4100 would be needed for bulls to see a potential light at the end of the downtrend tunnel and shift focus from 4000.
4 HOUR CHARTS

EURUSD                               XAUUSD                                          XTIUSD

[Adam Global]

Us500cash wedges below 7500 waiting to break above 📈  or below 📉

[Adam Global]

US30 index is moving higher for a second straight day, touching 52,300 and having hit a fresh closing record high at 52,147 yesterday. Notably, the index has been on a short-term uptrend since last Tuesday, giving the opportunity for further gains.

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD 15 MINUTE

Pre and Post-London 4 PM Month/Quareter End Fixing

\

[GVI Forex 2]

USD down except vs JPY as 4 PM London Fix approaches… suggests JPY selling via its cxrosses for month/quarter end… see what happens after fix passes

[GVI Forex 2]

US CB CONSUMER CONDIENCE MISS

US CB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (JUN) ACTUAL: 91.2 VS 93.1 PREVIOUS; EST 94.4

[GVI Forex 2]

JOLTS BEATS CONSENSUS

US JOLTs Job Openings (May) 7.594M (Prev. 7.618M, Low. 6.9M, High. 7.445M)

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: U500 and NAS100

With momentum broken to the downside focus is on 7500 and 30K, above which are needed to retore a bid aimning higher. So far NAS100 has tested 30K whilke US500 is still below 7500.

Month/quarter end flows  should continue to dominate.

US500                                                             NAS100

[GVI Forex 2]

Little reaction…

Iran and US-allied Oman are moving forward with plans to collect payment for ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, despite public American objections, according to NYT citing sources

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Adam Global]

ßitcoin rejecting 📉 $60K breaking below

Every1 now is selling 📉 & asking where would ßitcoin get support 🤔

[GVI Forex 2]

1. 

Oil ticking up following this headline; bond yields ticking up, USDJPY extending high

IRAN’S BAGHAEI SAYS TEHRAN IS DETERMINED TO MAINTAIN ITS RIGHT OVER THE MANAGEMENT OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ

[GVI Forex 2]

German inflation: Headline beat (lower). ex F&E in line

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Adam Global]

GOLD 💛 found support on 3955.00 📈

Now everyone is aiming higher to 4055.00 as GOLD is trying 📈 to go back up again

[Adam Global]

AusUSD still battling 📈📉📈📉 0.6900 for the 5th day straight as everyone is waiting for a clear breakout

[Adam Global]

EURJPY is trading sideways today, after yesterday’s significant rise, having reached the 200-SMA at 185.00. The pair has been on an ascending route since June 24, when it found support at 183.15, giving the opportunity for further gains.

[Adam Global]

USDJPY 📈 hit 40yrs high reaching 162.40. Meanwhile, Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama said that the government was ready to take appropriate action against excessive currency moves as confirmed between Japan and the US.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR: WHIPSAW CITY

Stops run on the downside (low 3942) followed by a bounce back above 4000, leaving the latter as the key bias setting level going forward.

To make this anything more than a whipsaw, 4000 needs to become support followed by a move above 4100

[GVI Forex 2]

BofA stays bearish on S&P 500, says take profits in growth and rotate into large-cap value (full report on Newsquawk.com: Try free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

BofA says equity hedging may explain JPY weakness, sees risk-reward favouring long JPY (full report on Newsquawk: Try free for 7 days)

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 30th June 2026

• US President Trump’s envoys Kushner and Witkoff are flying to Doha for talks; Iran believes the trip is focused on ceasefire compliance, and is not there for talks with the US, NYT reported.
• US equity futures are slightly firmer (NQ +0.1%) and set for their biggest quarterly gain in 6 years.
• DXY strengthens, lifting USD/JPY firmly above 162.00; EUR weakness helped by cooler French and German State CPIs.
• Fixed income benchmarks higher but off best levels, with a busy central bank speaker slate ahead.
• Crude benchmarks dip again despite uncertainty over US-Iran talks in Doha.
• Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Prelim. (Jun), Canadian GDP (Apr), US JOLTs (May), Speakers include ECB’s Schnabel, Cipollone, Rehn & Lane, BoE’s Breeden, Earnings from Nike.

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Mtl JP]

offer vs demand
traders at large are supposed to believe that the price of oil is a question of
supply vs demand in which equation the supply is an uncertain ponderable and demand is either steady or increasing

[GVI Forex 2]

[MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY gains, to the detriment of the JPY with USD/JPY firmly above 162.00; EUR digests dovish German State CPI (Newsquawk)

[Author]

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