[Mtl JP]

wellll… eudlr puked half a dlr in reaction to no-change
who was surprised ?

[Mtl JP]

players now on break till 14:30nyt
until warsh’s yak

[Mtl JP]

EURUSD below 1.15 … gimme a shock !
typo; s/be 1.16 instead

[GVI Forex 2]

US 10-year bond yield pre-FOMC

\

[GVI Forex 2]

<p style=”text-align: center;”>Market Updater: Waiting for the Fed</p>

• EURUSD below 1.15 (but not by much)
• US500 holding above 7500 (asnd NAS100 above 30K) but not by much
• XTIUSD withhold comment after that brief mega spike higher

ERUYRUSD                                 US500                            XTIUYSD

[Mtl JP]

tha answer to the one euro qtn may come from the FOMC later today in the form of relative rates dynamic (spreads) particulalrly from the US ones

[Mtl JP]

the one euro question 

 

[Mtl JP]

while waiting for warsh presser good refresher read:

Chasing Kevin Warsh’s Invisible Dot

[Mtl JP]

(re?) action to some hanki-panki

short-lived

[Mtl JP]

EURO 1.1589 as I type
just sp;ook-crashed to 1.15808 LoD (tech Support)
popped right back up

[GVI Forex 2]

Sum up the day so far;

Waiting for the Fed and Warsh’s first presser.

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD 4 HOUR

Hit a wall at 1.1622 and dependent on 1.1574 holding to keep the focus on 1.16.

Otherwise, 1.1557, a game changer level comes on the radar.

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update

There are times when psychological round number levels are more important than technical chart points in setting trading sentiment.

Two of these levels, US7500 and NAS100 30K, are currently the focus, the former pausing just above it while the latter saw a brief break (with NAS100 always give a little leeway rather than looking for exact chart points).

As noted, if new record highs are not set then dependent on US500 7500 and NAS100 30K holding to keep a bid.

US00                                                                NAS100

[Adam Global]

ßitcoin rejected 📉 $67K

Now below $65K

Is $60K next ?

[Adam Global]

USDCAD 📈 USDCAD is rebounding near 1.4000 ahead of the Fed decision today,well above the key ascending trendline

[Adam Global]

USDJPY 📉 is sliqhtly ahead of today’s Fed decision ,both the 20-SMA and the 50-day SMA at giving an opportunity for a further decline.

[Adam Global]

CHF ] every1 is waiting for SNB policy rates to hold rates @ 0.00% yet again

sellers need to decisively break below the 0.7900 support area and, more importantly, breach the ascending support trendline near 0.7830 before downside risks can fully regain momentum.

[GVI Forex 2]

BTCUSD (BITCOIN) 4 HOUR

Is BTCUSD breaking from a correlation with the risk on/off mood as momentum tilts down?

While the break of 65K hits sentiment, the level bulls do not want to see broken is 63620

So watch 65K as a potential pivot and how it correlates with the risk mood.

[Adam Global]

Today’s propaganda & insights on FEDERAL RATES 🤑🇺🇸🤑

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 17th June 2026

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Market Snapshot

Few clues from the forex market with the USD trading marginally firmer, except vs the JPY but USDJPY remains above 160.

CHF and NZD are underperforming. EURUSD 1.16 has printed for the 3rd day in a row.

All eyes will be on the FOMC decision, the first under a new Fed president.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 1 HOUR

Upside losing steam but remains in a narrowing range within 4300-69.

4350-55 guards 4369.

4313 guards 4285-4300.

Let’s see if XAUUSD diverges with BTCUSD dipping back below 65K.

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update

Limited follow through with EURUSD pivoting 1.16 for the 3rd day in a row, US500 finding support above 7500 (and NAS100 just beloow 30K) and crude oil steadying after a 2 day sell=off.

Ket event today: FOMC decision

US-IRan MOU: Specific detaiuls will not be released until after Friday’;s swigning

EURUSD                                  US500                                            XTIUSD

[GVI Forex 2]

Wed: FOMC Policy Decision

SEE DETAILED PREVIEW

[GVI Forex 2]

COMING UP: Data: Japanese Trade Balance (May), UK Inflation Report (May), ECB Wage Tracker (Jun), EU Inflation Final (May), US Retail Sales (May), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), New Zealand GDP (Q1).

Events: Riksbank Policy Announcement, Fed Policy Announcement, BCB Policy Announcement, IEA OMR.

Speakers: ECB’s Cipollone, Lagarde; Riksbank’s Thedeen; Fed’s Warsh. Supply: Australia, Germany.
(Newsquawk)

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks mixed as tech hits indices while oil continues to slump

SNAPSHOT: Equities mixed, Treasuries up, Crude down, Dollar down, Gold up

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Mtl JP]

U.S. oil reserve falls to lowest level since 1983
By Arathy Somasekhar and Timothy Gardner / Reuters — June 15, 2026

HOUSTON >> Crude oil in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell to 340.3 million barrels, the lowest level since 1983, according to data from the Department of Energy today, signaling tight supplies just as the U.S. and Iran agree on a deal to end the war and open the Strait of Hormuz. …/ .

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: US500 and NAS100 4 HOUR

Both consolidating after not correlating with drop in crude oil

Keep it simple.

If new record highs are not set then dependent on US500 7500 and NAS100 30K holding to keep a bid.

US500                                                                  NAS100                                           

 

 

 

 

 

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD VS BTCUSD 4 HOUR

Both consolidating below Monday’s highs (4369 and 67246)

XAUUSD dependent on holding above 4300 OR face a loss of momentum.

BTCUSD depenednet on 65K holding or face a psychological blow.

XAUUSD                                                            BYCUSD

[GVI Forex 2]

Crude oil slide… XTIUSD 30 Minute

US Senior official says Iran can sell oil/fuel immediatly after deal is signed, but can only sell oil if they abide by all the points agreed to including not interfering with free flow of navigation in Strait of Hormuz and not obtaining nuclear weapon

Analysis Details
Confirms earlier WSJ report. (Newsquawk)

[Author]

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