Market Update (risk off reaction)
[MARKET UPDATE] WTI crude trades with gains of nearly 1% shortly after the reopen following reports of Yemen’s Houthis targeting Saudi tankers Newsquawk.com

COMING UP: Data: South Korean GDP (Q2), Australian Jobs Report (Jun), Canadian Retail Sales (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/18), Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Jul).
Events: CBRT Policy Announcement (Jul), ECB Policy Announcement (Jul), SARB Policy Announcement (Jul). Speakers: ECB President Lagarde. Supply: UK, US.
Earnings: Intel, Blackstone, Lockheed Martin, RTX, TotalEnergies, BNP Paribas, STMicroelectronics, Thales, SAP, Roche, Nokia, Repsol (Newsquawk.com)
Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks meander with tech sold ahead of key earnings
SNAPSHOT: Equities flat/down, Treasuries down, Crude up, Dollar flat, Gold up
REAR VIEW: Trump says will hit Iranian bridges/power if Iran shoots at a ship in Hormuz; Iran threatens attacks on energy infrastructure if its bridges/power is hit; BoJ is said to be open to a hike faster than every six months; EIA crude stocks show surprise build, however, SPR draws continue; Mixed UK inflation; GEV earnings miss; AMD and Anthropic sign chip deal; OpenAI reportedly raises projected cloud spend; Qatar Energy reportedly preparing to extend LNG force majeure into October; Weak US 20yr bond auction; Trump admin weighing military action in Mali.
Market Update: XAUUSD vs. BTCUSD
XAUUSD taking the lead (4 green up candles in a row) with the move above 4138 needing to hold to expose 4180 and the key 4202-20 zone above it. Anything other than 4200+ would disappoint and maintain the current rsnge.
If not, then fallback support is at 4080-00 with the key 4044 level below it.
BTCUSD (consolidating): Keeping a bid while above 65534 (use 65K as a fallback) but upside would need to take out 67212 (and 68K) for momentum to accelerate. Anything other than a break if 67222 would be considered a disappointment.
If not, then dependent on 63684 to maintain current risk and keep the downside in check.
XAUUSD BTCUSD

Market Update:
One characteristic of today’;s trading has been a lack of follow through, most notably in crude oil after extending highs earlier.US stocks tryig to buck that trend with US500 trading back above 7500 (and NAS100 above 29K), perhaps getting some support ahead of the earnings delkuge later on.
EURUSD US500 XBRUSD

the japanese yakkers have between April and May 2026 – by various estimates – blown through $72–74 billion trying to help their puppy
International Reserves/Foreign Currency Liquidity (as of the end of March 2026) – mof
Market Update: Indices
US stocks likely in a holding pattern awaiting a slew of key earnings reports lster today.
Meanwhile, the battle to regain US7500 and NAS100 29k continues with a failure to hold above each cooling the upside, leaving both consolidating.
US500 needs to hold 7466 to avoid down momentum taking over. Same for NAS100 28515.
US500 NAS100


Only a modest reaction to these threats but would signal an escalation
From this point forward, any time the Islamic Republic of Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz, whether it be by Missile, Rocket, Drone, or any other device or weapon, the United States will bomb and destroy ONE BRIDGE OR POWER PLANT, including those located next to, or in, the Capital City of Tehran. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Source: Newsquawk – Truth Social
US PRE-MARKET MOVERS: SMCI, CB, EQNR, TEL, GEV, T, PHM, PM, OKLO/XE
ES -0.4% NQ -0.9% RTY -0.4%
Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

Oil prices, bond yields and chip stocks were rising in sync again overnight, as this renewed round of fighting between the U.S. and Iran entered its eleventh day with no end in sight. But the chip rally stalled in Asia during a volatile session, and Wall Street futures are down as investors await results from Alphabet and Tesla later today… Full report on Reuters US Morning Bid
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