U.S. stocks fall as Fed convenes, euro wavers as Germany passes debt reform
· Israeli strikes on Gaza revives Middle East tensions
· U.S. housing starts, industrial output surprise to the upside
· Safe-haven flows keep gold above $3,000
· Wall Street turned lower and gold surged to record highs on Tuesday as Israeli airstrikes on Gaza revived geopolitical jitters and the U.S. Federal Reserve gathered to discuss monetary policy amid growing economic uncertainty.
· A vote by Germany’s parliament to overhaul government spending caused the euro to waver, although it also sent European stocks higher and boosted German shares to near-record highs.
· Even so, all three major U.S. stock indexes were lower in early trading, with weakness in tech-related megacap stocks dragging the tech-laden Nasdaq down the most.
See if you can apply the lesson from reading this article to others (hint: EURUSD making a fresh run at its upsaide)
Trump-Putin call ends… stocks getting a very modest bump, EURUSD holding its bid

Rate Moves Could Be Delayed Until Summer
The Trump administration’s new policies are causing significant economic volatility in the U.S., making it difficult for the Fed to assess the situation clearly enough to adjust interest rates before late spring or summer
There are challenges posed by multiple sources of uncertainty, including tariffs, trade policy, unpredictable inflation, declining consumer sentiment, immigration policy’s impact on the labour force, energy policy, tax reforms, federal spending, and geopolitical tensions.
Tariffs are likely to result in higher prices for American households, who are already grappling with elevated costs.
The Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting is scheduled for March 18-19.

…” 500-billion-euro fund for infrastructure”…
–
the traditionally getting-into-debt german is suddenly markets’ darling for sticking its nations neck into a 500-billion euro over next few years debt noose, by some enthusiasts’ calculations to be ballpark 3-4% of GDP.
ieeha, economics and peace prize for president trump goading the german thusly ?
euro 1.0918 as I type, on the longer time frame euro still in strong up trend shouls see S on dips into high 1.08 region if seen
Early EURUED gains (whiuch failed abiove 1,0950) may have been in anticipation of this vote
Parliament to vote on 500-billion-euro fund for infrastructure
Also to vote on easing of strict borrowing rules
Conservatives, SPD and Greens expect to reach majority
Measures would mark tectonic shift in spending
(Reuters summary)
TIME TO REVISIT THIS ARTICLE AS EURUSD FOCUS IS ON 1.0950
EURUSD HIGH 1.0954 => LAST 1.0944
My Favorite Trading Secret: The Power of the “50” Level
XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART – WHERE’S THE TOP

There is no reason to guess at a top until charts tell you there is a reason to do so.
Resistance: Use the most recent (record) high: 3028 so far today
Support: To state the obvious, 3000 will dictate the tone, below 2978 would be the level where charts say there is a top
Using my platform as a HEATMAP shows

… the dollar trading weaker except vs. a weaker JPY (USDJPY came within spitting distance but backing off after being unable to test 150).
EURUSD break of 1.0947-50 would need to hold to put 1.10 on the radar.
Middle East heating up, supporting oil and gold but little signs of stress elsewhere.
XAUUSD extends record high above 3005.
US stocks steady and seeing if they can build on a 2- day rally
Looking ahead,
Trump-Putin call today
entral bank meeting deluge starts on Wednesday
oh oh oooh… oecd warns
or offers a hint to president trump ?
–
Bank of Canada would need to hike interest rates by up to 1.25% in full-blown tariff war, warns OECD
USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART – Reacting to risk on

What has the weaker JPY been telling us?
No BoJ rate hike this week?
Foreshadowed a shift out of a risk off mood?
Chart shows 149.32 stands in the way of key levels… 150.18 and 151.30
While 150+ should be tough, only back below 148.00-25 would shift the risk the other way.
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