This appears to have been one catalyst for the JPY sell-off
Japanese PM Takaichi reportedly relayed to BoJ Governor Ueda her reservations about further rate hikes, according to Mainichi citing sources
<p style=”text-align: center;”>Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days</p>
February 23 Post-Market Earnings Release Stocks
(KEYS) Keysight Technologies reported a 27% revenue increase in its Communications Solutions Group and a 15% rise in the Electronic Industrial Solutions Group, driven by strong sector performance.
(HIMS) Hims & Hers Health, Inc. slid nearly 10% after-hours as the company’s 2026 revenue outlook came in below Wall Street expectations, reviving investor concerns around regulatory risk tied to compounded GLP-1 weight-loss drugs.
(BWXT) BWX Technologies, Inc. revenue grew 18% to $3.2B in 2025, with net income of $329M and strong backlog of $7.26B. Major acquisitions and new debt financing supported expansion, while government contracts and nuclear market demand remain key drivers.



Newsquawk Market Wrap 3
Meanwhile, on trade, Trump lifted his Section 122 tariffs to 15% from 10% over the weekend. Nations like Mexico announced they will now be paying less tariffs on non-USMCA-compliant goods, while the EU has frozen trade talks with the US and is not seeking to alter the pre-existing deal at this stage. Trump has warned that those who decide to play games will be met with a higher tariff than what they recently agreed to. ‘
The risk-off sentiment around AI disruption and also the lifting of tariffs saw T-notes catch a bid throughout the US session to settle around peaks, with eyes turning to supply in a data-light week. However, several central bank speakers are on the docket for Tuesday. Waller spoke today, noting it is almost a coin toss for a cut or a hold in March.
In FX, the Dollar was mixed vs peers while activity currencies lagged in the risk-off trade. Crude prices ultimately settled slightly lower while eyes turn to the US/Iran talks on Thursday. On this, reports suggest the Pentagon has been pushing Trump to go for a diplomatic resolution, warning about the risks of striking Iran. Trump has apparently been leaning towards strikes, but has agreed to give Witkoff and Kushner more time to negotiate for diplomacy. Gold and Silver rallied on the risk conditions, while Bitcoin slumped.s.

Newsquawk Market Wrap 2
was a risk-off session on Monday with equities sliding on fears of further AI disruption, while US President Trump hiked tariffs. The AI fears seemingly sparked from a research piece from Citrini Research exploring severe downside risks if AI exceeds expectations. This is not the firm’s base-case scenario, but it highlighted how unemployment could spike to 10% with the SPX down 38% from late-2026 peaks (which it pencilled in at 8,000) with a recession in 2027. It largely highlighted payments, software and private credit stocks as highly exposed to such a scenario. All of which sectors tumbled on Monday, while IBM also took a chunky hit as Anthropic announced that Claude can now automate COBOL modernisation efforts – further adding to the AI disruption fears.

Newsquawk US Market Wrap 1: Risk-off trade as AI disruption fears mount while Trump hikes tariffs
SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries up, Crude down, Dollar mixed, Gold up
REAR VIEW: Research firm raises AI disruption fears; Trump raises Section 122 tariffs to 15% from 10%, threatens even higher tariffs; EU Parliament agrees to postpone vote on EU-US trade deal; Fed’s Waller says March decision is a coin toss; Witkoff and Kushner to meet Iran on Thursday; Pentagon pushing Trump for diplomatic approach; US’s Rubio weekend visit to Israel postponed to Monday; Hungary said it will block EU Ukraine decisions until the Druzhba pipeline flow resumes; Novo Nordisk CargriSema trial disappoints; PYPL reportedly attracts takeover interest.
Trump Social Post on Irn:
Numerous stories from the Fake News Media have been circulating stating that General Daniel Caine, sometimes referred to as Razin, is against us going to War with Iran. The story does not attribute this vast wealth of knowledge to anyone, and is 100% incorrect. General Caine, like all of us, would like not to see War but, if a decision is made on going against Iran at a Military level, it is his opinion that it will be something easily won. He knows Iran well in that he was in charge of Midnight Hammer, the attack on the Iranian Nuclear Development. It is a Development no longer, but rather, was blown to smithereens by our Great B-2 Bombers. Razin Caine is a Great Fighter, and represents the Most Powerful Military anywhere in the World. He has not spoken of not doing Iran, or even the fake limited strikes that I have been reading about, he only knows one thing, how to WIN and, if he is told to do so, he will be leading the pack. Everything that has been written about a potential War with Iran has been written incorrectly, and purposefully so. I am the one that makes the decision, I would rather have a Deal than not but, if we don’t make a Deal, it will be a very bad day for that Country and, very sadly, its people, because they are great and wonderful, and something like this should never have happened to them. PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP
US500 UPDATE
US500 1` HOUR CHART

Novo lost share value like it was on its weight loss drug
Feb 23 (Reuters) – Novo Nordisk (NOVOb.CO) shares slumped by more than 16% on Monday, wiping away the remaining gains brought by its blockbuster weight-loss drug Wegovy, after the drugmaker said its next-generation obesity drug CagriSema underperformed Eli Lilly’s (LLY.N) rival.
Novo, which in 2024 was worth more than $650 billion, has since shed around $475 billion, with the shares back at levels last seen before Wegovy transformed it into Europe’s most valuable drugmaker…. Reuters

BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
BTCUSD DAILY CHART

ETHUSD
Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum co-founder, (so far) has sold around 8,800 ETH in February worth over $16.53 million. Moreover, ethereum whales are offloading huge amounts of Ethereum coin. One OG Ethereum investor recently deposited over 14,183 ETH, worth $42 million into Coinbase after holding it for nearly 9 years.
AUDUSD (1HR)
The Australian dollar is trading near 0.7060, staying inside its downward channel. Earlier, the price broke above the initial resistance around 0.7080, but it failed to hold those gains and pulled back. The pair continues to move within the same bearish channel.
Key levels to watch are support near 0.7020 and resistance around 0.7070.

XAUUSD (GOLD) UPDATE
With a void on charts until the record 5596 high, what would it take for 5596 to come on the radar?
XAUUSDÂ DAILY Â CHART

Looki Looki Looki who japan has wheeled out to yak about interest and policy collusion
USDYEN 154.36 as I type
BOJ may raise rates in March if yen resumes slide, says ex-policymaker – By Leika Kihara, February 22, 2026
Summary
U.S. rate checks show Washington’s preference for strong yen
April hike makes better sense but yen moves may trigger March
BOJ may need to hike rates twice each in 2026, 2027
Hiking rates at faster pace may stoke financial system risk
fyi and fwiw
February 23 Pre-Market Earnings Release Stocks
(LINC) Lincoln Educational Services Corporation delivered record 2025 results with revenue up 19.7% and adjusted EBITDA up 60%, driven by strong demand for skilled trades and successful campus expansions.
(DPZ) Domino’s stock rose 3.7% in morning trading to make it one of the S&P 500 index’s SPX top performers on the day. The company also reported that same-store sales, or sales of stores open at least a year, rose 3.7% for its U.S. stores
(SCL) Stepan Co. reported a quarterly adjusted loss of 2 cents​​ per share for the quarter ended December 31, lower than the same quarter last year, when the company reported EPS of 12 cents.

DAX Closes Sharply Lower
Frankfurt’s DAX 40 lost ground to close about 1.1% lower at 24,986 on Monday, lagging behind its peers, as investors grappled with renewed trade uncertainty after President Trump said he would impose a temporary 15% tariff following a Supreme Court ruling against his emergency trade levies.

XRP Panic At $1.34, But Structure Still Favors A Larger Upside Rotation
XRP has plunged 69%, sparking widespread panic across the market.
Panic is rising at $1.39, but the bigger picture hasn’t broken. XRP remains within a broader bullish structure, with price testing key support after a sharp correction. Unless critical levels fail, the setup still favors a larger upside rotation rather than a trend reversal.

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