XTIUSD UPDATE
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XTIUUSD 30 MINUTE CHART
Ethereum analysis: crypto remains resilient despite global risk-off shock
Sellers are pushing in crypto today as oil rallies almost 30% and markets crash, but crypto buyers seem to be absorbing so far today.
Ethereum futures are trading near $1,986, stabilizing after the recent pullback from the $2,100 area.
This stabilization is happening under a very unusual macro backdrop. The futures market opened the new trading week on March 9, 2026, and global markets immediately reacted to the ongoing war involving the United States, Israel, and Iran.
The reaction across asset classes has been dramatic:
S&P 500 futures (ES): about -1.9%
Nasdaq futures (NQ): about -2.5%
Dow futures (YM): about -2.1%
Russell 2000 futures (RTY): about -3.8%
At the same time, crude oil futures surged nearly +28%, reflecting the market’s pricing of geopolitical risk and potential supply disruptions.
FX option expiries for 9 March 10am New York cut
AUD/USD at the 0.7000 level. The pair managed to stave off a daily close below the figure level last week but the pressure is mounting amid an even bigger spike in oil prices to start the week. The expiries don’t tie to any technical significance but could play a role in keeping price action hanging in there before rolling off later in the day.
The dollar and broader sentiment are both largely tied to oil prices right now. And that in turn is driven by headlines affecting the market amid the US-Iran conflict.

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 9th March 2026
(Right click on any image or chart to open a full screen in a new tab)

Forex Market Snapshot
I am not sure what to say about a forex market trying to follow the price of crude oil that spiked 30% in one day to its high (91.42 => 119.41) and then retraced 19% in the same day (119.41 => 96.34) before bouncing back above USD100 (last 101.80)
In any case,

Fog of War
cui bono
–
bartimore, earlier today ecitedly and breatlessly pointed out that the first 100 hours alone cost $3.7 billion and that sources tell her that the pentagon is about to request a supplemental package in the coming days and weeks of up to $50 billion.
Fog of War
–
Sunday Morning Futures with Maria Bartiromo 3/8/26 FULL END SHOW
Levitt: “look at all that success” …
Fog of War
–
According to CNN (news for the plebs)
Critical infrastructure targeted in new phase of war with Iran
Updated 10:25 AM EDT, Sun March 8
Suspicious observation
One sided “regime change” screams seem to be loosing credibility and not just inside oil-producing “royal” sheikdoms’ sheiks.
evolving; maybe more rapidly than msm news trickles allow
Fog of War
According to WSJ Live Updates |
– Trump Isn’t Ruling Out Ground Troops
– America Sends Ukraine-Tested Drones to Hit Iran’s Drones
…(Merops drones, from a company owned by Eric Schmidt, are favored by Kyiv’s troops against Russian Shahed attacks)
– U.S. Military Is Focused on Iran. Its Biggest Challenge Is China.
– President Trump’s war is the latest campaign that has drained missile stockpiles and stretched American forces thin.
– Iran Is Hitting the Radars That Underpin U.S. Missile Defenses
– Tehran is carrying out many of the strikes with one-way attack drones.
What the Markets Are Telling Us About the War in the Gulf
AND the 64K Question:
The investment question now is whether signs of worry are a reason to buy the dip or a reason to get out.
BTCUSD (BITCOIN) UPDATE
BTCUSD 4 HOUR CHART

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