Increasing odds of Trump’s War Department’ “Boots On The Ground” theme:
USS Tripoli’s Current Position
https://www.cruisingearth.com/ship-tracker/united-states-navy/uss-tripoli/
i.e around 5 days from its m/east destination
Reuters
Exclusive: US weighs more troops as Iran war enters possible new phase
The deployments could help provide Trump with additional options as he weighs expanding U.S. operations, with the Iran war well into its third week.
Forex Market Snapshot

ETHUSD (1HR)
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 3.5%–3.75% on Tuesday, in line with market expectations. However. the decision did little to reassure traders. As a result of this Ethereum fell by 6.48% though it continues to demonstrate relative strength compared to the broader market.
Following a recent breakout attempt, Ethereum moved toward the $2,340–$2,350 range before retreating. What once was its barrier is now acting as support in the $2,150–$2,200 zone.

On March 17, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission jointly finalised a rule classifying 16 crypto assets as digital commodities. This includes: XRP, Ethereum, Solana, Cardano, Chainlink, Avalanche, Polkadot, Stellar, Hedera, Litecoin, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Tezos, Bitcoin Cash, Aptos, and Algorand.
What this move can mean… For institutions, a clearer framework for engaging with crypto, reducing uncertainty and encouraging participation. It supports new products, custody services, and increased investment, while expanding interest beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum to other recognized tokens.
CFTC Joins SEC to Clarify the Application of Federal Securities Laws to Crypto Assets
March 18 Pre-Market Earnings Release Stocks
(GIS) General Mills is going all in on protein and fiber as the food giant works to turn around its struggling business. Net sales including the impact of divestitures and acquisitions fell 8% to $4.44 billion, edging past consensus calls for $4.41 billion. Sales were down 3% on an organic basis, trailing Nielsen-measured global retail sales by roughly 1.5 points.
(WSM) Williams-Sonoma posted a profit of $368 million, down from $410.7 million a year earlier. Sales falling 4.3% year on year to $2.36 billion. Its GAAP profit of $3.04 per share was 4.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
(WB) Weibo’s Q4 2025 saw 4% revenue growth year-over-year, with advertising strength offsetting VAS softness. FY2025 revenues were flat, but net income rose to $449M, and a $150M annual dividend was declared.

Full slate of Central Bank rate decisions today
CLICK BELOW FOR PREVIEWS

Newsquawk Daily Asia-Pac Opening News – 19th March 2026
(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

WTI $99 from $94 two and half hours ago
–
Vance, Wright to address oil execs amid Iran tensions
– politico 03/18/2026 12:46 PM
“We’re working on a number of things, in fact, a couple of things that I think will be announced in just the next 24 to 48 hours” to bring down prices, Vance told reporters at an event in Auburn Hills. “I don’t want to get ahead of the president on that, but we recognize this is an issue.”
“We are fighting against it, and we promise that when this conflict draws to a close, when this operation draws to a close, we’re going to see those energy prices come back down to reality, because that’s what the president promised to do,” Vance continued. … bla bla bla
BTCUSD – Weekly Chart
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve held the policy rates, while the US wholesale inflation surged.
After reachning above the important level of 74.430 Bitcoin lost its mojo and dived below 72 K
Now it is not all lost – yet, but we’ll have to see if Support at 69.135 can holds…
If not 60 K will be a magnet, with 50 K starting to be resonable…
Now it is too early to call it , as todays move is clearly a reaction to FOMC….
Bitcoin needs to take over that 74.430 and stay above it, to be able to charge towards 80 K first and 90K being a target of such a move.

USDJPY hits a new high for the year
The USDJPY is ticking up to new highs as yields move higher after the FOMC rate decision and comments
Overall, Powell leaned mildly hawkish:
The hawkish core was his refusal to commit to cuts without inflation progress, the dot plot shift toward fewer cuts, and his explicit unwillingness to prioritize employment over inflation. The fact that he openly questioned whether tariff inflation would truly be “one-time” was a notable step back from the view the Fed held earlier.
The dovish offset came from ruling out hikes, signaling some confidence tariff inflation fades mid-year, and emphasizing that long-term expectations remain anchored
The wildcard is the Middle East. Powell effectively told markets he doesn’t know how to model it yet — which keeps the next meeting wide open depending on how the oil/energy situation develops.
160.250 & 162.000 will be real tests…

with jerome gang’s rate decision (and econ projections and dots) out of the way, next up is his presser at bottom of hour. it is unlikely that jerome will deviate massively from caution and dovish-ness.
nb / this is jerome’s 2nd to last hoorah as chair whose term poofs on may 15th. jerome’s board member term poofs only in january 2028.
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