[GVI Forex 2]

Risk on mood seems driven more by no news rather than some headline

[Mtl JP]

Oil Industry
brent around $88 as I type
–
oil producers around m/east are now on lower production runs as their business is “just-in-time” oriented. The strait needs to open soon to liberate the loaded oil tankers which continue to pile up and rot gulf (as the kingdoms’ cashflow)

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) UPDATE

Battle for 25000

• With down momentum broken, move above 25208 is needed to shift risk to the upside. For that to happen, 25000 would need to become support.
• If not, then 25000 remains pivotal and the bias setter.

NAS100 4  HOUR CHART

[Mtl JP]

EURO 1.1642 as I type

puppy struggling to go N of 1.1650

200day: 1.1675, currently Res

[Mtl JP]

Fog of War

US 10-yr 4.113% at 11:04 AM EDT

[Mtl JP]

Fog of War
–
Players shedding some dollar enthusiasm, at least in and for the s/term:

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 (SP500) UPDATE

• Getting a fresh lift trying to follow a dip in crude oil BUT…
• … in order to build momentum, 6846 and the 4-hour trendline need to be broken.
• Otherwise, 6800 will stay pivotal in setting its tone.

US500 4 HOUR CHART

[Belgrade Bobby]

Market Pulse 2

[Belgrade Bobby]

Market Pulse 1

[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD Daily

I mentioned yesterday that 1.16200 is a pivotal within a broader channel, and now when EUR got above it there is a possibility of change of trend/wave, but be aware that we need at least two closings above it to confirm.

Any close tonight below 1.16250 would signal renewed pressure Down.

In this very moment it acts as a support , and as long as it holds Intraday pressurw will be Up.

[Belgrade Bobby]

FX option expiries for 10 March 10am New York cut

EUR/USD at the 1.1640-50 levels. After the drop since the start of last week, we’re finally seeing the pair move back above its 100-hour moving average (seen at 1.1597 currently). However, price action continues to rest below the 200-hour moving average (seen at 1.1666 currently). So, that keeps the near-term bias more neutral for now.

[Belgrade Bobby]

European FX news wrap: Markets in a cautiously optimistic mood

It’s been a pretty calm session with no major news or data releases. The sentiment in the markets is cautiously optimistic after Trump told CBS yesterday that “the war could be over soon”.

We got a taste of what is likely to come when we get the real de-escalation as Trump’s words triggered a quick relief rally with stocks surging, oil selling off and the US dollar weakening. Traders are now looking forward to the de-escalation, so the upside in the war premium should be limited.

In the American session, we get the weekly US ADP jobs data which hasn’t been a market moving report for a long time, and it’s unlikely to be so today. The focus is solely on the war because that’s going to influence the data in the future. The data we are getting now is all pre-war, and therefore old news.

[GVI News]

Rumor; Iran’s new supreme leader has been wounded (unconfirmed)

[Mtl JP]

ST London 11:30 / I could imagine (in Fog of War) that being somewhat closer to the Truth IF israel is now without air defence means and is also no longer capable of re-placing it in an expedient manner.

[Adam Global]

GOLD  still  resisting 5200.00

SStill supporting 5055.00

More traders are waiting for 2mrw’s

CORECPI 

[Adam Global]

ßitcoin back above $70K again 🤦🏻

Will $70K this time hold 📈 for more gain

Or yet another drop 📉 below $70K

[Adam Global]

GBPUSD bouncing 📈 up but still trapped in the falling channel ♒️

[Mtl JP]

ST “Trump Advisers” can u name them

I suggest trump has only one “advisor” – bibi

[Adam Global]

EurUsd also bouncing 📈 above 1.1600

[Adam Global]

AusUSD bouncing 📈 above 0.71000 as USD loses momentum amid the on-going war

🇮🇷🆚️🇮🇱🇺🇲

[ST London]

And on tke other side

New Supreme Leader:

Do you think he is looking to negotiate after losing his father, wife and son in the attack?

[ST London]

Trump Advisers Urge Him to Find Iran Exit Ramp, Fearing Political Backlash (WSJ)

[GVI Forex 2]

XTIUSD UPDATE

• Focus of global markets remains on the price of crude, which has firmed and seeing a modest ripple effect elsewhere.
• One look at this chart shows that momentum and round numbers are more important than fine tuning levels.
• In this regard, USD80 is pivotal as above it keeps the focus on USD100 with USD90 standing in the way (chart resistance 91.39)

XTIUUSD 4 HOUR CHART

[GVI Forex 2]

RBA rate hike call

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 10th March 2026

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) UPDATE

• Bounce from repeated support in the 5000’s requires a firm break of 5206 to put the bulls back in control.
• Otherwise, current consolidation range stays intact.

XAUUSD  4  HOUR  CHART

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD UPDATE

• For the rebound to build momentum 1.1655 needs to not only be broken (high 1.1664) but become support.
• Otherwise, dependent on 1.1606 holding to maintain the new found bid.

EURUSD 4 HOUR CHART

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Market Snapshot

• What a difference a day makes! At this time yesterday EURUSD was trying to hold off a run at 1.15, USDJPY was aiming for 159, GBPUSD had traded 1.32xx, AUDUSD was trading below .70 and CAD was firmer on an oil play.
• US stocks have extended rebounds, XAUUSD (GOLD) is firmer and BTCUSD is back above 70K.
• All it took was news algos reacting to one comment by President Trump to get the ball rolling the other way, confirming once again that it is the reaction to news more than the news itself that matters and gives a clue to trading.
• In any case, it it is hard to suggest follow through without confirming news. So, it feels like another headline watching reaction to news day with one eye on crude oil and the risk mood set by US stocks.
• No key data is due from the US

[GVI Forex 2]

Scanning the headlines these do not sound like a case for risk on

 

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[ST London]

Haven’t markets learned yet it is Trump’s actions and not his (many) words that matter (like war will be over soon!

[Author]

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