[GVI News]

Here are 2 risk indicators using pivotal levels

EURUSD 1.1550 (short term, 1.15 longer term)… last 1.1542

BTCUSD 70K (currently below… last 68600)

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOUR

Similar to US500. We will see after Tuesday’s deadline whether the current rally is just a matter of feeling bid in an offered market.

To build momentum to the upside, 24550+ needs to be firmly regained.

On the downside, the trendline and 23804 need to hold to keep hopes to the upside alive.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 (SP500) 4 hour

Are stocks bid or bid in an offered market? Logic says the latter, price action  says  jury  is out.

Answer might come after Tuesday’s deadline with defensive trading likely ahead of it.

Resistance: 6620/36/97/6761

Supports: 4 HR trendline, 6536/6460/6377/10

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 4 HOUR

Trading GOLD would be a lot easier if it was acting as a safe haven and correlating with the risk on/off mood. Instead, it is doing the opposite and

Would need to make a firm break out of 4500-4800 to build momentum on either side.

Pivotal level: 4650= midpoint of 4600-4700 and 4500-4800

[Mtl JP]

to be fair:
Brent dipped to 109.45 during the presser
109.93 as I type this post-presser
–
“they have till 8pm tom night. After that no power plants, no bridges … stone age”
“re-opening strait is a very big priority”

brent 109.70
euro 1.1545
DLRx 99.977 2:52 PM EDT

[Mtl JP]

press conference does not seem to have anything to do with strait’s reopening
brent price uP (to 111-ish) confirms

next headline …

[Mtl JP]

EURUSD 1.1534
BRENT 110.70-ish
–
puppies trading in reverse correlation
techs suggest euro 1.15 = Sup

[Adam Global]

As I’ve said it

🇮🇷 🆚️🇺🇲🇮🇱

Possibility of a 45days cease-fire is impossible

Iran 🇮🇷 wants to be heard

Iran 🇮🇷 wants to be respected

Iran 🇮🇷 has demands too

USA 🇺🇸 is over demanding 📈

Now I’ll just wait here & wait for <span class=”bbp-author-name” style=”padding: 0px; margin: 0px 12px 0px 0px; box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word; display: inline-block; clear: none;”>Mtl JP</span>

& wait again for Trump speech later📈 🇮🇷🆚️🇮🇱🇺🇲📉

[Mtl JP]

REUTERS
18 mins ago
–
Iran rejects ceasefire as deadline nears on Trump ‘hell’ ultimatum
The Iranian response consisted of 10 clauses, including an end to conflicts in the region, a protocol for safe passage through the Strait ​of Hormuz, ​lifting of ⁠sanctions, and reconstruction.

[Mtl JP]

GVI Forex 2 3:10 pm / sounds like a good betting opp on “WHO is currently in control”

[Mtl JP]

ahead of trump’s 1pm yak
–
VIX 24.28 11:30 AM EDT
suggests high collective market stress

[GVI Forex 2]

Prez also said Iran proposal is a signficant one but not good enoughj… the Tuesday deadline is a final one… limied reaction so far

 

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[Mtl JP]

Adam Global 11:54 “Possible cease-fire seems impossible”

what an interesting concept
differentiating between possible and impossible
possible = belief vs physical reality

impossible – as belief – is, as history shows, often “corrected”, proven to have been false

[GVI Forex 2]

ISM Services headline miss, employment dips below 50, prices paid jumps.

 

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

<Be on alert for news headlines

US Prez will be holding a press conmference at 1 PM EDT (5 PM GMT)

[Belgrade Bobby]

FX option expiries for 6 April 10am New York cut

With it being Easter Monday and all, expect it to be a quieter session in European morning trade today. With no major expiries in play, price action is likely to stay more muted amid a lack of key catalysts.

[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD 4 H

EUR trying to pull out from the downtrend, but 1.16500 so far untouchable.

Resistance in front of it at 1.15950   Supports at: 1.15400 & 1.15150

[GVI News]

What is bullish engulfing mean in charting?

A bullish engulfing pattern is a two-candle reversal signal in technical analysis that suggests downtrend → potential upside reversal.

It forms over two consecutive candles:
1. First candle: bearish (price closes lower than it opens)
2. Second candle: bullish (price closes higher than it opens)
• The body of the second candle completely engulfs the body of the first

[Adam Global]

ßitcoin bullish engulfing 📈 is attracting buyers but still battling the $70K mark 🎯

Maybe bullish engulfing will continue 🤔

Maybe $70K will be rejected 📉 yet again 🤔

[Adam Global]

GOLD opened lower 📉

Found support on 4600.00 📈

Rejecting the 4700.00 📉

Every 1 is waiting for the ISM data to see if Gold will hold bullish gain or more bearish 📉 is expected

[Adam Global]

GBPUSD hit my Tp 🤑 on Friday on 1.3200

Triple bottom is spotted on 1.3200

But the daily channel is still holding GBPUSD down

[Adam Global]

AusUSD is bouncing above 0.6900

Even though its a holiday momentum seems to be upward 📈

The channel 📈 seems to be holding the trend up

[Adam Global]

With oil 🛢 opening higher

& the situation in the middle east shows no end in sight

Possible cease-fire seems impossible

Trumps deadline which is 2mrw & has shifted multiple 🤔 times

The straight of hormuz is open to friendly countries like China 🇨🇳

[ST London]

Any agreement without opening the Strait is no agreement

Betting on a ceasefire is the hope but a long shot.

What happrms to the Tuesday deadline if Iran rejects?

Too much risk to suggest follow through in a holiday market?

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 6th April 2026

• US President Trump posted on Saturday that time is running out, and there are ‘48 hours before all Hell will reign down on them. He also reiterated his threat to Iran to open the Strait, or they will be living in hell, and posted “Tuesday, 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time!”.
• The Pakistan Army Chief reportedly held separate calls with US VP Vance, Envoy Witkoff and Iran’s Araghchi, according to a Reuters source report. A proposal for a final agreement was outlined, and if agreed, it would lead to an immediate ceasefire and the reopening of Hormuz.
• Crude choppy on geopolitics with losses this morning amid ceasefire efforts.
• US equity futures tick higher on improved risk tone; European equities closed for holidays.
• DXY dips below 100 as crude eases on war-ending efforts.
• T-notes rise, ISM Services and Trump comments ahead.
• Looking ahead, highlights include ISM Services PMI (Mar) and comments by US President Trump.

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

Marfket Update

Pivotal levels: EURUSD 1.1550, US500 6600., XBRUSD $110

            EURUSD                                    US500                      XBRUSD

[GVI Forex 2]

USDX (USD INDEX) 4 HOUR

More on the defensive while below 100.33 with layers of support frpo, 99.09-50

To build momentum to the downside, EURUSD (57.6% of USDX) would need to take out 1.1627-40) in a market currently held hostage to geopolitics and attempts to diffuse the crisis.,

[GVI Forex 2]

XBRUSD (BRFENT OIL) 4 HOUR

Little choice but to turn defensive amid peace proposals and after the opening of the week high failed to test $!!%

Key support is at 108.92, needs to hold or risk a void on the downside.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 4 HOUR

Getting a lift from the shift in mood to risk on but so far only able to test the midpoint of a 4600-4800 range.

To build momentum to the upside, 4700 would need to be come support followed by a firm 4800 break.

Key support is not until 4530, currently protected by 4600.

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Market Snapshot

The mood has shifted from a risk off start to risk on on reports of an attempt at a ceasefire and peace talks in a holiday thinned market.

Thai has seen the USD slip, led by the AUD and NZD as markets trade on hope awaiting further details.

[Author]

Posts