BTCUSD (BITCOIN) 4 HOUR
Clearly a case of glass half empty or glass half full
Glass half empty: Failure on repeated attempts to regain 0K+ is bearish
Glass have full: Failure to establish below 65K is encouraging to the bull side
Until BTCUSD can decide on its role, safe haven, correlation with risk on/off or just a digital., spec asset with no intrinsic value, expect more chop until the battle for 65K-70K is decided.
Current range: 64920 – 69262

Still a trading and top theme,
in the short term
–
Trump Loses Grip as Oil Surge Signals Deeper Crisis
“loosing grip”
lies, delusion, fog, rogue-iness, facts
S&P Global Services PMI dips blow 560… ISM PMI is more important to markets

priorities …
White House seeks $1.5 trillion defense budget amid Iran war
…“The budget builds upon the historic $1 trillion overall defense topline for 2026 and requests $1.5 trillion in total budgetary resources for 2027,” the document reads. “This is a $445 billion, or 42 percent, increase from the 2026 total resource level.” …/..
defense budget … slip of tongue ?
US jobs… big beat in NFP… jobless rate slips… knee jerk reaction but so far limited in thin market

Forex Market Snapshot
The dollar is trading flat to slightly firmer ahead of what would normally be a key market moving event (US jobs report) but this time overshadowed by events in the Middle East and the Good Friday holiday closures.
While algos may be react to any misses in the data, it is hard to suggest strong follow through given thin liquidity while those trading looking to head for the exits once the data is digested and futures products close early.

The CME Group markets (including Globex) are closed or have special holiday hours on Friday, April 3, 2026, in observation of Good Friday
Key 2026 Good Friday (April 3) Closures:
Trading Resumes: Regular trading is expected to resume on Sunday evening at 5:00 p.m. CT. CME Group +2
CNBC – Published Thu, Apr 2 20269:03 PM EDT
Army chief of staff fired by Hegseth, sources say
U.S. Army Chief of Staff Randy George was fired on Thursday … Even as Hegseth, a former Fox News host, has moved quickly to reshape the department, firing a general during wartime is nearly without precedent. … “We wish him well in his retirement,”
NZDUSD (4HR)
The kiwi dollar has declined in recent trading session similar to AUDUSD, with the New Zealand Dollar losing its two-day gain and now trading at $0.571. The RBNZ has stated that oil price increases could boost inflation, affecting household spending.
The NZDUSD is under pressure, with interest rates likely to be held by the Reserve Bank next week. The possibility of a rate hike in May has fallen to 25% from 60% last week.

AUDUSD (4HR)
The Australian dollar has been declining in the recent intraday session, with the Australian dollar weakening by 0.95%. Currently, the price is at $0.6914. The price has moved below the 50-period EMA, which is an indication of increased downside pressure in the near term. The price is currently moving closer to its two-month low registered during the past week.

US500 (SP500) 4 HOUR
With US stock markets closed on Friday expect a gap opening on Monday that would need to move outside of 6400-6600 to put key levels at risk (6378, 6310/6600-10.6636)
Note Friday sees US NFP before those4 trading look to head for the exits (US banks are open,, bond market closes at noon).

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