EURO 1.0770 as I type.
puppy is ever-so gingerly trying to punch through 1.0780 Sup
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is powell’s “interview” LIVE or is it a few days old pre-registration ?
how about amateur hour mostly benefitting CBS News ’60 Minutes’ eyeball count
cbsnews peddles it as
“There is no better person to ask about the American economy than Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. This Sunday, 60 Minutes sits down with Powell to ask about the future of interest rates, whether prices will come down, and what the Fed might do next.”
EURUSD
After quite a drop on Friday, caused by the number of numerous data positive for USD , it is a question what happens next ??
Well, base on the pattern, derived from the daily chart , early Europe might just pick it up, for no good reason whatsoever, except for the custom to buy EUR at all times…Now there is a possibility to reach the first Resistance at 1.08200, but depending on the mood of those involved, it can reach up to 1.08400 and still be in the strong downtrend.
Support awaits at 1.07450 and might prove to be a bit stubborn…nevertheless , once taken out ( as pattern suggests at least another 3-4 weeks of down pressure ), opens the road to first target in 1.05 area. Now, if that happens, we’ll be targeting parity , over period of time. I’ll be with you and updates tomorrow Europe morning…Ciao
either fwiw or entertainment
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fed insider … “explaining”
https://finance.yahoo.com/video/fed-supertanker-thats-hard-redirect-200743810.html
A friend of mine passes along this thought- Improvements in inflation are largely due to drops in energy. Those are most likely based and done at current levels. Peak in rates was never restrictive enough to slow things down (my thought on that is higher rates only matter in rate sensitive sectors so largely benign. But speaking of rate sensitive sectors watch out for commercial real estate). Going forward watch for rates to retest the highs of last year (his thoughts again- He-s uber bearish bonds), stocks have probably seen their highs at these levels for the next 3-6 months especially with big tech earnings behind now. Fx he didn’t have much conviction other than it’s hard to be bearish the usd against this backdrop. He thinks no rate cuts from the Fed this year. fwiw….
as per my previous post about MAs and trading …
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EURO 1.0805 as I type ( LoD 1.791-ish)
puppy’s bull enthusiasts got their nuts stretched if not outright ripped on (as Frank asks) good that FED is data dependent – i.e. what would you like the number to be sir – now Res at 100ma to regain a minimum of bullishness
I am also data dependent: yield and dlr.
as I pointed earlier one was wrong.
now things are a bit broght back into respect – as it should be.
So ADP on Wednesday misses by a third to the downside. Friday NFP misses by about 100% to the upside. ADP, the private sector number headline weak. NFP breakdown shows no growth in government, no growth in manufacturing, and everything coming from private…. Good thing the Fed has gone data dependent, right?
Check out the Data Economic Calendar
Next key event: US jobs report
USD currently trading soft ahead of it despite uptick in US bond yields
See consensus forecast in our Economic Calendar
Next key event is the US jobs report on Friday. Check out the forecasts in our Economic Calendar
Next key event is the US jobs report on Friday. Check out the forecasts in our Economic Calendar
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