[Adam Global]

Following the release of coreCPi the odds for a 25bps rate hike in September surged to 84% according to the CME FedWatch tool, up from nearly 68% prior to the release However, the US dollar failed to sustain its initial bullish impulse

Now the focus shifts to FEDERAL RATES

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: Wild start looks to end day with a whimper

EURUSD unable to shake a focus from 1.1600 after bounce from above its 1.1562 range bottom stalled above 1.16

US500 trading wiinin 7600-7700, with 7680  blocking a return to 7700

XTIUSD Lower on the day bit unable to shake a focus from $100

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: Treeasury Yields Snapshot

Flattening yield curve today as odds favor a Fed rate hike next week

[GVI Forex 2]

CHFJPY WEEKLY: Funding currencies

One look at this chart would strongly sugggest switching from JPY to CHF as a favored funding currency (e.g. for carry trades) is driving the cross lower.

While this has developed into a clear downtrend, it is not technicals driving the flows.

This would also explain divergence today, USDJPY down, USDCHF up.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR: 7 days in a row

Surprises do happen and in this case XAUUSD extended its print of 4400 (just barely) to 7 days in a row. This follows the pause above the 4282 low.

However, to fully negate the downside risk, the 4 hour trendline would need to be broken

.

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOUR: Saves the day

Bounce from a double bottom around 29K saves the day but would have to trade back above 29500 to confirm a break in down momentum.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 4 HOUR: Breakdown negated but still below 7700

Bounce from 7581 and back above 7610 negates the breakdown that would need to move above 7687 (on this CFD chart) to put 7700 in play again.

 

[GVI Forex 2]

U of M Consumer Sentiment big miss (lower) but inflation expectations jump (bad mix)

MIUX)

[Adam Global]

GOLD found support 📈 on 4300.00 hurting sellers back to 4400.00 thats when technical analysis becomes crucial many didn’t see it

[GVI Forex 2]

[MARKET UPDATE] Action seen after US CPI has reversed, with XAU above pre-data levels, USD under pressure while fixed income and equity futures have entirely reversed the move and are extending to the upside (Newsquawk)

EURUSD pivoting .1.16, US500 still below 7700, XAUUSD yet to print 4400

 

[GVI Forex 2]

AUG CPI around consensus (m/m core miss)… knee jerk risk off reactions not following through

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY FIBOS: 160.39 => 152.88

154.65 = 23.6& (also chart resistance)

(Thanks Adam for pointing it out)

[GVI Forex 2]

US AUG CPI OONSENSUS FORECASTS

[Adam Global]

USDJPY refuses to close below the 154.00 handle following Thursday’s rebound over its 20-period SMA, with a double bottom near 152.90 preserving some 📈buying interest. However, a failure to break above the 23.6% Fibonacci around 154.65 signals that bullish control remains elusive.

[Adam Global]

EURGBP has been developing within an upward-sloping📈 channel in the short term, holding above the 20- and 50-day SMAs.

[Adam Global]

Brent is declining 📉towards 107.00 today, after hitting a nearly four- month📈 high at 111.00 yesterday. Notably, it has been on a strongly ascending route since late August, due to renewed Us-Iran tensions.

[Adam Global]

USDX is stabilizing after a bullback from 99.80, finding firm support near 98.80 and attempting another rebound. While the index remains supported by the 200-day SMA, it continues to trade below the long-term ascending trendline, keeping the broader bias cautious and upside attempts subiect to confirmation.

[Adam Global]

Everybody’s waiting for CoreCPI & analyzing the geopolitical situation Xpecially with oil 🛢 in the mix

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 11th September 2026

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

XAGUSD DAILY: On the defensive but…

On the defensive and but so far holding above 62.29 (bottom of the range, low 63.03).

On the upside, back above 64.50 would be needed to put the round number 65.00 back in play

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD 4 HOUR: More defensive waiting for CPI

Broad view:  1.1562=1.1660 range until broken.

Supports: 1.1592-84

Resistance: 1.1614-17-32-42-54

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 1 HOUR: 153-155?

Consolidating within a 153-155 range with 153.28-10 guarding the 152.88 low and 154.61-66 blocking a return to 155.

Only above 155 would raise talk the low might be in and put the market back on intervention  alert.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR: 4300 or 4400?

Break of 6 day pattern around 4400 would be bearish but…

Retest/bounce off 4301 (double bottom) keeps the 4282 low safe for now while..

It would need to take out 4375 to put 4400 and the 6 day pattern in play again.

 

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Market Snapshot

The dollar mixed awaiting today’s key US CPI report where the reaction, especially in US Treasuries, will be mote important than the headline reading.

JPY, AUD and NZD outperforminmg, EUR a modest underperfrormer as it slips back to 1.16.

Ahead of the data crude oil has slipped a touch after yesterday’s surge higher, US bond yields have followed while US stocks are trading higher.

[Mtl JP]

re Speaker ECB’s Lagarde:
after her CB raised its interest rate
“The longer energy prices stay high, the more likely they are to drive up broader inflation through indirect and second-round effects,” – told reporters this morning

now that this public policy einstein is out of the way players gaming focus will be next week’s Fed whether it will or not raise rates

[GVI Forex 2]

 

COMING UP: Data: UK GDP (Jul), US CPI (Aug), US University of Michigan Survey Prelim (Sep).

Events: IEA OMR, CBR Announcement.

Speakers: US President Trump; ECB’s Lagarde, Lane. Supply: Australia. Earnings: Kroger

0Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

US Market Wrap: Stocks and Treasuries sold, while oil surges as Middle East tensions escalate

SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries down, Crude up, Dollar up, Gold down.

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 4 HOUR: Remains on the defensive

Best hope for stocks would be crude oil backing off and/or a US CPI beat (lower) on Friday as a miss or even as per consensus reading would keep pressure on the bond market. Even a beat might see limited follow through given the sharp rise in oil prices this month and the impact on inflation.

Otherwise, US500 stays defensive as long as it trades below 7610-25, stronger bias if it stays below 7610 as there is a big void below it..

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOUR: Clinging to life

Clinging to life above 28872-29000 but downside stays at risk unless 29300-500+ trades.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD vs. BTCUSD

XAUUSD seems set to break a 6-day pivot around 4400 tomorrow (barring a surprise) and dependent on 4300 holding or risk an attack on the 4282 low. Upside limited unless 4375+ trades again.

BTCUSD: Trying to build momentum to the downside after failing to stay above 80K and dependent on 75499 holding (use 75K as well( or face a void below it.

 

[Author]

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