[Mtl JP]

FOMC rate under warsh tomorrow:
Treasury yields fall ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first Fed meeting
…”The central bank is set to maintain its benchmark lending rate of 3.50% to 3.75%, according to implied prices used in the CME’s FedWatch tool, while traders have pulled back on expectations for rate hikes later this year.” – By Sean Conlon, Joseph Wilkins, cnbc

[Mtl JP]

EURO / DOLLAR 1.16
–
econ reports, suits’ yakkings, posi-outlooks in growth fundamentals but oi-vei spreads …

Bottom Line
Bias: languishing
Res 1.1650
Sup 1.1550

until a breakout:
opportunistic trades like shooting at a dumpster rat for fun

[Mtl JP]

WTI was trading in the $72/bbl range in Feb

paper oil pricing going brutal of late:

 

[Adam Global]

The US100’s three-day rally has paused near 30,600. Notably, the index has posted a significant rally after finding support at 28,200 on June 11 buoyed by persisting Al-related enthusiasm.

[ST London]

News algos are having withdrawal from lack of geopolitical headlines

[GVI Forex 2]

Correlations???

USD is so far keeping a bid despite a dip in bond yields

[Adam Global]

AusUSD found support on 0.70500

Still attempting to break 📈 0.71000 after holding cash rates steady today

[Adam Global]

Us30 edging higher 📈 hitting all time high

[Adam Global]

GOLD 💛 gaining momentum for 2nd day but 4355.00 still capping 📉 GOLD down

Could federal rates push GOLD lower ⁉️

[Adam Global]

GBPUSD 📈 still battling 1.3400 as everyone is waiting for CoreCPI tomorrow to see if 1.3500 📈 could hit or back to 1.3300 📉

 

[Adam Global]

Oil 🛢 rejected the $80/🛢 mark as 🇺🇸🆚️🇮🇷 deal faces uncertainty

In the meantime situation in 🇱🇧 continues to flare 💥 now 🇪🇺 are asking D.trump to shift the attention to 🇺🇦 @ the G7 meeting

 

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 16th June 2026

(Right click on any image (or chart) to open a full screen in a new tab)

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 1 HOUR

Keeping its bid while above 4300 but needing a firm break of Monday’s 4369 to build momentum for a run at 4500.

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Market Snapshot

The dollar is trading mixed and not far from unchanged with the EURUSD a modest overperformer (but below yesterday’s 1.1622 high) while USDJPY remains above 160 (unchanged on the day) after shrugging off the BoJ rate hike.

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD getting a lift from ZEW data rising back in positive territory

EU ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Jun) 9.5 vs. Exp. -7.6 (Prev. -9.1)

German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Jun) 10.5 vs. Exp. -6 (Prev. -10.2, Low. -13, High. 0)

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update

Markets in a wait-and-see mood waiting for details on the MOU seeing a modest lift to risk

EURUSD                                      US500                                          XBRUSD

[ST London]

Market barely blinked. UsdJpy last at 160.30

Japan Raises Rates by 25 bps to 31-Year High to Ward Off War Inflation

[GVI Forex 2]

COMING UP: Data: Chinese Unemployment Rate (May), Retail Sales (May), Industrial Production (May), Italian Inflation Final (May), EU/German ZEW (Jun), US ADP Weekly, Import/Export Prices (May), Housing Starts (May), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2)

Events: RBA Policy Announcement, BoJ Policy Announcement.

Speakers: RBA’s Bullock; BoJ’s Uchida; ECB’s Lane.

Supply: UK, Germany, US (Newsquawk)

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Market Wrap – 15th June 2026: Stocks rally and crude plummets as US/Iran agree on MoU

SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries up, Crude down, Dollar down, Gold up

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

What caught my eye

US 10 year bond yield off its low and down only marginally on the day (4.50% remains pivotal)

)

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update

Trading bid above US500 and NAS30K but anything other than a firm break to new record highs would be a disappointment.

US500                                                               NAS100

[GVI Forex 2]

Coming up next; BoJ

BoJ Policy announcemenmt on Tuesday… see detailed preview

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD ABD BTCUSD

Both following the risk on mood: Momentum turning up but…

To extend the moves, xauusd needs a firm move above 4363 (briefly broken), BTCUSD above 68K

XAUUSD                                                          BTCUSD

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update

The FX market continues to lag the risk on mood seen elsewhere where U500 has extended its high above 7500 while crude oil consolidates above lows set earlier.

EURUSD                                         US500                                         XTIUSD

[Adam Global]

The US500 is reclaiming the 20-day SMA, trading near 7,500 attempting to reclaim record high 📈

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOUR

Momentum turning up with just one obstacle, 30589 standing in the way of the record 30776 high.

On the downside, keeps a bid while above 40K, but only back below 29820 would put it back into its old range.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 (SP500) 4 HOUR

Momentum turning up but would need to get through 7571 and 7604 to put the record 7624 back on the table.

On the downside, keeps a bid while above 7500, but only back below 7486 would put it back into its old range.

[GVI Forex 2]

US PRE-MARKET MOVERS: SPCX, NVDA, TRIP, FOXA, ROKU, WBD, PSKY, WDS, RACE, DDOG

ES +1.3%, NQ +2.1%, RTY +1.7%

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun) Miss

US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun) 5.70 vs. Exp. 13.20 (Prev. 19.60)

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD 4 HOUR

Momentum up but would need to take out 1.1646 to make it a game changer.

Below 1.1590 would put it back into its old range.

Intra-day high 1.1622

[Author]

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