[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: XAUUSD vs. BTCUSD

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: All eyes on $100

Brent off its high (101./16) has cooled but not negated the risk oiff mood. Looking ahead, $100 may act as the pivotasl l;evel affecting all global markets.

[ST London]

Lack of fiscal discipline makes US bond market vulnerable to rising oil and an attack by the..

Bond vigilantes, who are large institutional investors who sell off government bonds in protest of fiscal or monetary policies they view as irresponsible or inflationary. This massive sell-off decreases bond prices and drives up yields, forcing the government to pay higher borrowing costs and potentially forcing a return to fiscal discipline.

[Mtl JP]

EURUSD 1.1373-sh will need to close N of 1.1380-ish IF it is to have a chance on regaing some bid

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY DAILY: Unchartered Waters

Extending 40-year high into unchartered waters, making resistance a guess.

If 163.50 becomes support, then 165 comes on the radar.

BoJ can only slow the move, not reverse it at this time.

[GVI Forex 2]

What’s driving risk oiff today?

One picture says a thousand words

[Mtl JP]

my dear …

[Mtl JP]

lagarde, having stuttered couple of times reading her teleprompter,
sounds as if her mind is elsewhere or perhaps worse, does not believe her babble

[GVI Forex 2]

MARKET UPDATE: iNDICES BATTLE FOR PIVOTAL LEVELS

US500 risks breaking a 5 DAY pattern around 7500 and NAS100 a 6 day pattern around 29K if both or either stay below these levels tomorrow.

If these levels stay untouched, it would send a bearish signal but only if confirmed by firm moves below 7420 and/or 28000-200.

[GVI Forex 2]

CB holds rates unchanged as expected. Neutral statement. Some expected a more hawkish one. LaGarge presser next.

<p style=”text-align: center;”>Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days</p>

[Mtl JP]

Thanks goes to Rubio and Prez DJT

rubio said final decision (and therefore thanks) is DJT’s

[Mtl JP]

EURO 1.14
a betting opportunity
– to lose or to make :

feel lucky or confident ?

[GVI Forex 2]

Alert

Preview: ECB monetary policy decision due tody

 

[Adam Global]

ßitcoin 📉 rejected $67K yet again as double top 📈📉📈📉 is found on the daily chart, now everyone is aiming below $65K

[Adam Global]

EURGBP is waiting for 💶 refinancing rates 🇪🇺 since 0.8500📈 is holding more bullish is expected to hit 0.8600

[Adam Global]

Oil 🛢 found 📈 support above $90/🛢 as 🇺🇲🆚️🇮🇷 continues to escalate but now The attention diverting to 🇺🇲☢️🇸🇦 U.S-Saudi nuclear program

[GVI Forex 2]

There was a familiar playbook in response to Alphabet’s earnings beat and capital expenditure boost overnight – its stock fell and chip stocks rose.

The hyperscaler posted more than 80% growth in its key cloud business, beating the Street, but raised its capex estimates yet again – with AI-linked investments this year now set to top $200 billion…. Full story on Reuters US Morning Bid

[GVI Forex 2]

EURGBP 4 HOUR: Tested key resistance

Key resistrance at .8545 tested, held.

To make this more than a bounce off resistance, .8516- .8522 and the 4 hour trendline would need to be broken.

‘

[GVI Forex 2]

GBPUSD 4 hour: What’s driving the GBP bus?

Momentum down but GBPUSD holding above key 1.3342 and 1.3322 supports.

A break of the rendline and 1.3395 would needed to break momentum.

Who’s driving the HBP bus?

EURGBP is drivng.

Offsets from EURGBP selling helped drive GBPUSD to the 1.3558 high

Offsets from a bounce in EURUSD has been a factor in the GBPUSD retreat.

Note, EURGBP has come off its earlier high, easing selling pressure on GBPUSD and removing a source of EURUSD demand.

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 23rd July 2026

• US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran was intending to double missile stockpile and that it looks like Iran is not ready to make a deal. He added that the price on Iran will get higher every night until they come to their senses but that Iran is begging to reach a deal.
• Yemeni Houthis targeted two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, while reports noted that at least 9 ships have stopped passing through Bab al-Mandeb, following the blockade on Saudi ports by Houthis.
  US equity futures are softer across the board as Alphabet raises AI Capex guidance and STMicroelectronics misses Q3 revenue guidance estimates.
  DXY rangebound, AUD outperforms after a strong jobs report.
• Fixed income lower but off worst levels as energy prices continue to drive price action (Brent +4.5%).\
• Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/18), Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Jul). Policy Announcements from the ECB, CBRT, and SARB. Comments from ECB President Lagarde. Supply from the US. Earnings from Intel, Blackstone, Lockheed Martin & SAP.

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

This headline sumns up the geopolitical cnflict fallout: A new front is opening in the Iran war. Oil faces “no way out.”

Oil up, stocks defensive (USD500 below 7500), dollar trades mixed.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 4 HOUR: XAUYUSD wakes up

After ignoring higher US yields, XAUUSD has woken up today.

This follows the pause below 4180 and move below 4106 (see chart), which breaks the momentum for the last leg up.

However, to break the back of the rebound off the 3942 low and shift the focus back to 4000, the 4 hour trendline and 4044 would need to be broken

[GVI Forex 2]

Forex Market Snapshot: Calm before the next storm?

While Middle East hostilities expand, oil continues to rise and US yields follow, the dollar has stayed on the sidelines, trading another lackluster session overnight.>

USDJPY has cautiously extended its 40-year high with fear of triggering a Bo J attack retraining the move.

EURUSD yet to shake a focus from 1.14 after running stops on the upside overnight, which has raised questions whether it is trading bid in n offered market or vice versa.

AUDUSD has extended its pivot around ..7000 for the7th day in a row. Range over this time has been .6965-.7027

Underperformers: NZD, JPY

[Mtl JP]

Reuters
–
“BOJ to raise rates again by December as weak yen revives inflation risks: Reuters poll”
“BOJ on alert to price risks that may lead to faster rate hikes, sources say”
“Japan ready to take decisive currency action”
“Japan bond jitters overshadow Takaichi’s first economic policy roadmap”

hehehe:
“JPMorgan, other US banks set to help finance Japan’s $550 billion US investment plan”
naturally. for a fee. naturally.

[Mtl JP]

ST … want a chuckle ?
about plans

‘I couldn’t breathe’: South Korea’s frenzied stock trading exposes margin loan risks

– Lee Seung-ho built a trading windfall using a 500% margin loan
– Turned 20 million won of savings into a 15-fold gain before the loss
– Lee says he plans to re-enter once he rebuilds capital
– Easy borrowing reflects South Korea’s high-risk retail trading culture
– Deeply-leveraged retail investing alarms regulators

SEOUL, July 20 (Reuters) – Lee Seung-ho watched the nearly 300 million won ($202,515) stock trading fortune he built with ‌a 500% margin loan evaporate in just four weeks in May, but he plans to borrow again and return to the market the moment he has enough capital. ../.

[ST London]

More losers than winners when this happens

Global Oil Price Nears $100 a Barrel as Conflict With Iran Deepens

[Mtl JP]

Reuters sherlocks:
“Dollar hits fresh 40-year high versus yen, edges down against euro”

well at least they are not using verbs and adjectives in past-tense

[Mtl JP]

tat ?

prices do not usually move thusly unless most got something wrong

[Mtl JP]

tit
“U.S. deploys B-1 bomber as attacks on Iran intensify” – axios

[GVI Forex 2]

[MARKET UPDATE] Asia-Pac stocks begin on the front foot as the region shrugs off the lacklustre lead from Wall St and the widening geopolitical escalation in the Middle East… Newsquawk

US stocks follow:

US500 prints 7500 for 5th day in a row

NAS100 prints 29K for 6th day in a row

[Author]

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