[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Open

NQ down 5% & NVDA -11% pre-mkt as Chinese startup DeepSeek threatens US AI dominance

Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 6 things you need to know for today’s market.

6 Things You Need to Know

Risk sentiment hit by DeepSeek threatening US AI dominance, NQ -4.8% & ES -2.7%; NVDA -13.5% in premarket trade

European bourses are also mostly in the red, Tech lags with ASML -10.6% while Energy names are hit on this and numerous other factors

Additionally, disappointing Chinese PMI data overnight, Trump’s tariff announcement on Colombia and reports around MXN & CAD also weigh on the risk tone.

DXY is at session lows with 107.00 coming into view, havens lead with USD/JPY probing 154.00 to the downside.

Fixed benchmarks benefit from the above and partially on better-than-expected German Ifo; Central Banks coming into focus

Crude is now modestly in the green, as the USD provides support and offsets initial bearish action on the above and Saudi/US discussing lower prices; Metals lower across the board

Try Newsquawk for 7 Days Free

[Taiwo SAGAMU]

Buying gold using trendline.

[Belgrade Bobby]

XAUUSD – Gold 15 min

[Taiwo SAGAMU]

Buying gold using trend line

[Topnine]

USD/JPY IS ON A DESCENDING TREND AND IS CURRENTLY AT PRICE 153.8, I FORESEE A FURTHER DESCEND BECAUSE OF THE LAST 15 MINUTE CANDLE WHICH IS A SELL CANDLE AND A CONTINUATION PATTERN ON PRICE ACTION…I INTEND EXITING THE MARKET AT PRICE 153.6 WHICH IS A GOOD PLACE TO EXIT WITH A FEW PIPS IN PROFITS . THANKS

[Belgrade Bobby]

Parabolic SAR – on the first glance : It has a lot of sense when combined with some postulates of my own ! I’ll need to watch it for some time , but so far it is very promissing

[GVI Forex 2]

It’s not too late to signup

Global-view.com Giveaway – Round 3 – 27. January – 3. February 2025

Dear Members, (and those who wish to participate) we are happy to announce that the Third Round of our Weekly Evaluations is STARTING at Monday– 27.01.2025.

Grand Prize is a Prop Trading Challenge Account – $ 15.000

Second Prize is a Prop Trading Challenge Account – $ 10.000

Global-view.com Giveaway – Round 3 – 27. January – 3. February 2025

[Belgrade Bobby]

My 15 min chart with Parabolic SAR

Looks sexy 😀 I am going to watch it for awhile…

[Alex Lugano]

Orders and hedges offer clues for the EUR/USD outlook

EUR/USD has staged a decent recovery from 2-year lows at 1.0177 on Jan 13. Customer orders and price action in forward looking FX option markets might now offer clues about subsequent EUR/USD expectations.

EUR/USD’s recovery from 1.0177 peaked at 1.0523 on Friday and subsequent setbacks have met demand in the mid 1.04’s. Dealers say there are now more dip buyers, while others prefer to keep their powder dry to sell the USD if it comes under renewed pressure.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART – Condolidating

Range is clear at 2735-86… consolidating but supported while the lower end holds…only below 2725-35 would suggest the high is in for now…

 

[Alex Lugano]

Europe’s technology sector led the pan-European STOXX 600 index  SXXP lower, down 0.7%, while the blue-chip Euro STOXX 50  STOXX50 dropped 1.4% in early European trading.

The STOXX Europe 600 technology index (.SX8P) fell as much as 4.6%, its biggest one-day drop since mid-October.

Futures on the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite  NQ1! in the U.S. tumbled over 3.1% and S&P 500 futures  ES1! sank 2%.

[Belgrade Bobby]

EURUSD Daily

Bit of a correction on last night’s view:

As it opened with a sizeable gap ( over 30 pips )  – target for today is in 1.05450 area.

[GVI Forex 2]

GER30 4 HOUR CHART – Nothing goes up forever

Small gap opening (21332-40)… 21113 break would expose risk to 20850, which needs to hold to contain the retracement.

 

[Adam Global]

Yes it is

.I use it as support & resistance on 1H or H4

[Adam Global]

USDJPY is on a backfoot following trump inauguration week of USD 📉 last week

Will jpy 🇯🇵 keep gaining till 153.000- 150.000

Or will the USD be back this week following federal rates on Wednesday & put JPY above 155.000

[Belgrade Bobby]

Adam if I may ask you – Is that a parabolic SAR on your charts and if so , how do you use it : just as a supporting Indicator or as a Signal trigger ?

I played with it million times but never really used it..still , it looks great on charts.

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY DAILY CHART –NEW 2025 LOW

Risk off => lower US bond yields => Lower USDJPY

New 2025 low… trendline broken…next key support 153.15

On the upside, back above the broken trendline and 154.75 would be needed to ease3ge risk

For today, watch US stocks, bonds to see if correlation continues.

[GVI Forex 2]

Using my platform as a HEATMAP

While the first trade war has been averted, it is a risk off start to the week

Stocks off sharply => bond yields down shar[;y =: JPY (and CHF) outperforming… Catalyst: Popularity of China’s discount AI, DeepSeek, which has hit the high valuation AI stocka

BTCUSD smashed  lower as well.

[Adam Global]

For Australia everyone is waiting for Wednesday 02:30 am for CPi hopefully more bullish 📈 might be there & back to the 0.65000 or more 📉 bearish & drop below 0.62500

[Adam Global]

Eur is back to the 1.05 point

Already tested last week

Lets see if it might break that point 📈

[Adam Global]

GBP is back to the 1.25000 point
Is it going to resist again or will it go back to the 1.26000
Daily chart is flashing bullish signals 📈
Weekly chart still bearish 📉

[Adam Global]

gold  is back in the 2755.00 quarterpoint zone
More traders are waiting for the 17h00 economic data
And federalrates on Wednesday or Thursday

[Adam Global]

All bitcoin take profits are hit 100 000.00 & 97550.00

[Adam Global]

[Topnine]

Gold went long at 2746 this morning at about 8:15 am and i saw a recersal at 2758 and i entered a sell. Market is about to make a turn around from 2758 to further below 2745. This is because of the identical candle formation at the  30” chart. I see a sell.

[GVI Forex 2]

US opening (gao) lower…

Trump issuing ‘emergency 25% tariffs’ against Colombia after country turned back deportation flights

Hours after Trump’s announcement, Colombian President Gustavo Petro said he ordered the commerce ministry to raise tariffs on US imports by 25%.

[GVI Forex 2]

IS stocks opening lower…

Trump issuing ‘emergency 25% tariffs’ against Colombia after country turned back deportation flights

Hours after Trump’s announcement, Colombian President Gustavo Petro said he ordered the commerce ministry to raise tariffs on US imports by 25%.

[GVI Forex 2]

THIS WEEK’S MARKET-MOVING EVENTS (all days local)

The upcoming week features a mix of global economic data releases, with China kicking off Monday with its CFLP composite PMI showing flat manufacturing activity at 50.1 and a slight dip in services PMI to 52.1. Germany’s Ifo survey for January is projected to remain weak, with minimal changes in business climate and expectations compared to December. In the U.S., December’s new home sales are expected to show growth, despite 30-year mortgage rates exceeding 7%. Tuesday highlights include U.S. durable goods orders, forecasted to rise 0.8%, and consumer confidence, anticipated to rebound to 106.3 in January after a decline in December.

Midweek, the Bank of Canada is expected to slow its pace of monetary easing with a 25-basis-point rate cut, while the Federal Reserve is anticipated to hold rates steady amid strong economic conditions and persistent inflation. Thursday sees Japan’s inflation inching higher, while unemployment remains stable at 2.5%, reflecting labor shortages. Japan’s industrial production is forecast to rebound slightly, and retail sales are expected to show moderate growth. Meanwhile, Eurozone GDP for Q4 is projected to rise modestly by 0.2% on the quarter, with France stagnating, Germany contracting, and Italy posting a modest gain. The European Central Bank is likely to announce a 25-basis-point rate cut.

Friday wraps up with inflation data from France and Germany, with France’s CPI forecasted to rise to 1.5% annually and Germany’s to remain steady at 2.6%. Canada’s November GDP is expected to shrink by 0.1%, reflecting declines in key sectors like retail, wholesale trade, and manufacturing. The week’s data points underscore the mixed recovery across global economies, with inflation, labor conditions, and central bank policies taking center stage.

 

 

Econoday

[GVI Forex 2]

In our blog

Here is a question? Why has the EURUSD recovered and DAX at record levels given the risk of Trump tariffs. prospect of lower interest rates, an underperforming German economy and political uncertainty in Germany (and France)?

Is the Trump Effect Impacting the EURUSD and the DAX?

[Idris Sagamu]

usd /jpy

my view

[Author]

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