[GVI Forex 2]

CME FedWatch: 64/36 odds for no change in rates at the Sept 16 FOMC

[Adam Global]

Kevin warsh is scheduled to make a speech at the JACKSON HOLE SYMPOSIUM

Everybody’s expecting some volatility to the market

[GVI Forex 2]

A very timely article in our blog ahead of Warsh speech

How Market Expectations and Economic News Move Markets

[GVI Forex 2]

USDJPY 4 HOUR: 160 looms awaiting Warsh speech

Trend: Long term still down        Momentum: UP

While 160 will likely be the focus on the upside, currently protected by 159.78, key levels lie above it at 160.64 (61.8%) and 160.88. On the downside, use the trendline and 159.10-25 as supports.

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 4 HOUR: Consolidating ahead of Warsh speech

Trend: UP      Momentum: Consolidating

So far unable to shake a focus from 4600 as it trades in a 4565-4617 range, one that is too tight to last too long. On the upside, a move back above 4643 would be needed to break down momentum.’ On the downside, look for 4650-65 to be the obstacle to 4500-20.

[GVI Forex 2]

In our blog

How Economic News Affects Stocks, Bonds, Commodities, Crypto and Forex

 

[GVI Forex 2]

COMING UP: Data: Japanese Tokyo CPI (Aug), Unemployment Rate (Jul), French/Spanish Prelim CPI (Aug), German Unemployment Rate (Aug), Canadian GDP (Jul), US Non-Farm Payrolls Annual Revision Prelim.

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk US Market Wrap – NVDA earnings leads tech higher as US/Iran tensions ramp up

SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries down, Crude up, Dollar flat, Gold up.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 4 HOUR: One hurdle remains

Trend: Up    Momentum: Short-term Up

Pause below 7747 (high 7742) keeps a fresh run at 7800 off the radar and leaves it dependent on 7690-00 holding to keep a bid and the current momentum pointed up.

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOUR: 30K pm the radar?

Trend: Turning up?    Momentum: Short-term Up

To put 30K on the radar and confirm a fresh uptrend, 20600=67- (currently being tested) needs to be firmly taken out . Keeps its bid while above 29337.

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: Crude oil

Crude oil  seemed to get a lift frem this headline (Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days)_

XTIUSD 4 HOUR:Boouce off support

 />

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: What do EURUSD and XAUUSD have in common?

Both retracing with limited follow through so far

Neiher able to shake a focus from pivotal levels: 1.1550 anbd 4600, that will dictate whether bulls will be able or not retake control.

[GVI Forex 2]

BTCUSD WEEKLY: 80K pivotal

Trend Up      Momentum: Trying to revive up

Testing 80k+ again after retracement did not come close to breaking the uptrend. Recent high at 81252 still intact and break is needed to avoid a lower high. Key resistance remains at 82711, above which would open a big void on the upside. To state the obvious, 80K is clearly pivotal in setting its trading tone.

[GVI Forex 2]

NAS100 (NASDAQ) 4 HOUR: 30K not yet back on the radar?

Trend: Looking to confirm an up      Momentum: Down broken

NAS100 building off higher lows (red lines) pointed out this week but has to take out 29600-670 on this (CFD) chart to put bulls in control and 30K back on the map.

Keeps a bid while above 29344.

[GVI Forex 2]

US500 4 HOUR:  7700 now pivotal

Trend: Long term up      Momentum: Down broken

US500 building on the higher lows (red lines) pointed out this week by breaking 7700. This has broken down momentum but to shift it the other way, 7728 and 7747 (on this CFD chart) would need to be taken out.. In the meantime, needs 7700 to hold to keep its bid with fallback support at 7690.

[GVI Forex 2]

AUDUSD DAILY: Key resistance

AUDUSD has been an outperformer and as this chart shows, now faces a key resistance at .7200 with a major level at .7277 above it.

Supports: .7175 (key level on 1 hour), .7165

[Mtl JP]

A scream for transparency

Economists want Warsh to share more on his view of the economy at Jackson Hole, says CNBC survey – By Steve Liesman

Eighty percent of CNBC Fed Survey respondents say the Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh should provide more insight into his economic views.

*****
Theme: “Figures don’t lie, but liars figure” – Mark Twain

[Mtl JP]

where next puppy ?

who wants to hold USDs ?

[Mtl JP]

Don’t miss the forest for the trees. Feel the earth move ?

Think Treasurys Are Having a Rough Summer? It’s Even Uglier Abroad
Countries with large debt burdens—France, Italy, the U.K., Japan—have come under the heaviest pressure in recent months
By Chelsey Dulaney, Aug. 27, 2026 in WSJ

[Adam Global]

EURUSD is stabilizing near 1.1650, with the recovery from more-than- one-year lows repeatedly encountering strong📉 resistance around the psychologically important 1.1700 level. As a result, near-term positive momentum has started to ease but the pair is still in a medium-term bullish phase.

[Adam Global]

Gold faces immediate resistance 📉around 4.630 where the 20- day SMA has flatlined and is blocking advances. Although the recovery from the pullback from Tuesday’s high of 4,969.53 has faltered, the price remains comfortably above the short-to- medium-term ascending 📈trendline.

[Adam Global]

USDJPY consolidation continues, steadily reclaiming📈 lost ground from the recent US bond intervention. Although weak positive momentum holds a footing near 159.00, the 20-day EMA and the nearby resistance at 159.50 continue to cap upside pressure, suggesting 📉downside risk persists.

[Adam Global]

EURGBP is edging up📈 for a second day, climbing back above its 20- and 50-day SMAs and the short-term ascending trendline. However, severa hurdles await to the upside.

[Adam Global]

Nvidia is aiming higher 📈 as yesterday’s earnings release beat expectations now everyone is aiming higher above 225.00

[Adam Global]

Nvidia shares rise by 0.7% rising tech stocks all over & keeping hopes of AI alive & investment are pouring 🫗 in

[GVI Forex 2]

Market Update: Risk on but…

Oown momentum broken by opening day gaps (since filled) but so far with limited follow through ahead of the opening of cash trading as bulls look to regain control

[GVI Forex 2]

Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 27th August 2026

Source: Try Newsquawk free for 7 days

[GVI Forex 2]

EURUSD 4 HOUR: Why 1.1650 remains pivotal

1.1650 = midpoint of two key round numbers. 1.15 and 1.18.

If 1.1650 becomes so;id support, then 1.18 becomes a target

If 1.1650 fails to become support and becomes resistance, then range goes back to 1.15-1.16

1.1642 currently being tested (low so far 1.1649)

[GVI Forex 2]

XAUUSD (GOLD) 4 HOUR: Still on the defensive

Trend: UP      Momentum: Short-term down

On the defensive but so far trading above yesterday’s 4583 low, which needs to hold to turn this into consolidation rather than a further retracement. In this regard, no key levels to note within 4500-4600 other than 4583 and 4519 (23.6%). Resistance starts at 4643.

[GVI Forex 2]

Fprex Market Snapshot

Let’s hope this is the calm before the next storm as the forex market has tradad tight ranges overnight with EURUSD (focused on 1.1650) and USDJPY trading unchanged at this time while GBP is a slight underperformer and AUD an outperformer for the second day.

[Author]

Posts