Today’s Market Minute
Oil prices fell early on Wednesday after the Iraqi government and Kurdish authorities reached a deal to resume oil exports via Turkey’s Ceyhan port. And with the Strait of Hormuz still effectively blocked, Gulf exporters are shifting flows to pipelines that bypass the strait.
Fed officials are expected to hold interest rates steady on Wednesday, and to outline how they feel the conflict with Iran has recast the U.S. economic outlook.
Nvidia has won Beijing’s approval to sell its second-most powerful artificial intelligence chips to China and is also preparing a version of the Groq AI chip that can be sold to the Chinese market, sources familiar with the matter said.
China’s quiet economic renaissance has gone largely unnoticed amid the Iran war, but it could strengthen Xi’s hand significantly when he meets Trump, argues ROI Markets Columnist Jamie McGeever.
As the Iran crisis drags on, check out ROI Global Energy Transition Columnist Gavin Maguire’s in-depth analysis of where Europe, the U.S. and China sit in terms of energy security. Unsurprisingly, the U.S. comes out on top. (Reuters)
Newsquawk Daily US Opening News – 18th March 2026
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XTIUSD (WTIUSD) UPDATE
XTIUUSD 1 HOUR CHART

XAUUSD (GOLD) UPDATE
Battle for 5000 continues
XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHART

Forex Market Snapshot

NZDUSD (1HR)
The kiwi dollar remained under pressure, trading around 0.5856 against the US dollar, though it managed to stay above the recent low near 0.5775. Weakness in the kiwi was partly driven by cross-selling against the Australian dollar, which pushed to a fresh 13-year high against NZD
Currently, the pair is testing a short-term resistance area around 0.5860–0.5880, where momentum have started to slowdown. Stronger resistances is seen around 0.5900

AUDUSD (1HR)
The Australian dollar remains firm, supported by persistently high domestic inflation and the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a cautious, hawkish stance. The central bank has raised interest rates for a second consecutive month, pushing them to a 10-month high. This move reverses two of the three rate cuts made last year, with policymakers warning that inflation risks are increasingly skewed to the upside.
AUDUSD gained 0.41% to 0.71005 against the US dollar, extending its recent intra day gains. The pair is dancing around this short term ascending structure. Immediate resistances is seen around 0.7120–0.7150, followed by the recent high of 0.7200. Support lies near 0.7070–0.7050 where the EMA is, and stronger support around 0.7000 from the 4hr trend line.

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Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks and bonds gain as eyes look to Fed
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US500 (SP500) UPDATE
US500 4 HOUR CHART

ETHUSD (4HR)
Ethereum has now finally broken through the $2,150 resistance level after spending two months capped below this zone. Etheruem is starting to form higher lows, which could signal a shift in structure, building a bullish momentum into a higher move
Similar to last month’s setup, holding above $2,150 would support continued upside, with the level now acting as support. The focus now is whether Ethereum can maintain this breakout and sustain momentum higher.

March 17 Pre-Market Earnings Release Stocks
(ATAT) Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd reported adjusted earnings of CNY 1.15 per share for the quarter ended December 31, down from CNY 2.38 a year earlier. Despite the decline, the company achieved strong 2025 growth, with managed hotel revenues rising 28% and retail revenues increasing 67% year over year.
(TME) Tencent Music Entertainment Group reported adjusted earnings of 80 fen per share for the quarter ended December 31, up from 73 fen a year earlier.
(PSQH) PSQ Holdings, Inc. Net revenue rose 81% year over year to $18.2M, driven by fintech expansion and cost discipline. The company’s focus on fintech and AI, along with divesting non-core assets, aims to boost profitability and revenue per employee in 2026, following strong 2025 revenue growth and improved losses.

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