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US MARKET WRAP: Stocks and yields gain ahead of key risk week
SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries down, Crude up, Dollar flat, Gold up
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Market Update: Summer Friday trading
What caught my eye is EURUSD testing both sides of its range, running into sellers on top and buyers at the bottom rather than typical stops.
With US yields moving up, downside should be more at risk but only if there are stops to run.
If not, then it will be a dull end to a summer Friday.
Same for US stocks while above earlier lows.
Forex Market Snapshot
The dollar seems set to end the week on the defensive as it trades lower ahead of the US open. US bond yields have steadied and stocks are up but talk the U.S. fiscal position, with the total deficit surpassing $40 trillion grabbing headlines and rising, is acting as a weight on the dollar.
- AUD and NZD outperforming,
- USDJPY is weaker after completing a 61.8% retracement (159.11) but is still above 158
- GBPUSD has extended its high, marginally so far, through a 1.3658 target
- EURUSD retested its 1.1710 high, holding so far
- USDCAD extended its low but so far holding above 1.3730 support
US MARKET WRAP: Stocks slide and yields reverse higher
SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries down, Crude up, Dollar flat/up, Gold flat
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US MARKET WRAP: Treasuries and stocks rise, dollar weakens as US Treasury doubles buybacks of long-term bonds
SNAPSHOT: Equities mixed, Treasuries up, Crude up, Dollar down, Gold up.
US bond yields dip… ripple effects elswewhere (USD dips, stocks blip)
US Treasury is increasing the size of nominal long-end; by at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations for longer-dated nominal coupon securities, from the current USD 2bln to at least USD 4bln. As of September 9th.
“Treasury will provide more information about future buyback sizes at the next Quarterly Refunding, scheduled for November 4, 2026.”
“This increase in buyback operation sizes reflects Treasury’s desire to provide greater liquidity support in longer-dated nominal sectors where there is consistent strong sponsorship from market participants, as evidenced by the significant volume of high-quality offers Treasury routinely receives in longer-dated buyback operations.”
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Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks sold as tech weakness drags Nasdaq lower
SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries flatten, Crude up, Dollar up, Gold down
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Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks sold as tech weakness drags Nasdaq lower
SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries flatten, Crude up, Dollar up, Gold down
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US MARKET WRAP: Stocks slip as yields track oil move higher on US-Iran stalemate
SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries down, Crude up, Dollar down, Gold up
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US MARKET WRAP: Stocks gain on bullish tech earnings while CPI prints in line
SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries steepen, Crude flat, Dollar up, Gold up
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US MARKET WRAP: Stocks chop ahead of CPI; oil gains on lack of US-Iran progress
SNAPSHOT: Equities mixed, Treasuries up, Crude up, Dollar flat, Gold down
Oil dips, yields dip, stocks blip, USD dips, GOLD blips on this headline as markets hang on to any glimmer of hope but a skeptic says seeing is believing.
Market Update: OIl up, no big ripple effects
USDCAD back below 1.3950 (holding above 1.3925, next target still 1.3900) as it follows firmer crude oil. Forex trading mixed despite higher bond yields, JPY remains the underperformer, firmer GBP outperforms, EURUSD unable to shake a focus from 1.1550
US stocks on sidelines holding a bid but consolidating.
Caught my eye: Oil in U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve falls below 300 million barrels, lowest since 1983
World’s biggest chipmaker TSMC’s sales surge 45% amid buoyant AI demand
- TSMC reported revenue for July of 467.58 billion new Taiwan dollars ($14.5 billion), up 44.7% year-on-year.
- The group makes chips for Big Tech customers like Nvidia and Google, so the firm’s financial figures are closely watched as a sign of AI semiconductor demand.
- European semiconductor stocks rose on Monday, with ASML up more than 2%, and Infineon and STMicro also trading higher.(CNBC)
Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks gain as weak NFP sees traders pare Fed rate hike bets
SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries up, Crude lower, Dollar down, Gold up
Mid-day U.S. Market Update
Heading into the weekend traders likely to end it on a cautious note with firmer crude oil indicating geopolitical risk vs. weaker US data, the latter not enough to see follow through on the initial dip in yields (wider yield curve)
For FX traders, 1.1550 so far keeping a bid but needing 1.1560+ to encourage higher.
As indicated earlier, stocks consolidating but maintaining a bid while above 7700 (and NAS above 29K).
Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks slide and oil climbs as US/Iran optimism fades
SNAPSHOT: Equities down, Treasuries down, Crude up, Dollar up, Gold flat
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US500 (SP500) 4 HOUR: Range time?
While calling for a top in US stocks has eventually turned out to be a losing bet, the one way move in US500, at a minimum, argues for a pause, at least as long as 7800 caps the upside. If this proves to be the case, then charts show a 7600-7800 range where 7700 could be pivotal in setting the trading tone. Moves on the dsownsisde should be treated as retracements, at least as long as the trendline holds.
Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks mixed and oil chops to reports around Hormuz deal
SNAPSHOT: Equities mixed, Treasuries flat, Crude flat, Dollar down, Gold up
Forex Market Snapshot
The forex market has taken a back seat to the surge in stocks, sharp drop in crude oil (although off its lows), lower bond yields and today’s spike higher in gold. This has seen the dollar trade mixed and so far in tight ranges )(NZD the underperformer)..
Worth noting is USDJPY consolidating and trying to hold a bid in the absence of BoJ intervention but remains just below 157.98 (200 day mva)
Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks rally on AI comeback while crude tumbles on US/Iran optimism
SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries up, Crude down, Dollar down, Gold up
Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Stocks rally and oil falls as Trump cancels planned strikes
SNAPSHOT: Equities up, Treasuries up, Crude down, Dollar up, Gold up
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US ISM PMI Beat (US stocks were already spiking higher before data)
