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Abbey Cohen, Columbia University Business School. The school with the riot supporters and anarchists.
She is on Bloomberg telling everyone Trump is going to de-fund science programs. Columbia is a complete liberal staffed which claimed Trump is Hitler and the economy is red hot. Elon Musk of Space X is on Trumps staff. The economy is far from red hot.
The insanity continues.
Meanwhile it appears stocks and the Dollar are settling into what they more often what they do, which is move opposite to each other. Yesterday was just a 100% display of risk on enthusiasm across the board.
Things may slowly return to normal looking forward.
USD is trading lower
Logic says and easy to say with hindsight
Trading on what Trump might do (e.g. tariffs) when he doesn’t take office for another 2 months and has yet to choose a cabinet is a bit of a stretch so a retracement should not be a surprise.
Scroll below for updates with some FIBO levels in EURUSD and USDJPY.
NEWSQUAWK US OPEN
Bunds under pressure following German coalition collapse; FOMC & BoE due
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4 things you need to know for today’s market.
4 Things You Need to Know
European bourses are modestly firmer across the board, with US futures also slightly higher, but ultimately taking a breather following the significant strength in the prior session.
Dollar is giving back recent gains, Antipodeans outperform attempting to claw back post-election losses amid resilience in China.
USTs are a touch firmer awaiting today’s FOMC meeting, Bunds are the clear underperformer after the German coalition collapses.
Crude is modestly weaker, paring back some of gains seen in the prior session; XAU benefits from the softer Dollar and base metals gain amid positive price action in China overnight.
USDJPY 1 HOUR CHART – MODEST RETRACEMENT
As noted last night, Key target cited here many times is back on the table at 155.20… this is a level the BoJ should not want to see trade.
Whether a hidden hand or some verbal intervention, USDJPY has backed away from 155 but as the table below shows, it is still just a modest retracement, To suggest more than this, 153.40 would need to be taken out.
FIBOS 151.28 – 154.71
EURUSD 1 HOUR CHART – RETRACING
What caught my eye is the 1.0781 resistance a it coincides with a 38.2% retracement, which blocks the 1.0794 level.
Expect a limited upside unless 1.0800-10 is regained.
Given the straight line move down, use FIBOS as potential levels of resistance.
FIBOS 1.0937-1.0682
Is There a Chance the Fed Will Not Cut Interest Rates?
Attention will now shift to Thursday’s FOMC decision where a 25bps rate cut is widely expected. So, the surprise would be no change by the Fed, which cannot be ruled out following the resounding win by President-elect Trump.
USDJPY DAILY CHART – 155 LOOMS
Even without the US elections, higher US yield = firmer USDJPY
Key target cited here many times is back on the table at 155.20… this is a level the BoJ should not want to see trade.
Otherwise, as the chart shows, there is a void on the upside above 155.20
Expect support on dips, especially if it trades above the former high at 153.86.
BTC DAILY CHART – NEW RECORD HIGH
With a new record high set just above 75K, look for this level to now become pivotal. To suggest a further move into unchartered territory, 75K would need to become support.
Look for support on dips as long as it trades above 70K, stronger bid while above the former 73636 high..
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Forex Forum & Blog
Forex Forum & Blog is the place where traders can exchange their Ideas, give Trading Tips and Discuss their Trading Ideas.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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