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Ok Monedge is back in GVI. We love Global View and hope you all have a great trading day. What worked for us last night was a sell stop in Usd/Jpy. Pretty dicey but our model simply said place it, sometimes you have to trust your model. The pair will obviously rebound but we do not feel like going long at this point, even though it is considerably sold. Jay has told everyone for decades to be careful about catching a falling knife. That could apply here.
As I said before – Data’s and FOMC tonight – perfect reasons for the market to have it it’s way….
While waiting for the Fed’s decision, go play a bit with some gadgets like Economic Calendar
If you click on any data , you’ll get a little chart , showing the past performance. An interesting add on 😀
Nick Timiraos in WSJ
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Where Are Interest Rates Headed? What to Expect From the Fed Meeting
Officials are set to leave rates unchanged, shifting attention to what clues are offered about potential cuts
essentially same hymn as Jeff
fwiw
jeff Cox
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A change to this one clause could be the most important part of the Fed meeting – cnbc
– The Fed wraps up its meeting Wednesday, and all eyes are likely to gravitate to one small piece of wording that could unlock the future of monetary policy.
– A phrase that has signaled the Fed’s willingness to approve “additional policy firming” has underlined its willingness to keep raising interest rates.
– Most of the public statements that officials have delivered in recent days point away from a hurry to cut. Markets, however, expect aggressive easing this year
EURUSD
The pair went through support at 1.08250, but failed to cash in on that break…it was taken in 1.08050 area on Europe entry.
Supports right now at – 1.08200 and 1.08100
Resistances at – 1.08350 , 1.08550 and 1.08700
Intraday view : It should go lower from here, but the problem is todays data’s and FOMC – Placing bets in a day like this might cost you a whole margin.
So follow one of the Major Rules of Forex trading : Live to trade another day !
Re Fed push back… There’s some discussion on the unexpected reduction in the QRA. Some see it as a way for the Treasury to limit the Fed’s impact of QT. So- Fed could either come in and “endorse” that line with a doveish outlook, OR push back and come in hawkish… Wouldn’t THAT be interesting to see a little behind the scenes conflict between the Fed and the Treasury… Betting windows are OPEN.
oy vey
I am pretty sure that trading under emotion is not a good tactic
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Fahmi Quadir, short seller nicknamed ‘The Assassin,’ takes aim at for-profit college giant Adtalem – cnbc
“It makes me mad, and I feel that everyone should be angry that our money is being abusefd in such a careless, careless kind of way,” Quadir said.” “And what do the executives of these for-profit universities do? Well, they pay themselves very well, and they also buy back plenty of their stock.”
maybe .. I ll be wrong this time
ECB’s Nagel (hawk) says Germany’s economic outlook is not great. Inflation is absolutely moving in the right direction.
Source: Newsquawk.com
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Forex Forum & Blog
Forex Forum & Blog is the place where traders can exchange their Ideas, give Trading Tips and Discuss their Trading Ideas.
Forex Forum & Blog
What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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