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Yen
San Francisco Monedge 16:35 GMT 11/29/2023
Eur/Jpy and Usd/Jpy are remaining short to this point after entering the session bid. Our algorithm model employs a series of primarily momentum driven factors and ultimately spits out a number. Currently the number is 42%, which is solidly selling after peaking around 70%.
Eventually we should see buying as it nears lower percentages. We prefer momentum vs level picking, which is also important of course. So far today the cycles have been very predictive.
Bottom line stay short for now until a bit later.
EURUSD
Bobby 14:23 GMT 11/30/2023
After a month of a strong rally , eurusd need some correction . There are two options :
– It holds above 1.09000 and tries Up again early in the new month – most important resistance right now is at 1.09400
That scenario might end up in failed test of the previous high , and than we would be moving within the zone 1.08000 and 1.09000 . Break of 1.08000 would lead to the test of Major trendline at 1.06000.
– Second scenario would be better for the Bulls, as a decent correction all the way to 1.08500 in next two days would give it a chance to renew the strength and go for the new highs…
All in all, on the monthly chart, it has a potential for Up, and so far we don’t have a single sign that it might abruptly stop right now…but stranger things used to happen 🙂
EURUSD Year’s end
Bobby 20:48 GMT 12/29/2023 – My Profile
Resistance downtrend line at 1.14950 ( dating back to 2008 )
Support line at 1.07300
Lines that you see are “historical ” – I draw them decades ago….just cloning them as time pisses by 🙂
These are the real angles that control EURUSD movements .
We didn’t make them….we are just maintaining them…
Taking into account another historical fact brought to you by Jay – [Trader Alert] Beware of False Starts in the New Year, and some more fundamental facts regarding the health of The Union ( this time European one ) , one can conclude that we should be watching EURUSD grabbing for the Resistance line in first few weeks of the New Year….Ideal development would be to reach 1.14950 and then turn South for another decade at least 🙂 but….it might just stay short of it and do the same…Or, in some diabolic world development, break the resistance and become Bullish…
Now, if the first possibility comes through, we are looking for target at 0.75500 – that is my favourite 😃
Less possible outcome, break above the downtrend line would open the road for about 1.72000….
Now both options would be possible in the perfect forex world…something of forex heaven ….but whatever happens , you can bet that we will try for the low again, get sucked in some sideways to nowhere , play like a yo-yo here and there…
I just wanted to share some light on the current state of this pair and to WISH YOU ALL VERY HAPPY AND MERRY NEW 2024. Let the Force be with you 😃
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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