Bloomberg – Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. economists expect the government’s preliminary benchmark revisions on Wednesday to show payrolls growth in the year through March was at least 600,000 weaker than currently estimated — about 50,000 a month.
Has the FED has become a veiled political arm and not a FED? Many are more than satisfied that is the case. Regardless, the hidden figures alters the interest rate outlook and the presents the likelihood they are behind the curve in reducing rates which ultimately will cause highly chaotic economic results for quite some time.
I do not know why my charts sometimes change the high/low. Now it is showing 1.1134 on a weekly (was showing 1.1137) but I will always go for the “50” level as a key one to watch..
Brief spike just now through 1.11 sets this as the pivotal level to watch (options level?) as that can often lead to being a top.
Has to hold 1.1092 or risk shifts to 1.1082.
USD’s slide into the toilet is likely a reflection of player high expectations of upcoming Jerome yikyak on Friday about accommodating (assuaging?) them with a signal of sept Fed easing. The one element that may be in for some correcting is whether what-ever easing maybe gifted upon the market is a start of a process.
The degree of perception of any Powell dovishness will likely determine how much more the DLR will weaken or not.
Market is a bit too giddy about Fed’s easing expectations.
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets by Alun John, EMEA breaking news correspondent, finance and markets.
It’s been quite a recovery for the S&P 500 stock index since early August’s turmoil. The benchmark has risen for the past eight trading sessions, its longest streak of 2024, and is now just 1% off its mid-July record high.
USDJPY 15 MINUTE CHART
Source: The Amazing Trader
This is what I meant when I said use short-term charts to trade USDJPY (note Amazing Trader logic pointed down).
“[Israel=Hamas ceasefire] negotiations scheduled in Cairo are expected to be postponed until the end of the week due to a lack of progress in contacts.”, according to Sky News Arabia citing Israel official and dip;omats via Israeli Broadcasting Corp
Source: Newsquawk.com
XAUUSD extends record high above 2510. No sign of concern in other markets.
USDJPY 1 HOUR CHART – LIQUIDITY?
USDJPY continues to be the most volatile currency as can be seen on this chart, where the one hour candle had a range of 146.53-145.84 (in the absence of news) with a close at 146.33 IN WHAT HAS BEEN STILL AN INSIDE DAY.
Whatever the case, this follows yesterday’s range of 148.05-145.18– close at 146.71
I am not sure what this suggests other than pockets of less liquidity.
Use short-term charts to trade this currency.
This is the latest update from a long time, highly respected Global-View member who called the top at USDJPY 162. I thus nicknamed him the savvy trader who has been kind enough to share his latest view and strategy.
Forex Forum Ad Hoc Glossary
What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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