USDCAD 4 hour chart – 1.35 the focal point
CAd is 2nd in line today behind the AUD today as an outperformer.
As the chart shows, 1,3455 is the next key target, exposed while below 1.3500-15, a stronger risk if 1.35 caps the upside.
Keep in mind that moves outside of 1.35-1.36 have not been following through, which is why 1.3455 is a key level and 1.35 is pivoital.
April 4 (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets by Harry Robertson
Data Jerome Powell wants, and data Jerome Powell shall get.
The Federal Reserve chair on Wednesday continued to play a familiar tune. “Given the strength of the economy and progress on inflation so far, we have time to let the incoming data guide our decisions on policy,” he said in a speech at Stanford University.
Thursday brings new numbers on weekly jobless claims for Powell and his colleagues to chew on. Economists think the number will come in at 214,000, up slightly from the week before but in line with the average over the last six months – and hardly commensurate with a faltering labor market.
XAUUSD 1 HOUR CHART – 2300
XAUUSD set another new record high at 2304 as it continues to move into uncharted territory.
Betting on a retracement has been a losing one but looking at the 3 blue AT lines suggests potential for a top on this chart, ONLY CONFIRMED IF THE TRENDLINE (currently 2287( IS FIRMLY BROKEN.
Support below it is at 2265.
USDJPY 30 MINUTE CHART – AN ALERT OR WARNNG?
USDJPY came within a couple of pips of 151.97 yesterday and has backed off a touch but remains bid despite the BoJ intervention threat (note weak JPY crosses.
AN ALERT OR A WARNING
I RECEIVED AN EMAIL ABOUT USDJPY THAT I WOULD NORMALLY IGNORE EXCEPT IT CAME FROM SOMEONE WHO IS A WELL-CONNECTED SOURCE.
THE XXX (NAME OMITTED BUT IT WASN’T THE BOJ) MAY DROP THE BALL ON USDJPY ONE FINE MORNING.
I am only the messenger but would be remiss if I did not pass this on given the source.
AUDUSD 4 HOUR CHART – THE OUTPERFORMER
Note, my posts yesterday about following the oath of least resistance.
AUDUSD has so far been the outperformer today as flows from the JPY continue to keep USDJPY in sight of 152 but reluctant to challenge the BoJ while the USD trades soft elsewhere, helped by offsets from JOPY crosses.
I had to go to a 4-hour chart to find the key resistance, which is not until .6635 so damage so far has not been fatal.
In the absence of nearby support, look at former resistance for the first levels. of support or revert to shorter time frames.
LONDON, April 4 (Reuters) – Traders and investors are looking to global interest rate cuts and a closely-fought U.S. election to drag the world’s currency markets from their deepest lull in almost four years.
Measures of historical and expected volatility – how much prices move over a set time period – have sunk in recent months with the world’s biggest central banks stuck in a holding pattern, depriving FX traders of the divergent moves between regional bond yields on which they thrive.
Currency markets are in a deep freeze. Rate cuts and Trump could thaw them
A global economic recovery is fueling a blistering commodities rally in 2024 — threatening to derail the Federal Reserve’s efforts to curb inflation and potentially clouding its path to cutting interest rates by mid-year, according to market strategists.
Oil, gold and the dollar are surging. Here’s why that could derail the Fed’s rate-cut outlook.
STANFORD, California, April 3 (Reuters) – Federal Reserve officials including U.S. central bank chief Jerome Powell on Wednesday continued focusing on the need for more debate and data before interest rates are cut, a move financial markets expect to occur in June.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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