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BTC 4 HOUR CHART -TRENDLINE SUPPORT
As I have noted, I prefer to look at chart patterns and pivotal levels more than technical levels on a crypto chart.
In this regard, watch the trendline as it will provide support on dips as long as it holds.
On the upside, BTC would need to move above 65K to suggest more legs to this recovery
US500 4 HOUR CHART – ALSO TAKING A BREATHER?
Similar to NAS, I read that July is historically a good month for stocks. Time will tell but I think I heard that S&P has traded higher in July for 8 years in a row.
Given the strong move up a pause and consolidation should noy be a surprise. To suggest more than a pause, 5445 on this chart would need to be firmly taken out.
Clearly markets are still in shell shock on one side of the fence and exuberant on the other side of the fence over the absolute 1st round knockout of Biden. Now the question is building of when, not if, Trump is President again what will be the impact of tariffs on Chinese imports and markets. The losing side has themselves convinced that the end of the world is nigh and there could not possibly be anything but atomic war and the second coming of Godzilla. I would wager the appropriate reaction will be initial market apprehension and scalable impact to the negative in economics but the broader view will stabilize and actually accelerate in time as global firms make intelligent adjustments to supply chains and the like.
China will be forced to improve quality of product over time, which is a benefit to countries large and small which are being flooded with cheap product that has a crushing effect on domestic performance. So no, Ozzy Osborne (Trump) will not destroy the world. The opposite.
NAS100 DAILY CHART – TAKING A BREATHER?
When we look back perhaps we will say the NAS high was in but looking at this chart, the highlighted level (red arrow) and the trendline would need to be taken out to suggest that this is anything other than a much needed pause and consolidation,
During this first week of a new quarter, suggest taking it one day at a time.
I read that July is historically a good month for stocks, time will tell.
June EU 108 calls are at the floor so if you have a Warren Buffet type approach of buy when everyone else is selling this would be a place worth considering in spot. Other internals which are not options are bid slightly but with outside contracts not so sure so it is a hesitant bid for spot here at 0720.
US 10 YEAR BOND YIELD – PRICE IS INVERSE WITH YIELDS
As seen on this chart, bond is falling in price and yield is rising.
10-year 4.479%, +13.6bps
As I noted, FX is following with the dollar firmer
USDJPY extending its high, USDCHF extending its high above .90
EURUSD easing but gaps (1.074 and 1.0714)yet to be filled.
US equities are following lower as well.
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Forex Forum & Blog
Forex Forum & Blog is the place where traders can exchange their Ideas, give Trading Tips and Discuss their Trading Ideas.
Forex Forum & Blog
What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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