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This feels like a sparring match week which for most in the US a 4-day holiday weekend, 2 elections, US jobs report.
One change this week seems to be the steepening of the yield curve and concerns over what happens with inflation and budget deficits should Trump become president, although this story has a ways to play out.
So then, the Fed hasn’t done much to take a bite out of the out of control spending of recent years which is putting up $1 trillion US dollars every 100 days. In the Fed’s defense they can’t order the government to stop spending like it just inherited a diamond mine. There are people who want to put on the breaks but that is against the rules of the current regime.
There is one trick they might have left before the effects start to really hit the economy in bad ways. There is something called a “hail Mary” in US football where you have seconds left on the clock and just throw it 40 yards into the end zone hoping something magical happens.
What do you think they might do?
GBPUSD 4 HOUR CHART –UK Election Looms
Key levels are pretty clear at 1.2612 and 1.2710, the former holding after a run at it earlier.
The key focus is on Thursday’s UK elections, where an outright win by Labour would be seen as a positive if only because it would have a ruling majority. We should have a feel for pre-election positioning by tomorrow at the latest.
only sharp deterioration
–
(Reuters) – The United States, France and major economies are unlikely to halt the rises in their debt levels in the next few years, credit rating firm S&P Global warned on Tuesday. … .. …
“We estimate that –for the U.S., Italy, and France– the primary balance would have to improve by more than 2% of GDP cumulatively for their debt to stabilize; this is unlikely to happen over the next three years,” S&P said in a report.
“In our view, only a sharp deterioration of borrowing conditions could persuade G7 governments to implement more resolute budgetary consolidation at the present stage in their electoral cycles”
EURUSD 1 HOUR CHART – GAP FILLED
Having filled its opening week gap, EURUSD focus is on whether it stays aboive 1.07.
Why? Yesterday EURUSD broke a 6 day pattern pivoting 1.07, which is a bullish indicator as long as this level does not trade again.
To deflect the focus from 1.07, 1.0750 needs to trade again, currently blocked by 1.0743.
Fior today, how markets react to news will give a clue.
Powell speaking in Portugal (13:30 GNT)
JOLTS report (14:00 GMT)
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Further signs of a cooling U.S. economy greet the second half of 2024, with politics dominating headlines on both sides of the Atlantic and Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell due to speak later on Tuesday.
Morning Bid: Growth ebbs, curves steepen, Powell in Portugal
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Forex Forum & Blog
Forex Forum & Blog is the place where traders can exchange their Ideas, give Trading Tips and Discuss their Trading Ideas.
Forex Forum & Blog
What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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