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EURUSD 4 HOUR – WAITING FOR POWELL
Given expectations of a dovish tilt for Fed Chair Powell’s testimony today, the dollar upside should be limited ahead of it.
This suggests markets should be positioned for a more dovish testimony so it will be the reaction to his comments that will be more important than what he says barring some clear signal of a rate cut (markets are pricing in an 80% chance of a Sept cut).
Otherwise, expect support as long as 1.08+ trades but needing to take out 1.0845-50 to suggest a run at key targets in the 1.09-1.10 area.
AUDUSD 4 HOUR CHART – AIMING FOR .68?
Key target is close to .69 with .6800 the next obstacle. To make a run at .68, .6750 would need to become support.
Minor range .6710-.6761
Split the range and .6735 is the midpoint… needs to hold to keep a bid.
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TSLA – Tesla
Tesla on Track for Longest Winning Streak Since June 2023
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is currently at $252.54, up $1.02 or 0.41%Would be highest close since Dec. 28, 2023, when it closed at $253.18
Currently up 10 of the past 11 days
Currently up nine consecutive days; up 38.32% over this period
Longest winning streak since June 13, 2023, when it rose for 13 straight trading days
Best nine day stretch since the nine days ending Feb. 2, 2023, when it rose 41.11%
Up 27.62% month-to-date
Up 1.63% year-to-date
Funding overdrafts – The level of daylight overdrafts — when a bank withdraws more money than it has in its account at the Fed. They recently reached levels and behavior similar to pre-crash conditions of 2019. A bit concerning, it should be noted that major banks also recently resoundingly passed stress tests which is an offset should shock conditions arise, either sudden or gradual. Likely temporary. Also, the two heavy factors of war and elections have not stopped the steady purchasing of US, Euro, and MSCI stocks.
I am fixated on July 15th as having the potential for either strong buying or a shift toward risk off, for a variety of reasons including that fund managers and the like will begin to return from early vacations.
One of those Mondays…Here is my Power of 50 article as GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD and USDJPY all paused around or shy of respective 50 levels in what turned into a slow drip, paint drying session.
FWIW the softer GBPUSD tine appears toi be coning from EURGBP buying.
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Forex Forum & Blog
Forex Forum & Blog is the place where traders can exchange their Ideas, give Trading Tips and Discuss their Trading Ideas.
Forex Forum & Blog
What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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