Jay in my experience EurJpy is a better barometer as it runs very closely with Dow.. The pair is down so sticking with UsdJpy which I would wager is continued pricing in and adjustments to rates dropping .25 ahead of the curve and so if it is 25 we see a rally if it is 50 all heck breaks loose. No reason for 50. I still feel they don’t want to sabotage Harris chances and wait for December hoping for stability and strength but if Trump is in they fire the guns ahead of him taking office and cause trouble on purpose either way.
I am beginning to believe the timing for FED cuts is more about global leverage and risk exposure in a wide swath of different markets that is affecting the FED’s decision than it is the job market or simply CPI. Those are vital components but not the entire framework. So understanding significant FED changes usually involves reaction to significant disruption as well, perhaps always does, figuring it out completely is above my pay grade and so gathering a sense of the overall mood could be all you need to anticipate what the FED will do.
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Wall Street futures have found their feet after Friday’s exaggerated market reaction to an otherwise middling employment report – with Apple’s new iPhone and Tuesday’s presidential candidates’ debate next up on the radar.
GBPUSD testing 1.3087 again … Here are retracement levels for 1.2664-1.3266 using our Fibonacci Calculator
US500 4 HOUR CHART – Stocks set the risk tone
Here are retracement levels using our Fibonacci Calculator
GBPUSD DAILY CHART – Support tested
Today’s low 1.3087
As posted in out Weekly FX Chart Outlook
The failure to hold above it and retest the high suggests a lack of power but only a break of 1.3087 would suggest more to the downside. Above 1.3087 it is still in a consolidation mode.
USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART – Hidden hand?
As noted in our Weekly FX Chart Outlook, USDJPY remains the most sensitive currency to the risk on or risk off mood, especially the latter
USDJPY came close (today’s low at 141.76_) vs the low for the move (141.68) and then rebounded as it followed higher US stocks to start the week.
For me this suggests a hidden hand (BoJ?) protecting the low but in any case there is a higher low.
BUT to end this current episode down and shift the focus to 145, 144.22 would need t be taken out.
Look for 143.59 to be a pivotal level today.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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