Recently held European Parliament Elections , that led to new French Elections ( An early legislative election is expected to be held in France in two rounds on 30 June and 7 July 2024, to elect the 577 members of the 17th National Assembly of the Fifth French Republic. ) are not going to change anything in Europe – at least not overnight.
All that fuss and market uncertainty talks are just the need of the market participants to look for some new opportunities and to shake it a bit.
Only one that is in the problem is French President Emmanuel Macron – guy has to start looking for the new job…his chair is in the question and not the Destiny of the World.
Etiquettes like Far this and that are just etiquettes….not a single politician is far anything…unless caught from time to time as went too far away with lying, stealing and such…
So calm down and let the EURUSD go it’s marry way – Down….
Facts that no one is mentioning when talking about Europe , like increased unemployment of youth, hysterical inflation that is not going to go away, closing of big companies, war on it’s continent, to name just a few are the real reasons behind the need for EUR to kind of devaluate…
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Wall Street stocks and bonds remained relatively buoyant after last week’s action-packed macro week with world markets drawn more to French political uncertainty and the deepening Chinese home price bust.
With trouble brewing overseas, Wall Street stock futures held the line close to last week’s new records on Monday as Goldman Sachs raised its 2024 year-end S&P500 (.SPX), opens new tab target to 5,600 from 5,200 earlier and Friday’s 5,431 close.
Morgan Stanley: Implications Of The French Elections For Markets
“The upcoming parliamentary elections in France come with much uncertainty as the electoral system with two rounds makes results hard to predict.”
In other words uncertainty implies tug of war amongst market participants. Then, at some point, one of the belligerent politicians gets relegated to the garbage heap of history and … new orientations emerge
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole.
A muted start to the week in Asia with Chinese data too mixed to provide much momentum as political uncertainty in Europe lurks in the background….
It was notable that no less than five European Central Bank sources stressed to Reuters that the institution was not planning any emergency buying of French bonds, knowing the market will be pushing for exactly that.…
Morning Bid: China fails to cheer, as France scores own goal
EURUSD 4 HOUR CHART When politics dominates?
In a politically driven market (French electio) a key is to identify when the market is trading on this upcoming event and when it is in the background.
This chart is clear —
Key levels are at the 1.0667 low (major levels 1.0649 and 1.0600) and 1.0745 (suggests limited upside unless 1.0750 trades, stronger bias if it stays below 1.0719
THIS WEEK’S MARKET-MOVING EVENTS (all days local)
A run of Chinese monthly data open the week on Monday amid expectations for steady, unspectacular results. But it will be central bank announcements that will be the week’s key focus beginning with the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday followed on Thursday by China’s loan prime rates then the Swiss National Bank and finally the Bank of England. No rate changes are expected with the exception of the SNB where forecasts range from no change to rate cuts of either 12.5 or 25 basis points. Note that Wednesday’s consumer price report from the UK could have a bearing on future expectations for BoE action with moderation to a benign 2.1 percent Econoday’s CPI consensus.
Retail sales on Tuesday will be the most watched US report; forecasters are looking for no more than modest gains across key readings. Japanese data will open with machinery orders on Monday, merchandise trade on Tuesday, and will be capped by May consumer prices on Friday where higher costs for renewable energy are expected to heat up the headline print. The week will close with Friday’s run of June PMI flashes where incremental improvement is the general consensus.
Econoday
Kashkari said (Sunday the 16th)
–
* it’s ‘reasonable’ to predict December rate cut
* Fed Well-Placed to Take Its Time Ahead of Rate Cut
* “We need to see more evidence to convince us that inflation is well on our way back down to 2 percent. The good news is as you’re reporting this indicator, the job market remains strong,”
thansk neel !
OnlineBroker.Fr is the best resource for French language information on the best online trading platforms and crypto exchanges in France.
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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